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Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. (G) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · IT · Market cap €67.1B · ISIN IT0000062072

What is Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. really worth?

AG Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. G · MI
Price€44.87
Fair Value€10.92
Upside−75.7%
Quality52/100

A solid business, but trading 311% above our fair value of €10.92.

As of Sep 3, 2026, the fair value of Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. is €10.92 per share against a price of €44.87, so the fair value sits 76% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.

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Strengths

Moderate debt · generates free cash flow

Risks

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y −10.4 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.7% net margin
!Trails peers (4/15)
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Weak on future: 27 out of 100

For context

·3.66% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range €8.18 – €13.64

Fair value as of: Sep 3, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 3 days ago

Share price +0.5% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€13.64). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (52/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€44.87 €10.88 Fair Value €10.92 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €10.88 – €44.87 · fair‑value band €8.18 – €13.64 · the €44.87 price screens above the €10.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 3, 2026.

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Analysis

Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. (G) currently trades at €44.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €10.92, implying the stock looks roughly 310.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: the Economic Profit group reads highest at a median of €16.34 per share, and 0 of the 6 models we run sit above the €44.87 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at €12.06, and 6 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. generated revenue of €57.8B at a net margin of 7.2%. Revenue grew 5.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 13.7%. Net debt stands at €32.3B. Fundamentals as of Sep 3, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €8.18 (bear case) to €13.64 (bull case); at €44.87, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −11% fair-value upside, at −76%, G screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

This estimate rests on fiscal year 2025 figures, and about 8 months have passed since. In that time the company retained roughly €0.8937 per share, which is 8.2 % of the fair value. The fair value deliberately does not add this in: the models value reported figures, not a projection.

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income best evidence €16.14 €16.34 €15.32 76
Gordon GGM €13.18 €14.43 €16.33 69
DDM Multi-Stage €13.18 €16.54 €21.25 67
All 6 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €13.18 €14.43 €16.33 69
DDM Multi-Stage €13.18 €16.54 €21.25 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple €9.04 €12.06 €15.07 63
P/B Multiple €11.82 €15.76 €19.71 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €10.60 €14.21 €21.21 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income best evidence €16.14 €16.34 €15.32 76

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (€16.34) versus Multiples (€12.06). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 16.7
P/S ratio 0.52 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) €2.69 price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.7
Dividend yield 3.7% payout 61.0%
Net margin 3.1% FY2025
Return on equity 13.7% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 0.9% avg 5y
Operating margin 11.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €57.8B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +5.6% 3y avg −14.8%
EPS growth (YoY) +6.8%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow €19.2B FY2025
Net debt €32.3B FY2025 · ≈ 1.7 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Sep 3, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 52/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 84

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 26
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 100
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 4
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 91
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 77
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 96
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. provides various insurance solutions under the Generali brand in the Americas, Italy, rest of Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and the Oceania. The company operates through Life, Property & Casualty, and Asset & Wealth Management segments.

Full company description

Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. provides various insurance solutions under the Generali brand in the Americas, Italy, rest of Europe, Africa, the Middle East, Asia, and the Oceania. The company operates through Life, Property & Casualty, and Asset & Wealth Management segments. It offers savings, individual and family protection, and unit linked products, as well as motor third-party liability, home, property and casualty, accident, health, and commercial and industrial risks insurance products; and insurance plans for multinational companies. It also provides equity and fixed-income funds, and alternative products. The company was formerly known as Assicurazioni Generali Austro-Italiche and changed its name to Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. in 1848. Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. was founded in 1831 and is headquartered in Trieste, Italy.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. reported revenue of €45.0B in FY2025 versus €92.8B in FY2021, a compound −16.6%/yr. Reported net income was €1.4B in FY2025, compounding −16.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€45.0B
Latest YoY
+5.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−14.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−10.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (22Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−7.4% · in EUR
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−11.1%
Dividend yield3.7%
Trend Two data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −11.1% vs 10Y −3.2%, flattening
Operating margin (EBIT) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4.0% (2020) → 8.0% (2025) · rising
Worst earnings drop96% (2012) · in EUR
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 5.4%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) Structural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue −16.6%/yr
FY21 €92.8B
FY22 €72.6B
FY23 €57.2B
FY24 €42.8B
FY25 €45.0B
Net income −16.2%/yr
FY21 €2.8B
FY22 €2.9B
FY23 €3.7B
FY24 €3.7B
FY25 €1.4B
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2012-2023) +10.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share −1.0 %

of which total revenue −0.8 % · buybacks/dilution −0.2 %

EBIT margin +9.9 %
Tax rate +2.4 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

G screens 311% overvalued. Compare with Berkshire Hathaway Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/G.MI

Peer Group

Insurance - Diversified · 83 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 51 · Below median
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 15% · Above median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Above median
Revenue growth 5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.7% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.23× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Diversified median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.7× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.43× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.31× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 4.1× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 13.6× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 10.42× · Pricier than 75% of peers

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years-10.5 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years-10.4 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+8.1 %
FCF yield on price28.51 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models10.5 %

The price demands roughly the growth the company recently delivered. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 11
FUTURE27 · sector 31
PAST61 · sector 49
HEALTH38 · sector 89
DIVIDEND73 · sector 72

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Insurance - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Sep 3, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Berkshire Hathaway Inc BRKB80 1.67 THB 1.48 THB −11%
Allianz SE ALV €450.60 €266.04 −41%
Zurich Insurance Group ZURN CHF 596.00 CHF 335.07 −44%
AXA SA CS €44.64 €39.90 −11%
Sun Life Financial Inc SLF C$108.85 C$57.05 −48%
American International Group AIG $76.14 $80.91 +6%
The Hartford Insurance Group HIG $137.38 $133.10 −3%
Arch Capital Group ACGL $98.10 $124.45 +27%
Swiss Life Holding SLHN CHF 919.00 CHF 425.23 −54%
Sampo Oyj SAMPO €9.68 €6.06 −37%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. (G) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €10.92 versus a price of €44.87, about −76% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of G?
Our model-based fair value for Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. is €10.92 (as of Sep 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €44.87.
What is the quality score of G?
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. (G)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €10.92 (as of Sep 3, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario €8.18, optimistic scenario €13.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €10.92, about −76% upside versus a price of €44.87 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €8.18, optimistic scenario €13.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. (G)?
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €57.8B (latest available figure, as of Sep 3, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of G?
The net profit margin of Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. is about 7.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. pay a dividend?
Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.66% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. (G)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. would have to grow free cash flow by -10.5 % per year for ten years (discount rate 10.5 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -10.4 % per year. As of Sep 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of G use?
Our models discount Assicurazioni Generali S.p.A. at 10.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.66, country premium for Italy. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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