Gan Shmuel (GSFI) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of Gan Shmuel ILS 53.81, price ILS 19.50, upside +176.0%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 8.65 ILA – 34.10 ILA · fair‑value band 40.06 ILA – 68.37 ILA · the 19.50 ILA price screens below the 53.81 ILA fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 4, 2026.
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Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd. produces, markets, and sells citrus fruit, tomato, and other non-citrus fruit products in Israel. The company provides natural juices, nectars, and soft drinks, as well as various types of sauces and spreads. It serves food and beverage industries, as well as exports its products to approximately 50 countries worldwide.
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Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd. produces, markets, and sells citrus fruit, tomato, and other non-citrus fruit products in Israel. The company provides natural juices, nectars, and soft drinks, as well as various types of sauces and spreads. It serves food and beverage industries, as well as exports its products to approximately 50 countries worldwide. The company was formerly known as Gan Shmuel Foods Industries (1993) Ltd. and changed its name to Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd. in August 1993. Gan Shmuel Foods Ltd. was founded in 1941 and is based in Gan Shmuel, Israel.
Stock analysis
Gan Shmuel (GSFI) currently trades at 19.50 ILA, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 53.81 ILA, implying the stock looks roughly 63.8% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of 74.63 ILA per share, and 22 of the 24 models we run sit above the 19.50 ILA price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 16.67 ILA, and 2 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: 40.06 ILA (bear) to 68.37 ILA (bull), the price of 19.50 ILA sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Gan Shmuel reported revenue of $283M in FY2025 versus $213M in FY2021, a compound +7.3%/yr. Reported net income was $17.7M in FY2025, compounding +31.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 293M ILA · P/E ratio 20.5 · P/S ratio 1.28 · EPS (TTM) 0.9500 ILA · Dividend yield 3.0% · Net margin 6.3% · Return on equity 2.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.0%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 49 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 176%, GSFI screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 40.06 ILAFair Value 53.81 ILABull 68.37 ILA
Price 19.50 ILA · Upside +176.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.2711 ILS per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.65/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−8.2%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.9% a year
Revenue growth 19 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−4.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis.
+86.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+83.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.39.1% vs 3.6%, picking up
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.1% → 10%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−11.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in USD, USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −13.5% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 84 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score55 · Below median
Fair Value upside+175.9% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)2.3% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets2.8% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)1.7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM)1.1% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1.5% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)3.0% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Gan Shmuel Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GSFI
Frequently asked questions
Is Gan Shmuel (GSFI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 4, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 53.81 ILA versus a price of 19.50 ILA, about +176% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GSFI?
Our model-based fair value for Gan Shmuel is 53.81 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 19.50 ILA.
What is the quality score of GSFI?
Gan Shmuel has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 53.81 ILA (as of Oct 4, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario 40.06 ILA, optimistic scenario 68.37 ILA. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Gan Shmuel stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 53.81 ILA, about +176% upside versus a price of 19.50 ILA (undervalued). Cautious scenario 40.06 ILA, optimistic scenario 68.37 ILA. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
Gan Shmuel reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $257M (latest available figure, as of Oct 4, 2026).
Does Gan Shmuel pay a dividend?
Gan Shmuel currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.05% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 4, 2026).
What growth is priced into Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Gan Shmuel would have to grow free cash flow by -11.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 13.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.2 % per year. As of Oct 4, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GSFI use?
Our models discount Gan Shmuel at 13.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for Israel. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Gan Shmuel that is -11.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (13.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Gan Shmuel (GSFI) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Gan Shmuel grew +8.2 % a year. The price currently implies -11.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Gan Shmuel (GSFI) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Gan Shmuel (-11.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 18.03 %: that much free cash flow Gan Shmuel produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (13.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Gan Shmuel it is 53.81 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026), against a price of 19.50 ILA. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Gan Shmuel stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 4, 2026, GSFI trades below its calculated fair value: price 19.50 ILA, fair value 53.81 ILA, a gap of about +176% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GSFI?
No. The price is what the market pays today (19.50 ILA); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (53.81 ILA). For Gan Shmuel the two are 34.31 ILA per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Gan Shmuel worth?
The market values Gan Shmuel at about 293M ILA (market capitalisation, as of Oct 4, 2026). Per share that is 19.50 ILA; our models calculate a fair value of 53.81 ILA per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GSFI?
Our models span a range for Gan Shmuel: cautious scenario 40.06 ILA, base 53.81 ILA, optimistic 68.37 ILA per share (as of Oct 4, 2026, price 19.50 ILA). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of GSFI?
Gan Shmuel trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 20.5 (as of Oct 4, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 53.81 ILA is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 4.7.
How solid is the balance sheet of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
Balance-sheet figures for Gan Shmuel (as of Oct 4, 2026): return on equity 2.3%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GSFI from its 52-week high?
Gan Shmuel trades at 19.50 ILA, about 41% below its 52-week high of 33.13 ILA and 2% above the low of 19.16 ILA (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 53.81 ILA is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Gan Shmuel?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value The Coca-Cola Company, PepsiCo, Inc, Monster Beverage Corporation, Nongfu Spring Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Gan Shmuel stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 4, 2026: price 19.50 ILA, calculated fair value 53.81 ILA (+176%), Quality Score 55/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GSFI calculated?
We run Gan Shmuel through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 53.81 ILA, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Gan Shmuel currently trades 64 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was 19.50 ILA. Our model-based fair value is 53.81 ILA, about +176% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Gan Shmuel right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (40.06 ILA). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (55/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of Gan Shmuel (GSFI) come from?
Earnings per share at Gan Shmuel grew +9.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.2 %, EBIT margin +6.5 %, tax rate +1.0 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Gan Shmuel
How large is the market capitalisation of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
The market capitalisation of Gan Shmuel is 293M ILA. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Gan Shmuel is 1.28 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
Earnings per share at Gan Shmuel are 0.9500 ILA (price ÷ EPS = P/E 20.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
The dividend yield of Gan Shmuel is 3.0% (payout 62.5%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
The net margin of Gan Shmuel is 6.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Gan Shmuel is 2.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Gan Shmuel is 9.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
The operating margin of Gan Shmuel is 1.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
Revenue at Gan Shmuel is growing +1.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg +8.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Gan Shmuel (GSFI)?
Earnings per share at Gan Shmuel are growing −69.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Gan Shmuel (GSFI) carry?
The net debt of Gan Shmuel is $14.0M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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