Gruma, S.A. (GRUMAB) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · MX · Market cap 99.2B MXN
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from 49.12 MXN to 31.96 MXN (−34.9%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −3.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 288.01 MXN – 346.73 MXN · fair‑value band 23.97 MXN – 90.56 MXN · the 291.71 MXN price screens above the 31.96 MXN fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Gruma, S.A. (GRUMAB) currently trades at 291.71 MXN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 31.96 MXN — implying the stock looks roughly 89.0% overvalued today. We read business quality at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Gruma, S.A. generated revenue of 6.5B MXN at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 4.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 22.6%. Net debt stands at 1.0B MXN. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Gruma, S.A.B. de C.V., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a food company in Mexico, the United States, Europe, Asia, Oceania, and Central America. The company operates through Corn Flour and Packaged Tortilla Division (United States); Corn Flour Division (Mexico); Corn Flour and Packaged Tortilla Division (Europe); and Other segments. It engages in the manufacturing and distribution of corn flours. The company also offers grits snacks and cereals, polenta, and prepared flour; corn and wheat tortillas; tortilla chips, taco shells, and toasted tortillas; wraps, such as pita bread, naan, pizza doughs, and other flatbreads; and sauces and dips, including palmito, snacks, marinades, and pasta. In addition, it provides rice and oats; hearts of palm, and packaged tortillas and snacks; and balanced feed for livestock. Further, the company is involved in research and development of nixtamalized corn flour and tortilla manufacturing equipment; production of machinery for …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Gruma, S.A. reported revenue of 6.4B MXN in FY2025 versus 4.6B MXN in FY2021, a compound +8.5%/yr. Reported net income was 519M MXN in FY2025, compounding +14.5%/yr from FY2021.
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Recent news
- Gruma (BMV:GRUMA B) Stock Sees Modest Fair Value Cut After Analyst Model Changes
- How A Fine Tuned Valuation Is Reframing The Gruma (BMV:GRUMA B) Investment Story
- Grupo Herdez Shares Jump 12% After Earnings Beat, 2026 Outlook
- Cornmeal Market Analysis and Tech Advancements 2025-2030 Featuring Profiles of ADM, Bunge, Cargill, General Mills, Tate & Lyle, Associat
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
6 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nestlé S.A NESN | CHF 79.00 | CHF 57.28 | -27% |
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| Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND | ₹1,438 | ₹362.37 | -75% |
| 3288 3288 | HK$30.26 | HK$27.44 | -9% |
| Grupo Bimbo, S.A. BIMBOA | 57.10 MXN | 83.34 MXN | +46% |
| Uni-President Enterprises Corp 1216 | 75.10 TWD | 72.54 TWD | -3% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.