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Fluent, Inc (FLNT) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · US · Market cap $90.0M

FI Fluent, Inc logo Fluent, Inc FLNT · US
Price$4.04
Fair Value$2.97
Upside-26.6%
Quality26/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -12.2% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/11)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.74 – $3.90 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated 25 days ago

Share price +7.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($3.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (26/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.74 to $3.90) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$22.32 $1.56 Fair Value $2.97 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.56 – $22.32 · fair‑value band $1.74 – $3.90 · the $4.04 price screens above the $2.97 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Fluent, Inc (FLNT) currently trades at $4.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.97, implying the stock looks roughly 26.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 26/100 (below-average quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Fluent, Inc generated revenue of $198M at a net margin of -12.2%. Revenue declined 18.8% year over year. Net debt stands at $24.7M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.74 (bear case) to $3.90 (bull case); at $4.04, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 138% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at -1% fair-value upside, at -27%, FLNT screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $15.69 $26.29 $34.12 70
DDM Multi-Stage $15.69 $24.93 $28.28 61
NCAV (Graham) $0.3100 $0.4100 $0.6100 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $15.69 $26.29 $34.12 70
DDM Multi-Stage $15.69 $24.93 $28.28 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3100 $0.4100 $0.6100 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($24.93) versus Asset-Based ($0.4100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $198M
Revenue growth (YoY) -18.8%
Net margin -12.2%
Return on equity -137%
Free cash flow −$1.5M FY2025
Operating margin -13.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.8300
EPS growth (YoY) +33,527%
Net debt $24.7M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 26/100

Of which business quality 27 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 70

Profitability 37
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 23
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 9
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 35
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 98
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Fluent, Inc. provides digital marketing services in the United States and internationally. The company offers customer acquisition services by operating digital marketing campaigns, through which the company connects its advertiser clients with consumers.

Full company description

Fluent, Inc. provides digital marketing services in the United States and internationally. The company offers customer acquisition services by operating digital marketing campaigns, through which the company connects its advertiser clients with consumers. It also provides performance campaigns, such as a trial subscription of a good or service, the submission of a registration form, and the installation of a mobile app; consumer data directly via direct mail, email, telephone, messaging, and other channels; programmatic data offerings; call solutions marketplace; and social media campaigns through Adparlor. It serves consumer brands; direct marketers; and agencies across a wide range of industries, such as media and entertainment, financial products and services, health and life sciences, retail and consumer, and staffing and recruitment. Fluent, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Fluent, Inc reported revenue of $209M in FY2025 versus $329M in FY2021, a compound −10.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$27.2M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$209M
Latest YoY
−18.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (18Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+20.0%
Revenue −10.8%/yr
FY21 $329M
FY22 $361M
FY23 $298M
FY24 $255M
FY25 $209M
Net income
FY21 −$10.1M
FY22 −$123M
FY23 −$63.2M
FY24 −$29.3M
FY25 −$27.2M

FLNT screens 27% overvalued. Compare with AppLovin Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Fluent, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/FLNT

Peer Group

Advertising Agencies · 199 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 26 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on assets -14% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -12% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -13% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -19% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.94× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.45× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.81× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 19
FUTURE 0 · sector 8
PAST 0 · sector 7
HEALTH 90 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 66

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Advertising Agencies stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
AppLovin Corporation APP $506.98 $181.37 -64%
Publicis Groupe S.A PUB €87.16 €146.36 +68%
Omnicom Group OMC $80.75 $99.84 +24%
Focus Media Information Technology Co 002027 ¥5.00 ¥4.08 -18%
The Trade Desk, Inc TTD $19.37 $20.76 +7%
BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group 300058 ¥13.81 ¥1.50 -89%
JCDecaux SE DEC €21.28 €20.99 -1%
WPP plc WPP $18.13 $18.56 +2%
Easy Click Worldwide Network Technology Co 301171 ¥28.85 ¥5.62 -81%
Mobvista Inc 1860 HK$11.15 HK$6.43 -42%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Fluent, Inc (FLNT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.97 versus a price of $4.04, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of FLNT?
Our model-based fair value for Fluent, Inc is $2.97 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.04.
What is the quality score of FLNT?
Fluent, Inc has a Quality Score of 26/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Fluent, Inc (FLNT)?
Fluent, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $198M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of FLNT?
The net profit margin of Fluent, Inc is about -12.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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