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Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Gowing Bros Ltd A$0.89, price A$2.10, upside -57.6%, quality 37 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Financial Services · AU · ISIN AU000000GOW5

GB Some data Sep 23, 2026

Gowing Bros Ltd

GOW · AU

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value A$0.8900 · Strongly overvalued (−58%)
!Quality 37/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −0.6 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -3.2% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·2.86% dividend yield
!Trails peers (3/12)
!Narrow moat 23/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 24 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

A$2.89 A$1.88 Fair Value A$0.8900 Jul 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$1.88 – A$2.89 · fair‑value band A$0.4900 – A$1.22 · the A$2.10 price screens above the A$0.8900 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Gowing Bros. Limited operates as an investment and wealth management company in Australia. It operates through two divisions, Investment Management and Property Management. The Investment Management segment invests in securities listed on the Australian Stock Exchange in private equity vehicles, as well as loans, including mezzanine finance arrangements.

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Gowing Bros. Limited operates as an investment and wealth management company in Australia. It operates through two divisions, Investment Management and Property Management. The Investment Management segment invests in securities listed on the Australian Stock Exchange in private equity vehicles, as well as loans, including mezzanine finance arrangements. The Property Management segment engages in the ownership and leasing of commercial properties; and the development and sale of residential and commercial properties. The company was founded in 1868 and is headquartered in Coffs Harbour, Australia.

Stock analysis

Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW) currently trades at A$2.10, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.8900, implying the stock looks roughly 136.0% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of A$2.43 per share, and 1 of the 3 models we run sit above the A$2.10 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at A$0.7000, and 2 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: A$0.4900 (bear) to A$1.22 (bull), the price of A$2.10 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 37/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.

Gowing Bros Ltd reported revenue of A$61.7M in FY2025 versus A$71.2M in FY2021, a compound −3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$3.3M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap A$123M (≈ $86.6M) · P/S ratio 1.95 · EPS (TTM) A$−0.0400 · Dividend yield 2.9% · Net margin −5.3% · Return on equity −1.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.7% · Operating margin 4.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 3% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −58%, GOW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear A$0.4900 Fair Value A$0.8900 Bull A$1.22
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM A$0.4400 A$0.7400 A$0.9600 66
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.4400 A$0.7000 A$0.7900 65
NCAV (Graham) A$1.81 A$2.43 A$3.62 54
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM A$0.4400 A$0.7400 A$0.9600 66
DDM Multi-Stage A$0.4400 A$0.7000 A$0.7900 65
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$1.81 A$2.43 A$3.62 54

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 37/100

Of which business quality 36 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 46
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 84
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 36
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 25
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 0/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +10.0% a year
Revenue growth 36 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
12.4% (2020) → 0.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GOW screens 136% overvalued. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 658 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/11 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −58% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 5% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.9% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.49× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.44× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 1.37× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 44.1× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 54
FUTURE (revenue growth)24 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)75 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)57 · sector 81

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $124.01 $52.88 −57%
Brookfield Corporation BN $37.85 $13.75 −64%
KKR & Co KKR $98.44 $19.97 −80%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $124.15 $229.64 +85%
State Street Corporation STT $180.25 $138.33 −23%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $512.37 $579.51 +13%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $124.72 $119.25 −4%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $173.40 $122.02 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $159.39 $312.27 +96%
T. Rowe Price Group TROW $104.17 $208.34 +100%

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Gowing Bros Ltd · Fair Value
A$0.8900 −136%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gowing Bros Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GOW

Frequently asked questions

Is Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.8900 versus a price of A$2.10, about −58% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GOW?
Our model-based fair value for Gowing Bros Ltd is A$0.8900 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: A$2.10.
What is the quality score of GOW?
Gowing Bros Ltd has a Quality Score of 37/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of A$0.8900 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario A$0.4900, optimistic scenario A$1.22. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gowing Bros Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at A$0.8900, about −58% upside versus a price of A$2.10 (overvalued). Cautious scenario A$0.4900, optimistic scenario A$1.22. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
Gowing Bros Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$63.1M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Gowing Bros Ltd pay a dividend?
Gowing Bros Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.86% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gowing Bros Ltd it is A$0.8900 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of A$2.10. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gowing Bros Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GOW trades above its calculated fair value: price A$2.10, fair value A$0.8900, a gap of about −58% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GOW?
No. The price is what the market pays today (A$2.10); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (A$0.8900). For Gowing Bros Ltd the two are A$1.21 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gowing Bros Ltd worth?
The market values Gowing Bros Ltd at about A$123M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is A$2.10; our models calculate a fair value of A$0.8900 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GOW?
Our models span a range for Gowing Bros Ltd: cautious scenario A$0.4900, base A$0.8900, optimistic A$1.22 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price A$2.10). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gowing Bros Ltd (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −1.0%, debt of 0.49 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 37/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GOW from its 52-week high?
Gowing Bros Ltd trades at A$2.10, about 9% below its 52-week high of A$2.31 and 3% above the low of A$2.04 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of A$0.8900 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gowing Bros Ltd?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gowing Bros Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price A$2.10, calculated fair value A$0.8900 (−58%), Quality Score 37/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GOW calculated?
We run Gowing Bros Ltd through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of A$0.8900, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.2 % above its aggregate fair value. Gowing Bros Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was A$2.10. Our model-based fair value is A$0.8900, about −58% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gowing Bros Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (A$1.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (37/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. A fairly wide model range (A$0.4900 to A$1.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of Gowing Bros Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
The market capitalisation of Gowing Bros Ltd is A$123M (≈ $86.6M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gowing Bros Ltd is 1.95 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
Earnings per share at Gowing Bros Ltd are A$−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
The dividend yield of Gowing Bros Ltd is 2.9%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
The net margin of Gowing Bros Ltd is −5.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gowing Bros Ltd is −1.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gowing Bros Ltd is 2.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
The operating margin of Gowing Bros Ltd is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
Revenue at Gowing Bros Ltd is growing +4.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW)?
Earnings per share at Gowing Bros Ltd are growing +150% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW) generate?
The free cash flow of Gowing Bros Ltd is −A$2.2M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Gowing Bros Ltd (GOW) carry?
The net debt of Gowing Bros Ltd is A$81.6M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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