Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Furukawa Co.,Ltd $19.56, price $22.64, upside -13.6%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
5‑month range $21.56 – $28.76 · fair‑value band $14.60 – $29.20 · the $22.64 price screens above the $19.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Furukawa Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells machinery, metals, electronics, and chemical products Japan and internationally. It operates through Industrial Machinery, Rock Drills, Unique, Metals, Electronics, Chemical Products, and Real Estate segments.
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Furukawa Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells machinery, metals, electronics, and chemical products Japan and internationally. It operates through Industrial Machinery, Rock Drills, Unique, Metals, Electronics, Chemical Products, and Real Estate segments. The company offers slurry, sewage, submersible heavy-duty sand, water, special, and shield construction slurry pumps; crushers, grinding mills, briquetting machines, classifiers and separators, scrap car shredders, crushers and mills for recycling use, material handling systems, and plants; and electrostatic precipitators, filtration-type precipitators, electric precipitators for tunneling work, harmful gas processors, water treatment equipment, and steel structures and bridge. It also provides hydraulic breakers, crushers, and crawler drills; pneumatic crawler, down the hole drills, and rotary drills; tunnel and mining machines; concrete sprayers; pneumatic tools; UNIC cranes and carriers; and mini-crawler and marine cranes. In addition, the company offers electrolytic copper, gold, and silver; sulfuric acid; metallic polycrystals, compounds, cores and coils, sheets, and fillers; optical products; diffractive-optical elements; and cuprous and cupric oxide. Further, it provides copper carbonate, iron sulfate heptahydrate; global and domestic transportation; storage in warehouse service; tin, aluminum, silicon, magnesium, and copper powder; castings erosion-resistant cast steels; and manganese and chromium steel, reinforcement, and alloy and wear resistant castings. The company was formerly known as Furukawa Mining Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Furukawa Co.,Ltd. in 1989. Furukawa Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF) currently trades at $22.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.56, 13.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $42.55 per share, and 10 of the 16 models we run sit above the $22.64 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $5.08, and 6 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $14.60 (bear) to $29.20 (bull), the price of $22.64 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Furukawa Co.,Ltd reported revenue of ¥211B in FY2026 versus ¥199B in FY2022, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥12.8B in FY2026, compounding +18.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $734M · P/E ratio 8.9 · P/S ratio 0.54 · EPS (TTM) $2.53 · Net margin 6.1% · Return on equity 9.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.7% · Operating margin 6.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at −14%, FKWAF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $14.60Fair Value $19.56Bull $29.20
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.27 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.24/100
Revenue growth is weak: less than 2 % a year.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.5%
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+18.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+18.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 5%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 449 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/12 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−13.6% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.7% · Top 25%
Return on assets2.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)6.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)6.5% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth23.9% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.32× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Furukawa Co.,Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FKWAF
Frequently asked questions
Is Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.56 versus a price of $22.64, about −14% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FKWAF?
Our model-based fair value for Furukawa Co.,Ltd is $19.56 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $22.64.
What is the quality score of FKWAF?
Furukawa Co.,Ltd has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $19.56 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.60, optimistic scenario $29.20. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Furukawa Co.,Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $19.56, about −14% upside versus a price of $22.64 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $14.60, optimistic scenario $29.20. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
Furukawa Co.,Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥223B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Furukawa Co.,Ltd it is $19.56 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $22.64. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Furukawa Co.,Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, FKWAF trades above its calculated fair value: price $22.64, fair value $19.56, a gap of about −14% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of FKWAF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($22.64); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($19.56). For Furukawa Co.,Ltd the two are $3.08 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Furukawa Co.,Ltd worth?
The market values Furukawa Co.,Ltd at about $734M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $22.64; our models calculate a fair value of $19.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about FKWAF?
Our models span a range for Furukawa Co.,Ltd: cautious scenario $14.60, base $19.56, optimistic $29.20 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $22.64). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of FKWAF?
Furukawa Co.,Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.9 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $19.56 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Furukawa Co.,Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 9.7%, debt of 0.32 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Furukawa Co.,Ltd?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Saudi Arabian Mining Company, CMOC Group, Hindustan Zinc Limited, China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Furukawa Co.,Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $22.64, calculated fair value $19.56 (−14%), Quality Score 52/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of FKWAF calculated?
We run Furukawa Co.,Ltd through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $19.56, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Furukawa Co.,Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $22.64. Our model-based fair value is $19.56, about −14% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Furukawa Co.,Ltd right now?
Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($14.60 to $29.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Furukawa Co.,Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
The market capitalisation of Furukawa Co.,Ltd is $734M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Furukawa Co.,Ltd is 0.54 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
Earnings per share at Furukawa Co.,Ltd are $2.53 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
The net margin of Furukawa Co.,Ltd is 6.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Furukawa Co.,Ltd is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Furukawa Co.,Ltd is 3.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
The operating margin of Furukawa Co.,Ltd is 6.5% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
Revenue at Furukawa Co.,Ltd is growing +23.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF)?
Earnings per share at Furukawa Co.,Ltd are growing +77.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF) generate?
The free cash flow of Furukawa Co.,Ltd is −¥1.5B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Furukawa Co.,Ltd (FKWAF) carry?
The net debt of Furukawa Co.,Ltd is ¥36.3B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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