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Emeco Holdings (EOHDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 24, 2026: fair value of Emeco Holdings $2.11, price $0.70, upside +201.4%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? Yes
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EH
Thin data
Oct 2, 2026
Thin data
Oct 2, 2026
Emeco Holdings
EOHDF · USClearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.
✓Fair value $2.11 · Strongly undervalued (+201.4%)
!Quality 56/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +7.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.8% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Moderate moat 55/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.1833 – $2.47 · fair‑value band $1.39 – $2.64 · the $0.7000 price screens below the $2.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Oct 2, 2026.
Company profile
Emeco Holdings Limited engages in the provision of surface and underground mining equipment rental, complementary equipment, and mining services in Australia. It rents trucks, excavators, dozers, loaders, and graders.
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Emeco Holdings Limited engages in the provision of surface and underground mining equipment rental, complementary equipment, and mining services in Australia. It rents trucks, excavators, dozers, loaders, and graders. The company is also involved in the maintenance, repair, and rebuild of machines and components for heavy earthmoving equipment; mechanical and boilermaker repair services; and sandblasting and painting services. In addition, it offers fabrication and boiler making; and field services and labour hire. Emeco Holdings Limited was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Perth, Australia.
Stock analysis
Emeco Holdings (EOHDF) currently trades at $0.7000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.11, implying the stock looks roughly 66.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $2.07 per share, and 22 of the 26 models we run sit above the $0.7000 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $0.6400, and 4 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $1.39 (bear) to $2.64 (bull), the price of $0.7000 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Emeco Holdings reported revenue of A$785M in FY2025 versus A$621M in FY2021, a compound +6.1%/yr. Reported net income was A$75.1M in FY2025, compounding +38.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $372M · P/E ratio 6.4 · P/S ratio 0.61 · EPS (TTM) $0.1100 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 9.6% · Return on equity 11.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −12% fair-value upside, at 201%, EOHDF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.39
Fair Value $2.11
Bull $2.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1100 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$1.34
$2.16
$3.33
79
Growth DCF
$1.34
$2.09
$3.12
78
Residual Income
$0.8100
$0.8800
$1.06
76
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$1.34
$2.16
$3.33
79
Owner Earnings
$0.3200
$0.5900
$0.9700
74
5Y Revenue Exit
$1.20
$2.03
$3.12
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$2.11
$3.82
$5.88
74
5Y P/E Exit
$1.29
$2.21
$3.21
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$1.20
$1.95
$3.00
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$1.78
$3.11
$5.01
67
10Y P/E Exit
$1.29
$2.07
$3.07
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.6900
$2.62
$3.56
64
Lynch FV
$0.6400
$0.9100
$1.19
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.6400
$0.9100
$1.19
57
EPV
$0.9200
$1.07
$1.19
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.0700
$0.1200
$0.1700
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.0700
$0.1100
$0.1300
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$1.59
$2.12
$2.65
63
P/S Multiple
$1.29
$1.71
$2.14
58
P/B Multiple
$1.29
$1.71
$2.14
55
EV/EBIT
$2.11
$2.87
$3.63
66
EV/EBITDA
$2.91
$3.94
$4.96
67
EV/Revenue
$1.16
$1.73
$2.30
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.4800
$0.6400
$0.9600
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$1.34
$2.09
$3.12
78
Rev-Margin DCF
$1.20
$2.03
$3.05
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$0.8100
$0.8800
$1.06
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.9200
$1.14
$1.44
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$1.16
$1.66
$2.16
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
56/100
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 79
Profitability
49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
65
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
42
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
87
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
80
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.5%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+1.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +12.5% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.0%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
−1.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−2.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 17%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 8.8%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.8%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in AUD, Australia: IMF forecast 3.0% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −11.4% a year for the price and +0.1% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+3.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+3.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+3.1%
Projected 2029 (sales)+2.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+2.8%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 88 stocks
Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| United Rentals, Inc URI | $1,044 | $441.48 | −58% |
| Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB | $75.06 | $65.76 | −12% |
| AerCap Holdings AER | $143.93 | $208.22 | +45% |
| U-Haul Holding UHAL | $60.88 | $7.57 | −88% |
| Ryder System, Inc R | $233.93 | $151.59 | −35% |
| Element Fleet Management Corp EFN | C$23.85 | C$21.30 | −11% |
| GATX Corporation GATX | $175.86 | $129.05 | −27% |
| BOC Aviation Limited 2588 | HK$71.00 | HK$146.00 | +106% |
| EquipmentShare.com Inc EQPT | $17.35 | $3.89 | −78% |
| Bohai Leasing Co 000415 | ¥4.11 | ¥8.22 | +100% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Emeco Holdings (EOHDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.11 versus the last price from Jul 24, 2026 of $0.7000, about +201% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EOHDF?
Our model-based fair value for Emeco Holdings is $2.11 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 24, 2026): $0.7000.
What is the quality score of EOHDF?
Emeco Holdings has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.11 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.39, optimistic scenario $2.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Emeco Holdings stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.11, about +201% upside versus the last price from Jul 24, 2026 of $0.7000 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $1.39, optimistic scenario $2.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
Emeco Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$822M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
Does Emeco Holdings pay a dividend?
Emeco Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.79% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 2, 2026).
What growth is priced into Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Emeco Holdings would have to grow free cash flow by -8.8 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.8 % per year. As of Oct 2, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of EOHDF use?
Our models discount Emeco Holdings at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.50, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Emeco Holdings that is -8.8 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Emeco Holdings (EOHDF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Emeco Holdings grew +7.8 % a year. The price currently implies -8.8 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Emeco Holdings (-8.8 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 17.22 %: that much free cash flow Emeco Holdings produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Emeco Holdings it is $2.11 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $0.7000. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Emeco Holdings stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, EOHDF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.7000, fair value $2.11, a gap of about +201% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EOHDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.7000); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.11). For Emeco Holdings the two are $1.41 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Emeco Holdings worth?
The market values Emeco Holdings at about $372M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $0.7000; our models calculate a fair value of $2.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EOHDF?
Our models span a range for Emeco Holdings: cautious scenario $1.39, base $2.11, optimistic $2.64 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $0.7000). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of EOHDF?
Emeco Holdings trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.4 (as of Oct 2, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.11 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.5, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 1.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Emeco Holdings (as of Oct 2, 2026): return on equity 11.2%, debt of 0.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Emeco Holdings?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Emeco Holdings stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $0.7000, calculated fair value $2.11 (+201%), Quality Score 56/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EOHDF calculated?
We run Emeco Holdings through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Emeco Holdings currently trades 67 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 24, 2026 and stands at $0.7000. Our model-based fair value is $2.11, about +201% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Emeco Holdings right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.39). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range ($1.39 to $2.64) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Emeco Holdings
How large is the market capitalisation of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
The market capitalisation of Emeco Holdings is $372M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Emeco Holdings is 0.61 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
Earnings per share at Emeco Holdings are $0.1100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
The dividend yield of Emeco Holdings is 1.8% (payout 11.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
The net margin of Emeco Holdings is 9.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Emeco Holdings is 11.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Emeco Holdings is 10.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
The operating margin of Emeco Holdings is 15.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
Revenue at Emeco Holdings is growing +8.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +1.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Emeco Holdings (EOHDF)?
Earnings per share at Emeco Holdings are growing +13.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Emeco Holdings (EOHDF) carry?
The net debt of Emeco Holdings is A$195M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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