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Data-driven stock valuation

EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 9, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of EPE Capital Partners Ltd stock ZAR 4.77, price ZAR 5.29, that is 9.8% below the price, quality 64 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 2 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

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Financial Services ZA · ISIN MU0522S00005

EC EPE Capital Partners Ltd logo Thin data Nov 9, 2026

EPE Capital Partners Ltd

EPE · JSE
Expensive, in a downtrend

Our calculation puts a fair price 10% below what the stock costs today.

Quality 64/100
Highly profitable · 140.8% net margin (FY2026)
Low debt
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +44.9 %/yr in ZAR)
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Moderate moat 60/100
Fair value R4.77 · Overvalued
Negative free cash flow
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

R8.25 R3.60 Fair Value R4.77 Jul 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 9, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range R3.60 – R8.25 · fair‑value band R3.58 – R5.97 · the R5.29 price screens above the R4.77 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 9, 2026.

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Company profile

EPE Capital Partners Ltd, an investment holding company, invests in a portfolio of unlisted private equity-type investments in South Africa, rest of Sub-Saharan Africa, and internationally. It also offers investment solutions in emerging markets and real assets.

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EPE Capital Partners Ltd was founded in 1984 and is based in Ebene, Mauritius.

Stock analysis

EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE) currently trades at R5.29, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is R4.77, 10% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 2 models at a data quality of 96/100, which puts the data coverage at low.

Scenario range: R3.58 (bear) to R5.97 (bull), the price of R5.29 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

EPE Capital Partners Ltd reported revenue of −230M ZAR in FY2026 versus 102M ZAR in FY2022. Reported net income was −323M ZAR in FY2026.

Key figures

Market cap 1.2B ZAR Micro · EPS (TTM) R−1.42 · Return on equity −21.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −9.1% (5-year average) · Operating margin 104% · Revenue (TTM) −292M ZAR · Revenue growth (YoY) −95.8% · EPS growth (YoY) −98.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 60 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −16% fair-value upside, at −10%, EPE screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear R3.58 Fair Value R4.77 Bull R5.97
Price R5.29 · Downside -9.8%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
P/B Multiple R3.58 R4.77 R5.97 55
NCAV (Graham) R0.1700 R0.2500 R0.3100 55
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple R3.58 R4.77 R5.97 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) R0.1700 R0.2500 R0.3100 55

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 64/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 20
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 40
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 75
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 69
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 69
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 25
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 14
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 100
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+522.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+90.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+44.9%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 8 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−722.9% (2020) → 91.0% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

EPE screens overvalued: fair value 10% below the price. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 587 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 64 · Above median
Fair Value upside −10.7% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets −37.6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 140.8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 103.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) −95.8% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)19 · sector 60
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 38
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 29
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 80

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Exor N.V EXO €73.35 €139.37 +90% vs EPE
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $162.81 $281.42 +73% vs EPE
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $116.75 $197.52 +69% vs EPE
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $501.49 $609.56 +22% vs EPE
State Street Corporation STT $165.56 $139.37 −16% vs EPE
Ares Management Corporation ARES $133.98 $99.35 −26% vs EPE
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $172.76 $123.42 −29% vs EPE
Brookfield Asset Management Ltd BAM $52.95 $31.26 −41% vs EPE
Blackstone Inc BX $119.50 $52.29 −56% vs EPE
KKR & Co KKR $96.48 $27.32 −72% vs EPE

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EPE Capital Partners Ltd: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "EPE Capital Partners Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/EPE

Frequently asked questions

Is EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 9, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of R4.77 versus a price of R5.29, about 10% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of EPE?
Our model-based fair value for EPE Capital Partners Ltd is R4.77 (as of Nov 9, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: R5.29.
What is the quality score of EPE?
EPE Capital Partners Ltd has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of R4.77 (as of Nov 9, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario R3.58, optimistic scenario R5.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the EPE Capital Partners Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at R4.77, about 10% lower versus a price of R5.29 (overvalued). Cautious scenario R3.58, optimistic scenario R5.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the intrinsic value of EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For EPE Capital Partners Ltd it is R4.77 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026), against a price of R5.29. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models in 2 families (Multiples, Asset-Based).
Is EPE Capital Partners Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 9, 2026, EPE trades above its calculated fair value: price R5.29, fair value R4.77, a gap of about −10% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of EPE?
No. The price is what the market pays today (R5.29); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (R4.77). For EPE Capital Partners Ltd the two are R0.5200 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is EPE Capital Partners Ltd worth?
The market values EPE Capital Partners Ltd at about 1.2B ZAR (market capitalisation, as of Nov 9, 2026). Per share that is R5.29; our models calculate a fair value of R4.77 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about EPE?
Our models span a range for EPE Capital Partners Ltd: cautious scenario R3.58, base R4.77, optimistic R5.97 per share (as of Nov 9, 2026, price R5.29). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
Balance-sheet figures for EPE Capital Partners Ltd (as of Nov 9, 2026): return on equity −21.3%. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is EPE from its 52-week high?
EPE Capital Partners Ltd trades at R5.29, about 34% below its 52-week high of R8.00 and 25% above the low of R4.22 (as of Nov 9, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of R4.77 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to EPE Capital Partners Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Asset Management Ltd, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is EPE Capital Partners Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 9, 2026: price R5.29, calculated fair value R4.77 (−10%), Quality Score 64/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of EPE calculated?
We run EPE Capital Partners Ltd through 2 models from 2 families: Multiples, Asset-Based. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of R4.77 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. EPE Capital Partners Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
The closing price on Nov 9, 2026 was R5.29. Our model-based fair value is R4.77, about 10% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with EPE Capital Partners Ltd right now?
Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of EPE Capital Partners Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
The market capitalisation of EPE Capital Partners Ltd is 1.2B ZAR. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What are the earnings per share of EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
Earnings per share at EPE Capital Partners Ltd are R−1.42. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
The return on equity (ROE) of EPE Capital Partners Ltd is −21.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of EPE Capital Partners Ltd is −9.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
The operating margin of EPE Capital Partners Ltd is 104% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How much revenue does EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE) generate?
EPE Capital Partners Ltd generates revenue of −292M ZAR (last twelve months). Revenue of the last twelve months (TTM), the most recent full year, not the calendar year.
How fast is revenue growing at EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
Revenue at EPE Capital Partners Ltd is growing −95.8% versus a year earlier. How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE)?
Earnings per share at EPE Capital Partners Ltd are growing −98.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE) generate?
The free cash flow of EPE Capital Partners Ltd is −112M ZAR (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does EPE Capital Partners Ltd (EPE) hold?
EPE Capital Partners Ltd holds more cash than debt, 14.0M ZAR net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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