Exmar NV (EXM) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · BE · Market cap €914M
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +3.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 43% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€8.81). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €0.5137 – €11.65 · fair‑value band €5.31 – €8.81 · the €11.55 price screens above the €6.55 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Exmar NV (EXM) currently trades at €11.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €6.55, implying the stock looks roughly 43.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Exmar NV generated revenue of €248M at a net margin of 30.0%. Revenue declined 10.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.8%. Net debt stands at €91.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €5.31 (bear case) to €8.81 (bull case); at €11.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 174% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -43%, EXM screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (€15.64) versus Asset-Based (€4.63). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 56 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Exmar NV engages in the provision of shipping and floating infrastructure solutions worldwide. The company operates through Shipping, Infrastructure, and Supporting Services segments. It transports liquefied gas products, such as liquid natural gas, liquid petroleum gas, butane, propane, anhydrous ammonia, and petrochemical gases.
Full company description
Exmar NV engages in the provision of shipping and floating infrastructure solutions worldwide. The company operates through Shipping, Infrastructure, and Supporting Services segments. It transports liquefied gas products, such as liquid natural gas, liquid petroleum gas, butane, propane, anhydrous ammonia, and petrochemical gases. The company also offers floating infrastructure solutions to the oil and gas industries by making use of its asset portfolio, and through developing new assets for near-shore and offshore production, processing, storage or other ancillary services. In addition, it provides ship management, technical and crewing, consultancy and engineering, manufacturing, travel agency, yachting, and investment portfolio services, as well as manufactures ropes for marine, industrial, and offshore applications. The company serves fertilizer, clean energy fuel, and petrochemical industries. Exmar NV was founded in 1829 and is headquartered in Antwerp, Belgium. The company operates as a subsidiary of Saverex NV.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Exmar NV reported revenue of €258M in FY2025 versus €148M in FY2021, a compound +14.9%/yr. Reported net income was €77.4M in FY2025, compounding +60.7%/yr from FY2021.
EXM screens 43% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 533.97 MXN | -36% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $55.95 | $33.55 | -40% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $74.57 | $27.57 | -63% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $35.22 | $21.50 | -39% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $57.16 | $45.68 | -20% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥138.79 | ¥34.17 | -75% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.20 | €2.72 | -35% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 319.00 | kr 227.98 | -29% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.08 | ¥12.64 | +5% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €188.10 | €95.01 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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