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Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Geospace Technologies Corporation $4.71, price $5.14, upside -8.4%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Energy · US · ISIN US37364X1090

GT Geospace Technologies Corporation logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

Geospace Technologies Corporation

GEOS · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $4.71 · Fairly valued (−8%)
!Quality 49/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +4.8 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -28.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Mixed vs. peers (6/11)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 22 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$28.41 $3.89 Fair Value $4.71 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $3.89 – $28.41 · fair‑value band $3.11 – $5.89 · the $5.14 price screens above the $4.71 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Geospace Technologies Corporation designs and manufactures instruments and equipment used in the oil and gas industry to acquire seismic data in order to locate, characterize, and monitor hydrocarbon producing reservoirs. The company operates through three segments: Smart Water, Energy Solutions and Intelligent Industrial.

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Geospace Technologies Corporation designs and manufactures instruments and equipment used in the oil and gas industry to acquire seismic data in order to locate, characterize, and monitor hydrocarbon producing reservoirs. The company operates through three segments: Smart Water, Energy Solutions and Intelligent Industrial. The Energy Solutions segment offers wireless seismic data acquisition systems and reservoir characterization products and services, as well as traditional seismic exploration products, such as geophones, hydrophones, leader wires, connectors, cables, marine streamer retrieval and steering devices, and other seismic products. The Smart Water segment engages in the water management industry. This business segment contains the Hydroconn, a smart water connectivity offerings, and Aquana products. The Intelligent Industrial segment designs and sells products used for border and perimeter security surveillance, cross-border tunneling detection, and other products targeted at movement monitoring, intrusion detection, and situational awareness; and seismic sensor products used for vibration monitoring geotechnical applications such as mine safety applications and earthquake detection, seismic products targeted at the border and perimeter security markets, imaging products, as well as providing contract manufacturing services. This segment serves various agencies of the United States government, including the Department of Defense, Department of Energy, Department of Homeland Security, and other agencies, as well as energy companies. The company operates in Asia, Canada, Europe, Mexico, South America, the United States, and internationally. Geospace Technologies Corporation was founded in 1980 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Stock analysis

Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) currently trades at $5.14, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.71, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $3.11 (bear) to $5.89 (bull), the price of $5.14 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Energy sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Geospace Technologies Corporation reported revenue of $111M in FY2025 versus $94.9M in FY2021, a compound +4.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$9.7M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $93.4M · P/S ratio 0.93 · EPS (TTM) $−2.27 · Net margin −8.8% · Return on equity −24.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) −4.5% · Operating margin −58.1% · Revenue (TTM) $101M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 82% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −8%, GEOS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.11 Fair Value $4.71 Bull $5.89
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $4.85 $6.50 $9.70 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.85 $6.50 $9.70 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 49/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 18

Profitability 18
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 6
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 89
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 82
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 7
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 0
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 94
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 16/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−18.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.8%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.7% a year
Revenue growth 28 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−20.5% (2020) → −10.2% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 190 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/9 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 52 · Below median
Fair Value upside −8% · Above median
Profitability
Return on assets −15% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −29% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −58% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 10% · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.74× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.93× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.77× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)22 · sector 18
FUTURE (revenue growth)48 · sector 6
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 319.80 kr 250.82 −22%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.12 ¥13.04 +8%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €223.40 €245.74 +10%

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Geospace Technologies Corporation · Fair Value
$4.71 −9%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Geospace Technologies Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GEOS

Frequently asked questions

Is Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.71 versus a price of $5.14, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of GEOS?
Our model-based fair value for Geospace Technologies Corporation is $4.71 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.14.
What is the quality score of GEOS?
Geospace Technologies Corporation has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.71 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.11, optimistic scenario $5.89. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Geospace Technologies Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.71, about −8% upside versus a price of $5.14 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $3.11, optimistic scenario $5.89. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
Geospace Technologies Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $101M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Geospace Technologies Corporation it is $4.71 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $5.14. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Geospace Technologies Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GEOS trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.14, fair value $4.71, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GEOS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.14); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.71). For Geospace Technologies Corporation the two are $0.4300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Geospace Technologies Corporation worth?
The market values Geospace Technologies Corporation at about $93.4M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $5.14; our models calculate a fair value of $4.71 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GEOS?
Our models span a range for Geospace Technologies Corporation: cautious scenario $3.11, base $4.71, optimistic $5.89 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $5.14). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of GEOS?
The PEG ratio of Geospace Technologies Corporation is 0.77 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Geospace Technologies Corporation (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −24.4%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GEOS from its 52-week high?
Geospace Technologies Corporation trades at $5.14, about 82% below its 52-week high of $28.41 and 3% above the low of $5.01 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.71 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Geospace Technologies Corporation?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Geospace Technologies Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $5.14, calculated fair value $4.71 (−8%), Quality Score 49/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GEOS calculated?
We run Geospace Technologies Corporation through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.71, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Geospace Technologies Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $5.14. Our model-based fair value is $4.71, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Geospace Technologies Corporation right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($3.11 to $5.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Geospace Technologies Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
The market capitalisation of Geospace Technologies Corporation is $93.4M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Geospace Technologies Corporation is 0.93 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
Earnings per share at Geospace Technologies Corporation are $−2.27. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
The net margin of Geospace Technologies Corporation is −8.8% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Geospace Technologies Corporation is −24.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Geospace Technologies Corporation is −4.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
The operating margin of Geospace Technologies Corporation is −58.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
Revenue at Geospace Technologies Corporation is growing +9.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS)?
Earnings per share at Geospace Technologies Corporation are growing −30.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) generate?
The free cash flow of Geospace Technologies Corporation is −$30.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Geospace Technologies Corporation (GEOS) hold?
Geospace Technologies Corporation holds more cash than debt, $25.4M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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