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Flat Glass Group (FGSGF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Flat Glass Group $1.04, price $0.85, upside +22.7%, quality 44 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? Yes
- Good quality? No
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Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Thin data
Sep 24, 2026
Flat Glass Group
FGSGF · USSpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.
✓Fair value $1.04 · Undervalued (+22.7%)
!Quality 44/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +31.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!17.7% dividend yield · Watch coverage
!Narrow moat 35/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.8476 – $4.98 · fair‑value band $0.7800 – $1.43 · the $0.8476 price screens below the $1.04 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Flat Glass Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of glass products in the People's Republic of China, the rest of Asia, Europe, North America, and internationally.
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Flat Glass Group Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the manufacture and sale of glass products in the People's Republic of China, the rest of Asia, Europe, North America, and internationally. It operates through PV Glass, Household Glass, Architectural Glass, Float Glass, Mining Products, Electricity Generation Revenue, and Other Business segments. The company is also involved in the mining operations and sale of quartzite ores; investment, construction, operation, and maintenance of energy power plants; and sale and installation of natural gas pipelines. In addition, it offers supply chain management services; operates ports; and exports glass products. Further, the company engages in the development and sale of energy technologies and equipment; energy management; cargo handling and transportation; manufacturing and sale of equipment and non-metallic mineral products; research and development for new materials and technologies; manufacture and sale of photovoltaic glasses; and the construction of solar photovoltaic power stations, as well as the sale of electricity. It serves photovoltaic (PV) module manufacturers, glass processing manufacturers, glass wholesalers, furniture manufacturers and processing companies, furniture retailers, architectural contractors, architectural glass processing companies, and construction companies. Flat Glass Group Co., Ltd. was founded in 1998 and is headquartered in Jiaxing, the People's Republic of China.
Stock analysis
Flat Glass Group (FGSGF) currently trades at $0.8476, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.04, implying the stock looks roughly 18.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $1.84 per share, and 18 of the 25 models we run sit above the $0.8476 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.3200, and 7 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: $0.7800 (bear) to $1.43 (bull), the price of $0.8476 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Flat Glass Group reported revenue of 15.1B CNY in FY2025 versus 8.7B CNY in FY2021, a compound +14.8%/yr. Reported net income was 955M CNY in FY2025, compounding −18.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.8B · P/E ratio 20.0 · P/S ratio 1.26 · EPS (TTM) $0.0600 · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 4.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.4% · Operating margin 7.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 23%, FGSGF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $0.7800
Fair Value $1.04
Bull $1.43
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$1.04
$1.04
$1.08
76
EPV
$0.4100
$0.5400
$0.6500
74
ROIC Compounder
$0.4100
$0.5400
$0.6500
72
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$0.1000
$0.3700
$1.23
69
Owner Earnings
$0.1300
$0.7900
$2.13
65
5Y Revenue Exit
$0.4300
$1.22
$2.84
65
5Y EBITDA Exit
$1.31
$3.05
$6.38
69
5Y P/E Exit
$0.4200
$1.49
$2.93
65
10Y Revenue Exit
$0.2900
$1.35
$2.33
62
10Y EBITDA Exit
$0.9500
$3.10
$7.32
61
10Y P/E Exit
$0.3200
$1.32
$3.12
56
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$0.4200
$2.90
$4.06
63
Lynch FV
$0.9800
$1.40
$1.82
61
PEG = 1.0
$0.9800
$1.40
$1.82
57
EPV
$0.4100
$0.5400
$0.6500
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$0.1900
$0.3800
$0.5700
67
DDM Multi-Stage
$0.1900
$0.3200
$0.4000
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$0.9600
$1.28
$1.60
63
P/S Multiple
$0.7800
$1.04
$1.30
58
P/B Multiple
$0.7800
$1.04
$1.30
55
EV/EBIT
$0.8700
$1.30
$1.72
65
EV/EBITDA
$1.79
$2.53
$3.27
67
EV/Revenue
$0.5000
$0.8900
$1.29
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$0.7000
$0.9400
$1.41
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$0.0600
$0.4500
$1.19
67
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$1.04
$1.04
$1.08
76
ROIC Compounder
$0.4100
$0.5400
$0.6500
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$1.29
$1.84
$2.39
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
44/100
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14
Profitability
24
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
40
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
47
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
39
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
26
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
20
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
15
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+28.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+31.2%
Revenue growth 12 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+23.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+0.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.0.2% vs 10.2%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.30% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
more than +80 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+14.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.4% a year for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+1.7%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+21.2%
Projected 2028 (sales)+18.8%
Projected 2029 (sales)+16.4%
Projected 2030 (sales)+14.0%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Solar · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/11 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Solar median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
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| Tongwei Co 600438 | ¥11.12 | ¥12.13 | +9% |
| Waaree Energies Limited WAAREEENER | ₹2,340 | ₹2,709 | +16% |
| Jinko Solar Co 688223 | ¥3.75 | ¥6.49 | +73% |
| Hanwha Solutions Corporation 009830 | 29,200 KRW | 9,611 KRW | −67% |
| Hengdian Group 002056 | ¥20.04 | ¥31.86 | +59% |
| CSI Solar Co 688472 | ¥8.32 | ¥4.88 | −41% |
| Enphase Energy, Inc ENPH | $30.91 | $24.08 | −22% |
| Premier Energies Limited PREMIERENE | ₹896.40 | ₹648.72 | −28% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Flat Glass Group (FGSGF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.04 versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.8476, about +23% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FGSGF?
Our model-based fair value for Flat Glass Group is $1.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 25, 2026): $0.8476.
What is the quality score of FGSGF?
Flat Glass Group has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.7800, optimistic scenario $1.43. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Flat Glass Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.04, about +23% upside versus the last price from Sep 25, 2026 of $0.8476 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.7800, optimistic scenario $1.43. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
Flat Glass Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 15.2B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Flat Glass Group would have to grow free cash flow by more than 80 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.9 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +19.3 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of FGSGF use?
Our models discount Flat Glass Group at 10.9 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 1.48, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Flat Glass Group that is more than 80 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.9 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Flat Glass Group (FGSGF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Flat Glass Group grew +19.3 % a year. The price currently implies more than 80 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Flat Glass Group (more than 80 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 0.36 %: that much free cash flow Flat Glass Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.9 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Flat Glass Group it is $1.04 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $0.8476. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Flat Glass Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FGSGF trades below its calculated fair value: price $0.8476, fair value $1.04, a gap of about +23% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FGSGF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($0.8476); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.04). For Flat Glass Group the two are $0.1924 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Flat Glass Group worth?
The market values Flat Glass Group at about $2.8B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $0.8476; our models calculate a fair value of $1.04 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FGSGF?
Our models span a range for Flat Glass Group: cautious scenario $0.7800, base $1.04, optimistic $1.43 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $0.8476). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FGSGF?
Flat Glass Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.0 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.04 is built from several models across several years.
How solid is the balance sheet of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Flat Glass Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 4.2%, debt of 0.48 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 44/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is FGSGF from its 52-week high?
Flat Glass Group trades at $0.8476, about 43% below its 52-week high of $1.49 and at the low of $0.8476 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.04 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Flat Glass Group?
From the same area (Technology) we also value First Solar, Inc, Nextpower Inc, Tongwei Co, Waaree Energies Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Flat Glass Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $0.8476, calculated fair value $1.04 (+23%), Quality Score 44/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FGSGF calculated?
We run Flat Glass Group through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.04, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Flat Glass Group currently trades 19 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 25, 2026 and stands at $0.8476. Our model-based fair value is $1.04, about +23% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Flat Glass Group right now?
A fairly wide model range ($0.7800 to $1.43) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Where does the earnings growth of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF) come from?
Earnings per share at Flat Glass Group grew +12.5 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +21.0 %, EBIT margin −8.3 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.2 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Flat Glass Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
The market capitalisation of Flat Glass Group is $2.8B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Flat Glass Group is 1.26 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
Earnings per share at Flat Glass Group are $0.0600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.0). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
The net margin of Flat Glass Group is 6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Flat Glass Group is 4.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Flat Glass Group is 6.4% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
The operating margin of Flat Glass Group is 7.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
Revenue at Flat Glass Group is growing −9.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Flat Glass Group (FGSGF)?
Earnings per share at Flat Glass Group are growing −60.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Flat Glass Group (FGSGF) carry?
The net debt of Flat Glass Group is 11.1B CNY (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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