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Farmmi Inc (FAMI) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of Farmmi Inc $0.12, price $0.11, upside +16.0%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Defensive · US · Based in China · ISIN KYG332771495

FI Farmmi Inc logo Thin data Oct 4, 2026

Farmmi Inc

FAMI · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

The stock costs 14% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $0.1224 · Undervalued (+16.0%)
Low debt
Generates free cash flow
Quality 37/100
Weak Growth (revenue 5y −1.5 %/yr in USD)
Loss-making · -189.8% net margin (FY2025)
Trails peers (3/8)
Narrow moat 3/100 · thin data
Thin data
⚠ Dilution
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$1,368 $0.1000 Fair Value $0.1224 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1000 – $1,368 · fair‑value band $0.1087 – $0.1356 · the $0.1055 price screens below the $0.1224 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.

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Company profile

Farmmi, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in processing and sale of agricultural products in China, the United States, Japan, Canada, Europe, Korea, and the Middle East.

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It provides Shiitake mushrooms, Mu Er mushrooms, and other edible fungi, such as bamboo fungi, agrocybe aegerila, pleurotus eryngii, grifola frondose, coprinus comatus, and hericium erinaceus, as well as dried edible fungi.

The company also trades in cotton, corn, tapioca, cornstarch, and other agricultural products. In addition, it offers warehouse, logistics, and delivery services. The company offers its products under the Farmmi Liangpin, Forasen, Farmmi, and Puyangtang brands.

It provides its products through local distributors to processing manufacturers, supermarkets, restaurants, cafeterias, and local specialty stores. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Lishui, China.

Stock analysis

Farmmi Inc (FAMI) currently trades at $0.1055, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1224, implying the stock looks roughly 13.8% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $0.2779 per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the $0.1055 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.0156, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.1087 (bear) to $0.1356 (bull), the price of $0.1055 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Farmmi Inc reported revenue of $28.0M in FY2025 versus $39.3M in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$53.1M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $4.7M · P/S ratio 0.26 · EPS (TTM) $−32.13 · Return on equity −70.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −5.6% · Operating margin −492% · Revenue (TTM) $18.2M · Revenue growth (YoY) −60.4%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 3 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 94% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 16%, FAMI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.1087 Fair Value $0.1224 Bull $0.1356
Price $0.1055 · Upside +16.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF $0.2003 $0.2764 $0.3784 81
Growth DCF $0.2063 $0.2779 $0.3703 79
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0827 $0.0933 $0.1037 74
All 6 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.2003 $0.2764 $0.3784 81
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0827 $0.0933 $0.1037 74
10Y Revenue Exit $0.1269 $0.1440 $0.1606 68
Multiples
EV/Revenue $0.0109 $0.0156 $0.0204 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0237 $0.0317 $0.0474 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.2063 $0.2779 $0.3703 79

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 1
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 4
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 100
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 50
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 100
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 0
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 0
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 24/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−56.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−34.4%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +9.4% a year
Revenue growth 10 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.4%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
3.7% (2020) → −168.9% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 633 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/7 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 37 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +16.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −36.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −189.8% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −60.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/S (12 months) 0.26× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)55 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 23
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 31
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 57

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥27.96 ¥41.84 +50% vs FAMI
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.46 SGD 5.15 SGD +49% vs FAMI
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $22.45 $29.20 +30% vs FAMI
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥33.89 ¥37.28 +10% vs FAMI
General Mills, Inc GIS $32.59 $34.59 +6% vs FAMI
Danone S.A BN €59.28 €50.65 −15% vs FAMI
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 75.20 CHF 59.51 −21% vs FAMI
Kerry Group KRZ €88.70 €59.96 −32% vs FAMI
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,325 ₹724.74 −45% vs FAMI
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.56 ¥9.98 −61% vs FAMI

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Farmmi Inc · Fair Value
$0.1224 +14%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Farmmi Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FAMI

Frequently asked questions

Is Farmmi Inc (FAMI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.1224 versus a price of $0.1055, about +16% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FAMI?
Our model-based fair value for Farmmi Inc is $0.1224 (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $0.1055.
What is the quality score of FAMI?
Farmmi Inc has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.1224 (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.1087, optimistic scenario $0.1356. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Farmmi Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.1224, about +16% upside versus a price of $0.1055 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.1087, optimistic scenario $0.1356. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
Farmmi Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $18.2M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Farmmi Inc it is $0.1224 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of $0.1055. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Farmmi Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, FAMI trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.1055, fair value $0.1224, a gap of about +16% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FAMI?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.1055); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.1224). For Farmmi Inc the two are $0.0169 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Farmmi Inc worth?
The market values Farmmi Inc at about $4.7M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is $0.1055; our models calculate a fair value of $0.1224 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FAMI?
Our models span a range for Farmmi Inc: cautious scenario $0.1087, base $0.1224, optimistic $0.1356 per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price $0.1055). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Farmmi Inc (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity −70.6%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FAMI from its 52-week high?
Farmmi Inc trades at $0.1055, about 94% below its 52-week high of $1.90 and 5% above the low of $0.1000 (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.1224 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Farmmi Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Farmmi Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price $0.1055, calculated fair value $0.1224 (+16%), Quality Score 37/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FAMI calculated?
We run Farmmi Inc through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.1224, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. Farmmi Inc currently trades 14 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was $0.1055. Our model-based fair value is $0.1224, about +16% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Farmmi Inc right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.1087). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Farmmi Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
The market capitalisation of Farmmi Inc is $4.7M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Farmmi Inc is 0.26 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
Earnings per share at Farmmi Inc are $−32.13. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the return on equity of Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Farmmi Inc is −70.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Farmmi Inc is −5.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
The operating margin of Farmmi Inc is −492% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
Revenue at Farmmi Inc is growing −60.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −34.4%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Farmmi Inc (FAMI)?
Earnings per share at Farmmi Inc are growing −84.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Farmmi Inc (FAMI) generate?
The free cash flow of Farmmi Inc is $52.4M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Farmmi Inc (FAMI) carry?
The net debt of Farmmi Inc is $20.0M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.4 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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