Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Goel Food Products Ltd ₹15.44, price ₹10.80, upside +43.0%, quality 36 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Goel Food Products Ltd for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
51‑month range ₹8.71 – ₹75.96 · fair‑value band ₹12.59 – ₹23.84 · the ₹10.80 price screens below the ₹15.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.
Follow Goel Food Products in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Goel Food Products is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Goel Food Products Limited engages in the banquets, hotels, and catering businesses primarily in India. The company operates and manages banquets, and snacks and sweets shops under the BIKA brand.
Show more
Goel Food Products Limited engages in the banquets, hotels, and catering businesses primarily in India. The company operates and manages banquets, and snacks and sweets shops under the BIKA brand. It provides services through its banquet halls, including organizing events, such as marriages, sangeets, ring ceremonies, birthday parties, anniversary parties, kitty parties, corporate events, kirtans, and thread ceremonies. The company also serves Indian snacks and sweets at its retail store. In addition, it operates hotel and guest house. The company was incorporated in 1996 and is based in Kolkata, India. Goel Food Products Limited is a subsidiary of Hilltop Healthcare Centre Ltd.
Stock analysis
Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL) currently trades at ₹10.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹15.44, implying the stock looks roughly 30.1% undervalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of ₹40.99 per share, and 14 of the 15 models we run sit above the ₹10.80 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at ₹10.62, and 1 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: ₹12.59 (bear) to ₹23.84 (bull), the price of ₹10.80 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Goel Food Products Ltd reported revenue of ₹219M in FY2026 versus ₹165M in FY2022, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was ₹28.2M in FY2026, compounding +5.1%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap ₹238M (≈ $2.5M) · P/E ratio 7.2 · P/S ratio 0.93 · EPS (TTM) ₹1.50 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 12.9% · Return on equity 9.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 44% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at 43%, GOEL screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear ₹12.59Fair Value ₹15.44Bull ₹23.84
Price ₹10.80 · Upside +43.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹0.7685 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.57/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
’26
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+4.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.13% → 24%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 629 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside+43.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9.9% · Above median
Return on assets4.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)12.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)30.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−17.2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.8% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.70× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹15.44 versus a price of ₹10.80, about +43% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GOEL?
Our model-based fair value for Goel Food Products Ltd is ₹15.44 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹10.80.
What is the quality score of GOEL?
Goel Food Products Ltd has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹15.44 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹12.59, optimistic scenario ₹23.84. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Goel Food Products Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹15.44, about +43% upside versus a price of ₹10.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario ₹12.59, optimistic scenario ₹23.84. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
Goel Food Products Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹219M (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Goel Food Products Ltd pay a dividend?
Goel Food Products Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.79% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Goel Food Products Ltd it is ₹15.44 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹10.80. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Goel Food Products Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, GOEL trades below its calculated fair value: price ₹10.80, fair value ₹15.44, a gap of about +43% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GOEL?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹10.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹15.44). For Goel Food Products Ltd the two are ₹4.64 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Goel Food Products Ltd worth?
The market values Goel Food Products Ltd at about ₹238M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹10.80; our models calculate a fair value of ₹15.44 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GOEL?
Our models span a range for Goel Food Products Ltd: cautious scenario ₹12.59, base ₹15.44, optimistic ₹23.84 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹10.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GOEL?
Goel Food Products Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.2 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹15.44 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.8, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 5.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Goel Food Products Ltd (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 9.9%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 36/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GOEL from its 52-week high?
Goel Food Products Ltd trades at ₹10.80, about 44% below its 52-week high of ₹19.29 and 24% above the low of ₹8.71 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹15.44 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Goel Food Products Ltd?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Goel Food Products Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹10.80, calculated fair value ₹15.44 (+43%), Quality Score 36/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GOEL calculated?
We run Goel Food Products Ltd through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹15.44, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Goel Food Products Ltd currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹10.80. Our model-based fair value is ₹15.44, about +43% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Goel Food Products Ltd right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹12.59). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (₹12.59 to ₹23.84) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Goel Food Products Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
The market capitalisation of Goel Food Products Ltd is ₹238M (≈ $2.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Goel Food Products Ltd is 0.93 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
Earnings per share at Goel Food Products Ltd are ₹1.50 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
The dividend yield of Goel Food Products Ltd is 0.8% (payout 5.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
The net margin of Goel Food Products Ltd is 12.9% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Goel Food Products Ltd is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Goel Food Products Ltd is 11.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
The operating margin of Goel Food Products Ltd is 30.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
Revenue at Goel Food Products Ltd is growing −17.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL)?
Earnings per share at Goel Food Products Ltd are growing −46.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL) generate?
The free cash flow of Goel Food Products Ltd is −₹14.0M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Goel Food Products Ltd (GOEL) carry?
The net debt of Goel Food Products Ltd is ₹281M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Goel Food Products Ltd in the live analysis
One click puts Goel Food Products Ltd on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
