GDS Holdings (GDS) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $6.3B
GDS Holdings
GDS · US
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 25 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from $15.05 to $14.94 (−0.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −2.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 53% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($15.29). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $5.06 – $82.97 · fair‑value band $11.61 – $15.29 · the $31.98 price screens above the $14.94 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
GDS Holdings (GDS) currently trades at $31.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $14.94, implying the stock looks roughly 53.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, GDS Holdings generated revenue of $12.1B at a net margin of 23.5%. Revenue grew 23.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.0%. Net debt stands at $33.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.61 (bear case) to $15.29 (bull case); at $31.98, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 34% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -53%, GDS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 14 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($147.33) versus Dividend Discount ($4.08). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 26
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
GDS Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and operation of data centers in the People's Republic of China.
Full company description
GDS Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the development and operation of data centers in the People's Republic of China. It provides colocation services comprising critical facilities space, customer-available power, racks, and cooling; managed hosting services, including business continuity and disaster recovery, network management, data storage, system security, operating system, database, and server middleware services; managed cloud services; and consulting services. The company serves cloud service providers, large Internet companies, financial institutions, telecommunications carriers and IT service providers, large domestic private sector, and multinational corporations. GDS Holdings Limited was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shanghai, the People's Republic of China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
GDS Holdings reported revenue of $11.4B in FY2025 versus $7.8B in FY2021, a compound +10.0%/yr. Reported net income was $950M in FY2025.
GDS screens 53% overvalued. Compare with International Business Machines Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- GDS to Report Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results Before the Open of the U.S. Market on August 13, 2026
- GDS Releases 2025 Sustainability Report, Achieving MSCI AAA Rating
- Is GDS Holdings Limited (GDS) Among the Best AI Stocks to Buy and Hold for the Next 5 Years?
Peer Group
Information Technology Services · 480 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Information Technology Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| International Business Machines Corporation IBM | $235.92 | $143.90 | -39% |
| Accenture plc ACNN | 2,460 MXN | 250.95 MXN | -90% |
| Infosys Limited INFY | ₹1,156 | ₹1,457 | +26% |
| HCL Technologies Limited HCLTECH | ₹1,204 | ₹1,230 | +2% |
| Wipro Limited WIPRO | ₹178.43 | ₹226.81 | +27% |
| Tech Mahindra Limited TECHM | ₹1,455 | ₹1,086 | -25% |
| Samsung SDS Co 018260 | 199,300 KRW | 196,390 KRW | -1% |
| Persistent Systems Limited PERSISTENT | ₹5,059 | ₹2,364 | -53% |
| Hyundai Autoever Corporation 307950 | 393,000 KRW | 133,088 KRW | -66% |
| Coforge Limited COFORGE | ₹1,541 | ₹702.84 | -54% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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