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US Global Investors Inc (GROW) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of US Global Investors Inc $0.91, price $2.97, upside -69.4%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Financial Services · US · ISIN US9029521005

UG US Global Investors Inc logo Thin data Sep 23, 2026

US Global Investors Inc

GROW · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $0.9100 · Strongly overvalued (−69%)
!Quality 57/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +13.6 %/yr)
Highly profitable · 33.3% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
·3.03% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (5/12)
!Narrow moat 37/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 27 out of 100

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$5.87 $1.96 Fair Value $0.9100 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.96 – $5.87 · fair‑value band $0.8300 – $1.03 · the $2.97 price screens above the $0.9100 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

U.S. Global Investors, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. It primarily provides its services to investment companies. The firm is a large advisory firm, an investment adviser to an investment company which provides portfolio management for investment companies.

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U.S. Global Investors, Inc. is a publicly owned investment manager. It primarily provides its services to investment companies. The firm is a large advisory firm, an investment adviser to an investment company which provides portfolio management for investment companies. The firm manages and launches equity/balanced funds, fixed income funds and other funds. It also manages hedge funds. The firm primarily invests in no-load mutual funds and exchange traded funds (ETFs). U.S. Global Investors, Inc. is based in San Antonio, Texas.

Stock analysis

US Global Investors Inc (GROW) currently trades at $2.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9100, implying the stock looks roughly 226.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $2.27 per share, and 0 of the 3 models we run sit above the $2.97 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $0.8700, and 3 of the 3 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.8300 (bear) to $1.03 (bull), the price of $2.97 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

US Global Investors Inc reported revenue of $8.5M in FY2025 versus $21.7M in FY2021, a compound −21.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$334K in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $39.6M · P/E ratio 12.4 · P/S ratio 4.05 · EPS (TTM) $0.2500 · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin −4.0% · Return on equity 6.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 32 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 34% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at −4% fair-value upside, at −69%, GROW screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.8300 Fair Value $0.9100 Bull $1.03
Model Each model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1600 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence Evidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $0.8000 $0.8700 $0.9700 65
DDM Multi-Stage $0.8000 $1.00 $1.26 63
NCAV (Graham) $1.69 $2.27 $3.39 52
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $0.8000 $0.8700 $0.9700 65
DDM Multi-Stage $0.8000 $1.00 $1.26 63
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.69 $2.27 $3.39 52

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 10
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 50
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 55
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality Growth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−23.1%
Revenue growth 3 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−30.1%
Revenue growth 5 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.4% a year
Revenue growth 30 years Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−2.1%
Profit margin (trend) Operating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−53.7% (2020) → −35.3% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

GROW screens 226% overvalued. Compare with Blackstone Inc →

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Peer GroupHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Asset Management · 659 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/12 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Below median
Fair Value upside −69% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 7% · Above median
Return on assets −2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 31% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.0% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.00× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.4× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.88× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.18× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 55
FUTURE (revenue growth)100 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)27 · sector 22
HEALTH (low debt)100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)61 · sector 80

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Blackstone Inc BX $124.01 $52.88 −57%
Brookfield Corporation BN $37.85 $13.75 −64%
KKR & Co KKR $98.44 $19.97 −80%
Apollo Global Management, Inc APO $124.15 $229.64 +85%
State Street Corporation STT $180.25 $138.33 −23%
Ameriprise Financial, Inc AMP $512.37 $579.51 +13%
Ares Management Corporation ARES $124.72 $119.25 −4%
Northern Trust Corporation NTRS $173.40 $122.02 −30%
Raymond James Financial, Inc RJF $159.39 $312.27 +96%
T. Rowe Price Group TROW $104.17 $208.34 +100%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "US Global Investors Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GROW

Frequently asked questions

Is US Global Investors Inc (GROW) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9100 versus a price of $2.97, about −69% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of GROW?
Our model-based fair value for US Global Investors Inc is $0.9100 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.97.
What is the quality score of GROW?
US Global Investors Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.9100 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 3 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.8300, optimistic scenario $1.03. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the US Global Investors Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $0.9100, about −69% upside versus a price of $2.97 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.8300, optimistic scenario $1.03. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
US Global Investors Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.5M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does US Global Investors Inc pay a dividend?
US Global Investors Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.03% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For US Global Investors Inc it is $0.9100 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $2.97. It is the blended result of 3 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is US Global Investors Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, GROW trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.97, fair value $0.9100, a gap of about −69% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GROW?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.9100). For US Global Investors Inc the two are $2.06 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is US Global Investors Inc worth?
The market values US Global Investors Inc at about $39.6M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $2.97; our models calculate a fair value of $0.9100 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GROW?
Our models span a range for US Global Investors Inc: cautious scenario $0.8300, base $0.9100, optimistic $1.03 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $2.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GROW?
US Global Investors Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.9100 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.9, P/S 4.2.
How solid is the balance sheet of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
Balance-sheet figures for US Global Investors Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.9%, debt of 0.00 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GROW from its 52-week high?
US Global Investors Inc trades at $2.97, about 16% below its 52-week high of $3.55 and 34% above the low of $2.22 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.9100 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to US Global Investors Inc?
From the same area (Financial Services) we also value Blackstone Inc, Brookfield Corporation, KKR & Co, Apollo Global Management, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is US Global Investors Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $2.97, calculated fair value $0.9100 (−69%), Quality Score 57/100, from 3 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GROW calculated?
We run US Global Investors Inc through 3 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.9100, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. US Global Investors Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $2.97. Our model-based fair value is $0.9100, about −69% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with US Global Investors Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.03). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.

Key figures of US Global Investors Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
The market capitalisation of US Global Investors Inc is $39.6M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
The price-to-sales ratio of US Global Investors Inc is 4.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
Earnings per share at US Global Investors Inc are $0.2500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 12.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
The dividend yield of US Global Investors Inc is 3.0% (payout 36.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
The net margin of US Global Investors Inc is −4.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
The return on equity (ROE) of US Global Investors Inc is 6.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of US Global Investors Inc is 6.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
The operating margin of US Global Investors Inc is 3.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
Revenue at US Global Investors Inc is growing +31.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −30.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at US Global Investors Inc (GROW)?
Earnings per share at US Global Investors Inc are growing +481% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does US Global Investors Inc (GROW) generate?
The free cash flow of US Global Investors Inc is −$829K (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does US Global Investors Inc (GROW) hold?
US Global Investors Inc holds more cash than debt, $24.5M net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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