Greencore Group (GNCGY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $2.0B
Greencore Group
GNCGY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $8.09 to $8.22 (+1.6%) since Jun 24, 2026.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $4.96 – $14.58 · fair‑value band $6.16 – $10.27 · the $10.50 price screens above the $8.22 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.
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Greencore Group (GNCGY) currently trades at $10.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.22, implying the stock looks roughly 21.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Greencore Group generated revenue of $2.3B at a net margin of 0.3%. Revenue grew 43.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 0.3%. Net debt stands at $126M. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $6.16 (bear case) to $10.27 (bull case); at $10.50, the current price sits above that range. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at -22%, GNCGY screens richer than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Greencore Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells convenience food products in the United Kingdom and Ireland. The company offers sandwiches, salads, sushi, chilled snacking, chilled ready meals, chilled soups and sauces, chilled quiche, ambient sauces and pickles, and frozen Yorkshire Puddings. It is also involved in the finance activities; pension funding; food processor; and property business. The company supplies its products to supermarkets, convenience and travel retail outlets, discounters, coffee shops, foodservice, and other retailers. Greencore Group plc was incorporated in 1991 and is headquartered in Dublin, Ireland.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Greencore Group reported revenue of $1.9B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +10.1%/yr. Reported net income was $57.6M in FY2025, compounding +22.7%/yr from FY2021.
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10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,386 | ₹278.10 | -80% |
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| PT Indofood Sukses Makmur Tbk INDF | 6,750 IDR | 25,554 IDR | +279% |
| Samyang Foods Co 003230 | 1,000,000 KRW | 1,010,543 KRW | +1% |
| Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM | 59,000 VND | 71,537 VND | +21% |
| Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI | ₹420.45 | ₹294.68 | -30% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.