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Galderma Group (GDERF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $48.9B

GG Galderma Group logo Galderma Group GDERF · US
Price$219.95
Fair Value$52.27
Upside-76.2%
Quality74/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 11.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.20% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range $38.44 – $65.33 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +5.4% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 76% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 74/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($65.33). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$238.05 $76.26 Fair Value $52.27 May 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range $76.26 – $238.05 · fair‑value band $38.44 – $65.33 · the $219.95 price screens above the $52.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

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Analysis

Galderma Group (GDERF) currently trades at $219.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $52.27, implying the stock looks roughly 76.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 74/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Galderma Group generated revenue of $5.2B at a net margin of 11.7%. Revenue grew 24.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.7%. Net debt stands at $1.8B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $38.44 (bear case) to $65.33 (bull case); at $219.95, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 11% below its 52-week high and 55% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -49% fair-value upside, at -76%, GDERF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $47.34 $86.17 $150.60 80
Residual Income $28.42 $30.11 $33.30 76
Rev-Margin DCF $32.76 $58.53 $91.11 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $47.45 $88.88 $158.97 38
Owner Earnings $34.13 $65.56 $118.72 31
5Y Revenue Exit $32.76 $58.73 $92.99 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $41.04 $75.43 $117.61 41
5Y P/E Exit $34.48 $62.20 $92.97 38
10Y Revenue Exit $36.18 $62.22 $100.18 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $42.75 $74.32 $120.38 37
10Y P/E Exit $38.44 $64.74 $100.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $17.77 $76.50 $104.56 54
Lynch FV $19.61 $28.01 $36.42 50
PEG = 1.0 $19.61 $28.01 $36.42 46
EPV $20.43 $25.11 $29.21 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.60 $3.34 $5.29 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.60 $2.81 $3.50 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $39.20 $52.27 $65.33 63
P/S Multiple $33.32 $44.43 $55.53 58
P/B Multiple $33.32 $44.43 $55.53 55
EV/EBIT $42.75 $59.55 $76.36 53
EV/EBITDA $42.17 $58.78 $75.39 54
EV/Revenue $26.31 $40.88 $55.44 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $17.37 $23.28 $34.74 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $47.34 $86.17 $150.60 80
Rev-Margin DCF $32.76 $58.53 $91.11 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $28.42 $30.11 $33.30 76
ROIC Compounder $20.43 $25.11 $29.21 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $31.89 $45.56 $59.23 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($64.74) versus Dividend Discount ($2.81). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $5.2B
Revenue growth (YoY) +24.8%
Net margin 11.7%
Return on equity 7.7%
Free cash flow $1.0B FY2025
P/E ratio 80.7
More key figures
Operating margin 17.8%
EPS (TTM) $2.58
Dividend yield 0.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +129%
Net debt $1.8B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 74/100

Of which business quality 71 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 40
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 86
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 95
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 59
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 73
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 92
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Galderma Group AG operates as a dermatology company worldwide. The company delivers a science-based portfolio of brands and services for the dermatology market, including injectable aesthetics, dermatological skincare, and therapeutic dermatology.

Full company description

Galderma Group AG operates as a dermatology company worldwide. The company delivers a science-based portfolio of brands and services for the dermatology market, including injectable aesthetics, dermatological skincare, and therapeutic dermatology. Its portfolio of flagship brands includes Azzalure, ALLUZIENCE, Dysport, Restylane, Restylane Skinboosters, Sculptra, Cetaphil, ALASTIN, Soolantra, Epiduo, Epiduo Forte, Differin, AKLIEF, Oracea, Metvix, NEMLUVIO, Relfydess, Benzac, and Loceryl in therapeutic dermatology. The company was founded in 1981 and is headquartered in Zug, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Galderma Group reported revenue of $5.2B in FY2025 versus $3.4B in FY2021, a compound +11.1%/yr. Reported net income was $613M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 88/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$5.2B
Latest YoY
+18.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.1%
Revenue +11.1%/yr
FY21 $3.4B
FY22 $3.8B
FY23 $4.1B
FY24 $4.4B
FY25 $5.2B
Net income
FY21 −$154M
FY22 −$98.5M
FY23 −$57.0M
FY24 $231M
FY25 $613M

GDERF screens 76% overvalued. Compare with Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Galderma Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GDERF

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic · 626 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 74 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −76% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 18% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 25% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.32× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 80.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 6.00× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 9.32× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 47.4× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 44.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
PEG 1.88× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 7
FUTURE 100 · sector 20
PAST 31 · sector 23
HEALTH 84 · sector 97
DIVIDEND 4 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & Generic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals Co 600276 ¥53.19 ¥25.94 -51%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited SUNPHARMA ₹1,933 ₹989.50 -49%
Divi's Laboratories Limited DIVISLAB ₹7,316 ₹1,943 -73%
Torrent Pharmaceuticals Limited TORNTPHARM ₹4,763 ₹1,329 -72%
PharmaEssentia Corporation 6446 1,285 TWD 221.01 TWD -83%
Cipla Limited CIPLA ₹1,439 ₹1,001 -30%
Zydus Lifesciences Limited ZYDUSLIFE ₹1,151 ₹703.32 -39%
Lupin Limited LUPIN ₹2,443 ₹2,477 +1%
Mankind Pharma Limited MANKIND ₹2,484 ₹983.11 -60%
Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Limited DRREDDY ₹1,211 ₹874.79 -28%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Galderma Group (GDERF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $52.27 versus a price of $219.95, about −76% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GDERF?
Our model-based fair value for Galderma Group is $52.27 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $219.95.
What is the quality score of GDERF?
Galderma Group has a Quality Score of 74/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Galderma Group (GDERF)?
Galderma Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $5.2B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GDERF?
The net profit margin of Galderma Group is about 11.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 11.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Galderma Group pay a dividend?
Galderma Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.20% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 17, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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