Farmmi Inc (FAMI) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $18.7M · ISIN KYG332771230

A solid business, trading 33% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

• The model range is unusually wide ($0.0600 to $0.2400). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
• The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
• Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.1000 – $1,440 · fair‑value band $0.0600 – $0.2400 · the $0.1000 price screens below the $0.1500 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Farmmi Inc (FAMI) currently trades at $0.1000, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.1500, implying the stock looks roughly 50.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $28.0M. Revenue declined 57.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -36.3%. Net debt stands at $20.0M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0600 (bear case) to $0.2400 (bull case); at $0.1000, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 50%, FAMI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($2.73) versus Multiples ($0.2200). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (82).

Key figures & financial health

Quality Score breakdown

About the company

Farmmi, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in processing and sale of agricultural products in China, the United States, Japan, Canada, Europe, Korea, and the Middle East.

Full company description

Farmmi, Inc., through its subsidiaries, engages in processing and sale of agricultural products in China, the United States, Japan, Canada, Europe, Korea, and the Middle East. It provides Shiitake mushrooms, Mu Er mushrooms, and other edible fungi, such as bamboo fungi, agrocybe aegerila, pleurotus eryngii, grifola frondose, coprinus comatus, and hericium erinaceus, as well as dried edible fungi. The company also trades in cotton, corn, tapioca, cornstarch, and other agricultural products. In addition, it offers warehouse, logistics, and delivery services. The company offers its products under the Farmmi Liangpin, Forasen, Farmmi, and Puyangtang brands. It provides its products through local distributors to processing manufacturers, supermarkets, restaurants, cafeterias, and local specialty stores. The company was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Lishui, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Farmmi Inc reported revenue of $28.0M in FY2025 versus $39.3M in FY2021, a compound −8.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$53.1M in FY2025.

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Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 672 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

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Frequently asked questions

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.