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Escalon Medical Corp (ESMC) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $1.3M

EM Escalon Medical Corp logo Escalon Medical Corp ESMC · US
Price$0.1900
Fair Value$0.3100
Upside+63.2%
Quality62/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 16.2% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/13)
Narrow moat 40/100
Evidence: High Range $0.2300 – $0.3900 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 22 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

A solid business, screening 63% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.2300). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.4800 $0.0533 Fair Value $0.3100 Oct 2018 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0533 – $0.4800 · fair‑value band $0.2300 – $0.3900 · the $0.1900 price screens below the $0.3100 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Escalon Medical Corp (ESMC) currently trades at $0.1900, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.3100, implying the stock looks roughly 63.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Escalon Medical Corp generated revenue of $11.4M at a net margin of 16.2%. Revenue declined 24.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 57.5%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 1.5. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.2300 (bear case) to $0.3900 (bull case); at $0.1900, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 55% below its 52-week high and 90% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at 63%, ESMC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.4200 $0.5100 $0.6400 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.3000 $0.3800 $0.4800 74
ROIC Compounder $0.1600 $0.1700 $0.1800 72
All 22 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.4100 $0.5100 $0.6600 38
Owner Earnings $0.1800 $0.2100 $0.2700 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.3000 $0.3700 $0.4600 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.3300 $0.4200 $0.5400 41
5Y P/E Exit $0.3200 $0.4100 $0.5200 38
10Y Revenue Exit $0.3500 $0.4000 $0.4500 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.3700 $0.4200 $0.4800 37
10Y P/E Exit $0.3600 $0.4200 $0.4700 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $0.1000 $0.1200 $0.1300 54
EPV $0.1600 $0.1700 $0.1800 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $0.2300 $0.3100 $0.3900 63
P/S Multiple $0.1800 $0.2400 $0.3000 58
P/B Multiple $0.1800 $0.2400 $0.3000 55
EV/EBIT $0.2700 $0.3500 $0.4300 53
EV/EBITDA $0.2900 $0.3700 $0.4500 54
EV/Revenue $0.2100 $0.2800 $0.3500 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1300 $0.1700 $0.2600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.4200 $0.5100 $0.6400 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.3000 $0.3800 $0.4800 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $0.1800 $0.1800 $0.1500 61
ROIC Compounder $0.1600 $0.1700 $0.1800 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $0.1700 $0.2400 $0.3100 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.4100) versus Earnings-Based ($0.1200). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $11.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -24.9%
Net margin 16.2%
Return on equity 57.5%
Free cash flow $377K FY2025
P/E ratio 1.5
More key figures
Operating margin -16.1%
EPS (TTM) $0.1200
EPS growth (YoY) +776%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 62/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 50
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 63
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 44
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 85
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 39
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Escalon Medical Corp. engages in the development, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of medical devices and pharmaceuticals for ophthalmic applications in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Escalon Medical Corp. engages in the development, manufacturing, marketing, and distribution of medical devices and pharmaceuticals for ophthalmic applications in the United States and internationally. It offers A-Scan, which provides information about the internal structure of the eye; B-Scan, a diagnostic tool that supplies information to physicians where the media within the eye are cloudy or opaque; UBM, a high frequency/high resolution ultrasound device, which provides detailed information about the anterior segment of the eye; and Pachymeter that measures the thickness of cornea. The company also provides Ispan Intraocular Gases, such as C3F8 and SF6 that are used by vitreoretinal surgeons as a temporary tamponade in detached retina surgery; and AXIS Image management system for managing ophthalmic diagnostic images through the web browser from various devices. In addition, it markets disposable surgical packs used in vitreoretinal surgery, including packs that aid surgeons in the process of injecting and extracting silicone oil. Further, the company engages in the manufacturing and distribution of patented disposable universal gas kit, which delivers the gas from the canister to the patient. It sells its products to medical institutions through independent sales representatives, network of distributors, and internal sales employees. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is based in Wayne, Pennsylvania.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Escalon Medical Corp reported revenue of $12.0M in FY2025 versus $10.5M in FY2021, a compound +3.6%/yr. Reported net income was $106K in FY2025.

Growth Quality 74/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$12.0M
Latest YoY
+0.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.1%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+2.4%
Revenue +3.6%/yr
FY21 $10.5M
FY22 $10.7M
FY23 $12.2M
FY24 $12.0M
FY25 $12.0M
Net income
FY21 −$52.0K
FY22 $18.1K
FY23 $457K
FY24 −$125K
FY25 $106K

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Escalon Medical Corp Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ESMC

Peer Group

Medical Devices · 352 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 62 · Above median
Fair Value upside +63% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 57% · Top 25%
Return on assets -9% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 16% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -16% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -25% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.12× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Medical Devices median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 1.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.70× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.12× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 3.5× · Cheaper than median
PEG 2.07× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 29
PAST 100 · sector 8
HEALTH 94 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 38

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Medical Devices stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Abbott Laboratories, ABT $100.68 $74.79 -26%
Stryker Corporation SYK $316.44 $186.28 -41%
Medtronic plc MDT $83.56 $65.57 -22%
Boston Scientific Corporation BSX $43.04 $38.44 -11%
Edwards Lifesciences Corporation EW $85.73 $41.02 -52%
Siemens Healthineers AG SHL €34.59 €33.87 -2%
Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics Co 300760 ¥149.43 ¥147.63 -1%
Shanghai United Imaging Healthcare Co 688271 ¥109.00 ¥43.60 -60%
Demant A/S DEMANT kr 276.60 kr 161.17 -42%
Getinge AB GETIB kr 206.80 kr 192.14 -7%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Escalon Medical Corp (ESMC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.3100 versus a price of $0.1900, about +63% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of ESMC?
Our model-based fair value for Escalon Medical Corp is $0.3100 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.1900.
What is the quality score of ESMC?
Escalon Medical Corp has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Escalon Medical Corp (ESMC)?
Escalon Medical Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $11.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ESMC?
The net profit margin of Escalon Medical Corp is about 16.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 16.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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