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Embecta Corp (EMBC) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $185M · ISIN US29082K1051

EC Embecta Corp logo Embecta Corp EMBC · US
Price$5.05
Fair Value$3.15
Upside-37.7%
Quality73/100
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Strengths

Solidly profitable · 10.7% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/13)

Risks

!Trades 60% ABOVE our fair value of $3.15
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.1 %/yr)
!Moderate moat 59/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.1 %/yr)
Solidly profitable · 10.7% net margin
Negative equity (buybacks among others) · generates free cash flow
19.42% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/13)
Moderate moat 59/100
Evidence: High Range $2.39 – $3.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 21 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $3.25 to $3.15 (−3.0%) since Jul 15, 2026. Share price +37.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but trading 60% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 73/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

$48.11 $2.89 Fair Value $3.15 Mar 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

53‑month range $2.89 – $48.11 · fair‑value band $2.39 – $3.82 · the $5.05 price screens above the $3.15 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Embecta Corp (EMBC) currently trades at $5.05, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $3.15, implying the stock looks roughly 37.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Embecta Corp generated revenue of $1.0B at a net margin of 10.7%. Revenue declined 14.4% year over year. Net debt stands at $1.2B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 2.7. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $2.39 (bear case) to $3.82 (bull case); at $5.05, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 67% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -38%, EMBC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $3.16 $8.58 $16.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF $9.39 $24.14 $42.10 74
ROIC Compounder $15.12 $19.95 $24.19 72
All 21 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.60 $8.37 $17.65 38
Owner Earnings $6.29 31
5Y Revenue Exit $9.39 $23.51 $44.04 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $20.42 $42.57 $71.88 41
5Y P/E Exit $2.89 $12.28 $23.52 38
10Y Revenue Exit $5.27 $14.24 $23.88 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $11.74 $24.30 $37.81 37
10Y P/E Exit $2.63 $8.31 $13.61 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.93 $13.36 $15.03 54
EPV $15.12 $19.28 $22.66 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.11 $4.39 $4.81 70
DDM Multi-Stage $4.11 $4.76 $5.56 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $26.53 $35.38 $44.22 63
P/S Multiple $20.50 $27.34 $34.17 58
EV/EBIT $51.16 $74.75 $98.34 53
EV/EBITDA $45.88 $67.71 $89.53 54
EV/Revenue $18.64 $35.03 $51.42 43
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $3.16 $8.58 $16.64 80
Rev-Margin DCF $9.39 $24.14 $42.10 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $15.12 $19.95 $24.19 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $18.70 $26.72 $34.73 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($35.38) versus Dividend Discount ($4.39). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 2.7
P/S ratio 0.24 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.89 price ÷ EPS = P/E 2.7
Net margin 8.8% FY2025
Return on assets (EBIT) 32.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 19.3% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $1.0B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) -14.4% 3y avg -1.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +82.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $182M FY2025
Net debt $1.2B FY2025 · ≈ 6.6 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 62
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 33
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 71
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Embecta Corp., a medical device company, provides solutions to improve the health and wellbeing of people living with diabetes in the United States and internationally. The company's products include pen needles, syringes, and safety injection devices, as well as digital applications to assist people with managing patient's diabetes.

Full company description

Embecta Corp., a medical device company, provides solutions to improve the health and wellbeing of people living with diabetes in the United States and internationally. The company's products include pen needles, syringes, and safety injection devices, as well as digital applications to assist people with managing patient's diabetes. It primarily sells its products to wholesalers and distributors. The company was formerly known as Berra Newco, Inc. Embecta Corp. was founded in 1924 and is headquartered in Parsippany, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Embecta Corp reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2025 versus $1.2B in FY2021, a compound −1.9%/yr. Reported net income was $95.4M in FY2025, compounding −30.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.1B
Latest YoY
−3.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−0.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years, adjusted) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−19.4% (-19.4 + 0.0)
Revenue −1.9%/yr
FY21 $1.2B
FY22 $1.1B
FY23 $1.1B
FY24 $1.1B
FY25 $1.1B
Net income −30.7%/yr
FY21 $415M
FY22 $224M
FY23 $70.4M
FY24 $78.3M
FY25 $95.4M

EMBC screens 38% overvalued. Compare with Intuitive Surgical, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Embecta Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EMBC

Peer Group

Medical Instruments & Supplies · 206 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −38% · Below median
Return on assets 17% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 11% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -14% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 11.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Instruments & Supplies median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 2.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.18× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 1.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 2
FUTURE0 · sector 26
PAST0 · sector 25
HEALTH100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND100 · sector 32

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Instruments & Supplies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Intuitive Surgical, Inc ISRG $367.07 $150.04 -59%
EssilorLuxottica Société anonyme EL €157.50 €94.93 -40%
Medline Inc MDLN $34.58 $30.15 -13%
Becton, Dickinson and Company BDX $190.21 $100.46 -47%
Alcon Inc ALC $72.23 $39.78 -45%
ResMed Inc RMD A$32.39 A$26.05 -20%
West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc WST $349.92 $141.58 -60%
Sartorius Stedim Biotech S.A DIM €196.70 €48.88 -75%
Straumann Holding STMN CHF 92.18 CHF 47.31 -49%
Sartorius Aktiengesellschaft SRT3 €253.50 €63.30 -75%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Embecta Corp (EMBC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $3.15 versus a price of $5.05, about −38% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EMBC?
Our model-based fair value for Embecta Corp is $3.15 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.05.
What is the quality score of EMBC?
Embecta Corp has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Embecta Corp (EMBC)?
Embecta Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.0B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EMBC?
The net profit margin of Embecta Corp is about 10.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 10.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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