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EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · ZA · Market cap 796M ZAC

EC EPE Capital Partners Ltd EPE · JSE
PriceR5.29
Fair ValueR10.58
Upside+100.0%
Quality73/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 49.4% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/12)
Wide moat 69/100
Evidence: Medium Range R7.94 – R13.23 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from R9.98 to R10.58 (+6.0%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −7.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 100% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The rarer combination: high quality (73/100) AND below fair value. That earns a closer look rather than a quick verdict.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (R7.94). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

R8.56 R3.73 Fair Value R10.58 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R3.73 – R8.56 · fair‑value band R7.94 – R13.23 · the R5.29 price screens below the R10.58 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE) currently trades at R5.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R10.58, implying the stock looks roughly 100.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, EPE Capital Partners Ltd generated revenue of 369M ZAR at a net margin of 49.4%. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at 66.8M ZAR. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 7.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from R7.94 (bear case) to R13.23 (bull case); at R5.29, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 100%, EPE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/E Multiple R32.11 R42.81 R53.51 63
Residual Income R18.86 R25.28 R100.51 61
P/B Multiple R15.30 R20.40 R25.50 55
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd R22.39 R156.17 R219.16 54
Lynch FV R80.68 R115.26 R149.84 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple R32.11 R42.81 R53.51 63
P/B Multiple R15.30 R20.40 R25.50 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R7.29 R9.76 R14.57 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income R18.86 R25.28 R100.51 61

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based (R115.26) versus Asset-Based (R9.76). Highest evidence: P/E Multiple (63).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 369M ZAC
Revenue growth (YoY) -95.8%
Net margin 49.4%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow −30.3M ZAC FY2025
P/E ratio 7.1
More key figures
Operating margin 40.7%
EPS (TTM) R0.7400
EPS growth (YoY) -98.8%
Net debt 66.8M ZAC FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 73/100

Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30

Profitability 69
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 100
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 2
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 73
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 14
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 9
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 91
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

EPE Capital Partners Ltd, an investment holding company, invests in a portfolio of unlisted private equity-type investments in South Africa, rest of Sub-Saharan Africa, and internationally. It also offers investment solutions in emerging markets and real assets. EPE Capital Partners Ltd was founded in 1984 and is based in Ebene, Mauritius.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

EPE Capital Partners Ltd reported revenue of R701M in FY2025 versus R95.4M in FY2021, a compound +64.6%/yr. Reported net income was R496M in FY2025, compounding +221.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
701M ZAR
Latest YoY
+522.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+90.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+44.9%
Avg. growth/yr (8Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+25.1%
Revenue +64.6%/yr
FY21 R95.4M
FY22 R102M
FY23 R80.1M
FY24 R113M
FY25 R701M
Net income +221.5%/yr
FY21 R4.6M
FY22 R471M
FY23 R5.2M
FY24 −R388M
FY25 R496M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EPE Capital Partners Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EPE

Peer Group

Asset Management · 970 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 72 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +100% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 9% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 49% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 41% · Below median
Revenue growth -96% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.04× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.1× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.36× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.16× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 1.4× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 37 · sector 26
HEALTH 98 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 70

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R10.58 versus a price of R5.29, about +100% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of EPE?
Our model-based fair value for EPE Capital Partners Ltd is R10.58 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is R5.29.
What is the quality score of EPE?
EPE Capital Partners Ltd has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
EPE Capital Partners Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 369M ZAR (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of EPE?
The net profit margin of EPE Capital Partners Ltd is about 49.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 49.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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