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GFPT Public Company (GFPT) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 11.5B THB

GP GFPT Public Company GFPT · BK
Price9.70 THB
Fair Value24.95 THB
Upside+157.2%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (12/15)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range 17.32 THB – 34.09 THB Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 28.89 THB to 24.95 THB (−13.6%) since Jul 11, 2026. Share price +4.3% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 157% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (17.32 THB). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (17.32 THB to 34.09 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

16.94 THB 7.77 THB Fair Value 24.95 THB Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 7.77 THB – 16.94 THB · fair‑value band 17.32 THB – 34.09 THB · the 9.70 THB price screens below the 24.95 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

GFPT Public Company (GFPT) currently trades at 9.70 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 24.95 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 157.2% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, GFPT Public Company generated revenue of 18.5B THB at a net margin of 12.6%. Revenue declined 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.0%. Net debt stands at 944M THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 17.32 THB (bear case) to 34.09 THB (bull case); at 9.70 THB, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at 157%, GFPT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF 18.67 THB 25.74 THB 35.26 THB 80
Residual Income 15.59 THB 18.18 THB 37.16 THB 76
Rev-Margin DCF 13.58 THB 19.60 THB 25.98 THB 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 18.09 THB 25.58 THB 36.07 THB 38
Owner Earnings 22.26 THB 31.49 THB 44.41 THB 31
5Y Revenue Exit 13.58 THB 19.31 THB 26.21 THB 39
5Y EBITDA Exit 20.98 THB 32.29 THB 44.77 THB 41
5Y P/E Exit 23.57 THB 36.84 THB 49.89 THB 38
10Y Revenue Exit 14.79 THB 20.18 THB 26.54 THB 36
10Y EBITDA Exit 19.72 THB 28.89 THB 39.89 THB 37
10Y P/E Exit 21.33 THB 31.94 THB 43.58 THB 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 13.23 THB 28.34 THB 36.00 THB 54
PEG = 1.0 4.36 THB 6.23 THB 8.09 THB 46
EPV 10.43 THB 12.16 THB 13.68 THB 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 1.84 THB 2.83 THB 3.90 THB 70
DDM Multi-Stage 1.84 THB 2.64 THB 3.55 THB 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple 30.64 THB 40.86 THB 51.07 THB 63
P/S Multiple 18.03 THB 24.04 THB 30.05 THB 58
P/B Multiple 24.81 THB 33.07 THB 41.34 THB 55
EV/EBIT 16.44 THB 21.91 THB 27.37 THB 53
EV/EBITDA 25.99 THB 34.63 THB 43.28 THB 54
EV/Revenue 11.75 THB 16.76 THB 21.78 THB 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 8.59 THB 11.51 THB 17.18 THB 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 18.67 THB 25.74 THB 35.26 THB 80
Rev-Margin DCF 13.58 THB 19.60 THB 25.98 THB 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income 15.59 THB 18.18 THB 37.16 THB 76
ROIC Compounder 10.43 THB 12.16 THB 13.68 THB 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 22.61 THB 32.30 THB 41.99 THB 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (32.30 THB) versus Dividend Discount (2.64 THB). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 18.5B THB
Revenue growth (YoY) -8.2%
Net margin 12.6%
Return on equity 11.0%
Free cash flow 2.2B THB FY2025
P/E ratio 5.2
More key figures
Operating margin 9.4%
EPS (TTM) 1.85 THB
EPS growth (YoY) -19.0%
Net debt 944M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 37
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 86
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 46
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

GFPT Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes frozen and cooked chicken products in Thailand.

Full company description

GFPT Public Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, produces and distributes frozen and cooked chicken products in Thailand. The company engages in the evisceration chicken, parent chickens farm and chick distribution, and processed food production and distribution activities; boiler, breeder, and grandparent chicken farming activities; and production and distribution of feed mill for various kinds of land animals and aquatic animals. It also exports its products. The company was incorporated in 1981 and is headquartered in Bangkok, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

GFPT Public Company reported revenue of 18.8B THB in FY2025 versus 13.8B THB in FY2021, a compound +8.1%/yr. Reported net income was 2.4B THB in FY2025, compounding +84.8%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 69/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
18.8B THB
Latest YoY
−2.5%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+1.1%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.8%
Revenue +8.1%/yr
FY21 13.8B THB
FY22 18.2B THB
FY23 19.0B THB
FY24 19.3B THB
FY25 18.8B THB
Net income +84.8%/yr
FY21 209M THB
FY22 2.0B THB
FY23 1.4B THB
FY24 2.0B THB
FY25 2.4B THB
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +2.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +1.3 pp

of which total revenue +1.3 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.0 pp

EBIT margin −3.1 pp
Tax rate −0.9 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +5.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "GFPT Public Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GFPT

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 652 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Above median
Fair Value upside +157% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 11% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth -8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.16× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 5.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 3.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 0.54× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 25
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 44 · sector 28
HEALTH 92 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,507 ₹362.37 -76%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,646 ₹1,870 -67%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,062 ₹327.27 -69%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 7,550 IDR 12,864 IDR +70%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,219,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -17%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 61,600 VND 52,858 VND -14%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹352.60 ₹144.77 -59%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,665 IDR 2,699 IDR +62%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,630 IDR 4,350 IDR -6%
Nongshim Co 004370 389,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +36%

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Frequently asked questions

Is GFPT Public Company (GFPT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 24.95 THB versus a price of 9.70 THB, about +157% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GFPT?
Our model-based fair value for GFPT Public Company is 24.95 THB (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 9.70 THB.
What is the quality score of GFPT?
GFPT Public Company has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of GFPT Public Company (GFPT)?
GFPT Public Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 18.5B THB (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GFPT?
The net profit margin of GFPT Public Company is about 12.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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