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Furukawa Co (FKWAF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $699M

FC Furukawa Co logo Furukawa Co FKWAF · US
Price$22.64
Fair Value$30.45
Upside+34.5%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 6.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/9)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: Medium Range $24.03 – $71.76 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

A solid business, screening 35% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($24.03). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The model range is unusually wide ($24.03 to $71.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
  • Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

$28.76 $21.56 Fair Value $30.45 Apr 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range $21.56 – $28.76 · fair‑value band $24.03 – $71.76 · the $22.64 price screens below the $30.45 fair value. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Furukawa Co (FKWAF) currently trades at $22.64, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $30.45, implying the stock looks roughly 34.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Furukawa Co generated revenue of $211B at a net margin of 6.1%. Revenue grew 11.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.1%. Net debt stands at $31.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $24.03 (bear case) to $71.76 (bull case); at $22.64, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 21% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -34% fair-value upside, at 35%, FKWAF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $7.08 $8.79 $10.21 72
Growth-Adj P/E $41.07 $58.67 $76.27 68
P/E Multiple $56.75 $75.66 $94.58 63
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $22.11 $30.45 $41.75 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $25.73 $50.68 $63.50 54
EPV $7.08 $8.79 $10.21 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $56.75 $75.66 $94.58 63
P/S Multiple $48.23 $64.31 $80.39 58
P/B Multiple $48.23 $64.31 $80.39 55
EV/EBIT $21.32 $30.25 $39.18 53
EV/EBITDA $23.46 $33.10 $42.74 54
EV/Revenue $12.59 $20.33 $28.07 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.29 $17.81 $26.58 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $24.50 $29.29 $57.30 61
ROIC Compounder $7.08 $8.79 $10.21 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $41.07 $58.67 $76.27 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($58.67) versus Earnings-Based ($8.79). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $211B
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.1%
Net margin 6.1%
Return on equity 9.1%
Free cash flow −$7.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 8.8
More key figures
Operating margin 6.0%
EPS (TTM) $2.46
EPS growth (YoY) -30.7%
Net debt $31.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 34

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 57
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 5
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 63
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Furukawa Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells machinery, metals, electronics, and chemical products Japan and internationally. It operates through Industrial Machinery, Rock Drills, Unique, Metals, Electronics, Chemical Products, and Real Estate segments.

Full company description

Furukawa Co.,Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells machinery, metals, electronics, and chemical products Japan and internationally. It operates through Industrial Machinery, Rock Drills, Unique, Metals, Electronics, Chemical Products, and Real Estate segments. The company offers slurry, sewage, submersible heavy-duty sand, water, special, and shield construction slurry pumps; crushers, grinding mills, briquetting machines, classifiers and separators, scrap car shredders, crushers and mills for recycling use, material handling systems, and plants; and electrostatic precipitators, filtration-type precipitators, electric precipitators for tunneling work, harmful gas processors, water treatment equipment, and steel structures and bridge. It also provides hydraulic breakers, crushers, and crawler drills; pneumatic crawler, down the hole drills, and rotary drills; tunnel and mining machines; concrete sprayers; pneumatic tools; UNIC cranes and carriers; and mini-crawler and marine cranes. In addition, the company offers electrolytic copper, gold, and silver; sulfuric acid; metallic polycrystals, compounds, cores and coils, sheets, and fillers; optical products; diffractive-optical elements; and cuprous and cupric oxide. Further, it provides copper carbonate, iron sulfate heptahydrate; global and domestic transportation; storage in warehouse service; tin, aluminum, silicon, magnesium, and copper powder; castings erosion-resistant cast steels; and manganese and chromium steel, reinforcement, and alloy and wear resistant castings. The company was formerly known as Furukawa Mining Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Furukawa Co.,Ltd. in 1989. Furukawa Co.,Ltd. was founded in 1875 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Furukawa Co reported revenue of $201B in FY2025 versus $199B in FY2022, a compound +0.4%/yr. Reported net income was $18.6B in FY2025, compounding +42.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$201B
Latest YoY
+6.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+0.4%
Revenue +0.4%/yr
FY22 $199B
FY23 $214B
FY24 $188B
FY25 $201B
Net income +42.2%/yr
FY22 $6.5B
FY23 $6.2B
FY24 $16.1B
FY25 $18.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Furukawa Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FKWAF

Peer Group

Other Industrial Metals & Mining · 476 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +35% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 6% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 6% · Above median
Revenue growth 11% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.40× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Other Industrial Metals & Mining median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.8× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 79 · sector 0
FUTURE 56 · sector 23
PAST 36 · sector 0
HEALTH 80 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 21

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Other Industrial Metals & Mining stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
BHP Group BHPN 1,425 MXN 942.42 MXN -34%
Rio Tinto Group RIO A$164.89 A$81.76 -50%
Grupo México, S.A. GMEXICOB 199.23 MXN 187.72 MXN -6%
Vale S.A VALE $14.19 $9.14 -36%
Saudi Arabian Mining Company 1211 58.05 SAR 33.87 SAR -42%
CMOC Group 603993 ¥18.20 ¥16.15 -11%
Fortescue Ltd FMG A$18.47 A$18.62 +1%
China Tungsten And Hightech Materials Co 000657 ¥74.71 ¥9.55 -87%
Hindustan Zinc Limited HINDZINC ₹521.95 ₹576.80 +11%
China Northern Rare Earth (Group) High-Tech Co 600111 ¥39.56 ¥10.59 -73%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Furukawa Co (FKWAF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $30.45 versus a price of $22.64, about +35% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of FKWAF?
Our model-based fair value for Furukawa Co is $30.45 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $22.64.
What is the quality score of FKWAF?
Furukawa Co has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Furukawa Co (FKWAF)?
Furukawa Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $211B (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FKWAF?
The net profit margin of Furukawa Co is about 6.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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