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Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $93.4M

GT Geospace Technologies Corporation logo Geospace Technologies Corporation GEOS · US
Price$5.85
Fair Value$4.71
Upside-19.5%
Quality49/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -28.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range $3.11 – $5.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Share price −15.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 19% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.11 to $5.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$28.41 $3.89 Fair Value $4.71 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.89 – $28.41 · fair‑value band $3.11 – $5.89 · the $5.85 price screens above the $4.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) currently trades at $5.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.71, implying the stock looks roughly 19.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, Geospace Technologies Corporation generated revenue of $101M at a net margin of -28.9%. Revenue grew 9.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -24.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $25.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.11 (bear case) to $5.89 (bull case); at $5.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -19%, GEOS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $4.85 $6.50 $9.70 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.85 $6.50 $9.70 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $101M
Revenue growth (YoY) +9.5%
Net margin -28.9%
Return on equity -24.4%
Free cash flow −$30.2M FY2025
Operating margin -58.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-2.27
EPS growth (YoY) -30.9%
Net cash $25.4M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 15

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 1
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Geospace Technologies Corporation designs and manufactures instruments and equipment used in the oil and gas industry to acquire seismic data in order to locate, characterize, and monitor hydrocarbon producing reservoirs. The company operates through three segments: Smart Water, Energy Solutions and Intelligent Industrial.

Full company description

Geospace Technologies Corporation designs and manufactures instruments and equipment used in the oil and gas industry to acquire seismic data in order to locate, characterize, and monitor hydrocarbon producing reservoirs. The company operates through three segments: Smart Water, Energy Solutions and Intelligent Industrial. The Energy Solutions segment offers wireless seismic data acquisition systems and reservoir characterization products and services, as well as traditional seismic exploration products, such as geophones, hydrophones, leader wires, connectors, cables, marine streamer retrieval and steering devices, and other seismic products. The Smart Water segment engages in the water management industry. This business segment contains the Hydroconn, a smart water connectivity offerings, and Aquana products. The Intelligent Industrial segment designs and sells products used for border and perimeter security surveillance, cross-border tunneling detection, and other products targeted at movement monitoring, intrusion detection, and situational awareness; and seismic sensor products used for vibration monitoring geotechnical applications such as mine safety applications and earthquake detection, seismic products targeted at the border and perimeter security markets, imaging products, as well as providing contract manufacturing services. This segment serves various agencies of the United States government, including the Department of Defense, Department of Energy, Department of Homeland Security, and other agencies, as well as energy companies. The company operates in Asia, Canada, Europe, Mexico, South America, the United States, and internationally. Geospace Technologies Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Geospace Technologies Corporation reported revenue of $111M in FY2025 versus $94.9M in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 16/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$111M
Latest YoY
−18.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Avg. growth/yr (28Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.6%
Revenue +4.0%/yr
FY21 $94.9M
FY22 $89.3M
FY23 $125M
FY24 $136M
FY25 $111M
Net income
FY21 −$14.1M
FY22 −$22.9M
FY23 $12.2M
FY24 −$6.6M
FY25 −$9.7M

GEOS screens 19% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Geospace Technologies Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEOS

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −20% · Above median
Return on assets -15% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -29% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -58% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 10% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.93× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.77× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 7 · sector 0
FUTURE 48 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 31

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLBN 836.00 MXN 533.97 MXN -36%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $55.95 $33.55 -40%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $74.57 $27.57 -63%
Halliburton Company HAL $35.22 $21.50 -39%
Tenaris S.A TS $57.16 $45.68 -20%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥138.79 ¥34.17 -75%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.20 €2.72 -35%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 319.00 kr 227.98 -29%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.08 ¥12.64 +5%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €188.10 €95.01 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.71 versus a price of $5.85, about −19% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GEOS?
Our model-based fair value for Geospace Technologies Corporation is $4.71 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $5.85.
What is the quality score of GEOS?
Geospace Technologies Corporation has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
Geospace Technologies Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $101M (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GEOS?
The net profit margin of Geospace Technologies Corporation is about -28.9%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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