FFN.TO (FFN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of FFN.TO C$6.11, price C$9.67, upside -36.8%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$1.60 – C$11.61 · fair‑value band C$4.58 – C$7.64 · the C$9.67 price screens above the C$6.11 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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North American Financial 15 Split Corp. is an equity mutual fund launched by Quadravest Inc. It is managed by Quadravest Capital Management Inc. The fund invests in public equity markets of United States and Canada. It invests in high quality portfolio of preferred shares and Class A shares of 15 financial services companies.
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North American Financial 15 Split Corp. is an equity mutual fund launched by Quadravest Inc. It is managed by Quadravest Capital Management Inc. The fund invests in public equity markets of United States and Canada. It invests in high quality portfolio of preferred shares and Class A shares of 15 financial services companies. The fund employs investment strategy along with fundamental based equity investing with covered call writing to create its portfolio. It was formerly known as Financial 15 Split Corp. II. North American Financial 15 Split Corp. was formed on October 15, 2004 and is domiciled in Canada.
Stock analysis
FFN.TO (FFN) currently trades at C$9.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$6.11, implying the stock looks roughly 58.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
How firm this estimate is: it rests on 22 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at high.
Scenario range: C$4.58 (bear) to C$7.64 (bull), the price of C$9.67 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
FFN.TO reported revenue of C$58.4M in FY2025 versus C$89.9M in FY2021, a compound −10.2%/yr. Reported net income was C$172M in FY2025, compounding +18.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap C$714M (≈ $505M) · P/E ratio 3.7 · P/S ratio 10.8 · EPS (TTM) C$2.63 · Dividend yield 12.8% · Net margin 73.7% · Return on equity 32.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 12.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 39% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −37%, FFN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear C$4.58Fair Value C$6.11Bull C$7.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (C$1.14 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−84.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+34.9%
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+14.3%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+14.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+1.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)12.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.1% vs 1%, steady
Profit margin 2019 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.96% → 378%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 9.2%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−7.7%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −9.7% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 657 stocks
Beats the industry median on 10/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score44 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−37% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)32% · Top 25%
Return on assets12% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)74% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)97% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth10% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)12.8% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.01× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)3.7× · Cheapest 25%
P/B0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)2.18× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF22.2× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA4.6× · Cheaper than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 54
FUTURE (revenue growth)51· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)100· sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)49· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)100· sector 81
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "FFN.TO Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FFN
Frequently asked questions
Is FFN.TO (FFN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$6.11 versus a price of C$9.67, about −37% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FFN?
Our model-based fair value for FFN.TO is C$6.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$9.67.
What is the quality score of FFN?
FFN.TO has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for FFN.TO (FFN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of C$6.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 2 valuation models. Cautious scenario C$4.58, optimistic scenario C$7.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the FFN.TO stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at C$6.11, about −37% upside versus a price of C$9.67 (overvalued). Cautious scenario C$4.58, optimistic scenario C$7.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
Does FFN.TO pay a dividend?
FFN.TO currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into FFN.TO (FFN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, FFN.TO would have to grow free cash flow by -7.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 6 years revenue grew +7.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FFN use?
Our models discount FFN.TO at 13.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 2.72, country premium for Canada. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For FFN.TO that is -7.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has FFN.TO (FFN) delivered so far?
Over the past 6 years revenue at FFN.TO grew +7.0 % a year. The price currently implies -7.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of FFN.TO (FFN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +8.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into FFN.TO (-7.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of FFN.TO (FFN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.98 %: that much free cash flow FFN.TO produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of FFN.TO (FFN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For FFN.TO it is C$6.11 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of C$9.67. It is the blended result of 2 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is FFN.TO stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, FFN trades above its calculated fair value: price C$9.67, fair value C$6.11, a gap of about −37% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FFN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (C$9.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (C$6.11). For FFN.TO the two are C$3.56 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is FFN.TO worth?
The market values FFN.TO at about C$714M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is C$9.67; our models calculate a fair value of C$6.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FFN?
Our models span a range for FFN.TO: cautious scenario C$4.58, base C$6.11, optimistic C$7.64 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price C$9.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FFN?
FFN.TO trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 3.7 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of C$6.11 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 2.2, EV/EBITDA 4.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of FFN.TO (FFN)?
Balance-sheet figures for FFN.TO (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 32.0%, debt of 1.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FFN from its 52-week high?
FFN.TO trades at C$9.67, about 17% below its 52-week high of C$11.61 and 39% above the low of C$6.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of C$6.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to FFN.TO?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is FFN.TO stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price C$9.67, calculated fair value C$6.11 (−37%), Quality Score 44/100, from 2 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FFN calculated?
We run FFN.TO through 2 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of C$6.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. FFN.TO itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of FFN.TO (FFN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was C$9.67. Our model-based fair value is C$6.11, about −37% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with FFN.TO right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$7.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
Key figures of FFN.TO
How large is the market capitalisation of FFN.TO (FFN)?
The market capitalisation of FFN.TO is C$714M (≈ $505M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of FFN.TO (FFN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of FFN.TO is 10.8 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of FFN.TO (FFN)?
Earnings per share at FFN.TO are C$2.63 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 3.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of FFN.TO (FFN)?
The dividend yield of FFN.TO is 12.8% (payout 47.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of FFN.TO (FFN)?
The net margin of FFN.TO is 73.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of FFN.TO (FFN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of FFN.TO is 32.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of FFN.TO (FFN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of FFN.TO is 12.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of FFN.TO (FFN)?
The operating margin of FFN.TO is 97.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at FFN.TO (FFN)?
Revenue at FFN.TO is growing +10.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +34.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at FFN.TO (FFN)?
Earnings per share at FFN.TO are growing −1.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does FFN.TO (FFN) carry?
The net debt of FFN.TO is C$507M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 22.2 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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