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4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc (FDMT) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $505M

Price$11.62
Fair Value$6.74
Upside-42.0%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Low Range $4.45 – $8.42

Analysis

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc (FDMT) currently trades at $11.62, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $6.74 — implying the stock looks roughly 42.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

About the company

4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc., a late-stage biotechnology company, engages in the development of adeno-associated virus vectors from its proprietary synthetic vector discovery platform, Therapeutic Vector Evolution in the Netherlands and the United States. The company's lead product candidate is 4D-150 for the treatment of retinal vascular diseases by providing multi-year sustained production of anti-VEGF from the retina with intravitreal injection, as well as for treating wet age-related macular degeneration and diabetic macular edema. It is also developing 4D-710, which is in early-stage study for the treatment of cystic fibrosis; 4D-175 that is in preclinical stage for treating geographic atrophy; and 4D-725, which is in preclinical stage for the treatment of alpha-1 anti-trypsin deficiency lung disease. 4D Molecular Therapeutics, Inc. has collaboration and licensing agreements with Otsuka Pharmaceutical Co., Ltd. The company was founded in 2013 and is headquartered in EmeryVil…

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.