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PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · ID · Market cap 475B IDR (≈ $47.5M)

PG PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk GUNA · JK
Price216.00 IDR
Fair Value522.08 IDR
Upside+141.7%
Quality58/100
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Strengths

Trades 59% below our fair value of 522.08 IDR
Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +7.6 %/yr)
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/9)

Risks

!Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
!Narrow moat 44/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 21 out of 100
Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +7.6 %/yr)
Thin margins · 3.2% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (8/9)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: Medium Range 324.70 IDR – 652.60 IDR Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from 497.22 IDR to 522.08 IDR (+5.0%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price +8.5% over the past month.

A solid business, trading 59% below our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (324.70 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (58/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (324.70 IDR to 652.60 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

374.21 IDR 134.89 IDR Fair Value 522.08 IDR Jul 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range 134.89 IDR – 374.21 IDR · fair‑value band 324.70 IDR – 652.60 IDR · the 216.00 IDR price screens below the 522.08 IDR fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA) currently trades at 216.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 522.08 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 141.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk generated revenue of 1.8T IDR at a net margin of 3.2%. Revenue grew 4.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 12.1%. Net debt stands at 30.5B IDR. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 324.70 IDR (bear case) to 652.60 IDR (bull case); at 216.00 IDR, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at 142%, GUNA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF 316.61 IDR 507.85 IDR 823.17 IDR 73
Growth DCF 321.20 IDR 488.49 IDR 745.80 IDR 72
EPV 448.25 IDR 523.40 IDR 590.21 IDR 70
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF 316.61 IDR 507.85 IDR 823.17 IDR 73
Owner Earnings 310.14 IDR 497.17 IDR 805.56 IDR 69
5Y Revenue Exit 433.62 IDR 733.77 IDR 1,127 IDR 66
5Y EBITDA Exit 504.01 IDR 868.41 IDR 1,304 IDR 68
5Y P/E Exit 355.31 IDR 583.99 IDR 828.89 IDR 65
10Y Revenue Exit 375.17 IDR 646.15 IDR 1,029 IDR 60
10Y EBITDA Exit 437.40 IDR 742.96 IDR 1,170 IDR 62
10Y P/E Exit 339.58 IDR 538.48 IDR 791.29 IDR 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd 169.05 IDR 582.92 IDR 782.78 IDR 62
Lynch FV 134.70 IDR 192.42 IDR 250.15 IDR 58
PEG = 1.0 134.70 IDR 192.42 IDR 250.15 IDR 55
EPV 448.25 IDR 523.40 IDR 590.21 IDR 70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM 69.06 IDR 150.78 IDR 253.69 IDR 63
DDM Multi-Stage 69.06 IDR 122.20 IDR 157.13 IDR 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple 391.56 IDR 522.08 IDR 652.60 IDR 63
P/S Multiple 316.98 IDR 422.64 IDR 528.30 IDR 58
P/B Multiple 316.98 IDR 422.64 IDR 528.30 IDR 55
EV/EBIT 704.04 IDR 931.28 IDR 1,159 IDR 63
EV/EBITDA 660.28 IDR 872.92 IDR 1,086 IDR 64
EV/Revenue 508.89 IDR 717.41 IDR 925.93 IDR 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 119.71 IDR 160.42 IDR 239.43 IDR 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF 321.20 IDR 488.49 IDR 745.80 IDR 72
Rev-Margin DCF 433.62 IDR 727.99 IDR 1,074 IDR 66
Economic Profit
Residual Income 215.94 IDR 245.44 IDR 440.85 IDR 70
ROIC Compounder 486.69 IDR 626.57 IDR 797.79 IDR 67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E 335.83 IDR 479.76 IDR 623.68 IDR 65

Widest divergence: DCF Models (583.99 IDR) versus Dividend Discount (122.20 IDR). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (73).

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.27 TTM
Net margin 3.5% FY2025
Return on equity 12.1% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) 17.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 7.0% TTM
Revenue (TTM) 1.8T IDR TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.2% 3y avg +7.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -30.9%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow 59.7B IDR FY2025
Net debt 30.5B IDR FY2025 · ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 59 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51

Profitability 50
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 66
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 43
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 79
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 69
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk manufactures and distributes nut products in Indonesia. The company offers nuts, including almond, cashew, hazelnut, peanuts, and walnut, as well as nuts milk, nuts oil, and nuts snack. It also engages in contract manufacturing and tolling services.

Full company description

PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk manufactures and distributes nut products in Indonesia. The company offers nuts, including almond, cashew, hazelnut, peanuts, and walnut, as well as nuts milk, nuts oil, and nuts snack. It also engages in contract manufacturing and tolling services. PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk reported revenue of 1.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 62.2B IDR in FY2025, compounding +0.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.8T IDR
Latest YoY
+21.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+7.6%
Value creation/yr (5Y, in IDR) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+0.2% (0.2 + 0.0)
Revenue +7.7%/yr
FY21 1.3T IDR
FY22 1.4T IDR
FY23 1.4T IDR
FY24 1.4T IDR
FY25 1.8T IDR
Net income +0.3%/yr
FY21 61.5B IDR
FY22 63.2B IDR
FY23 61.3B IDR
FY24 59.8B IDR
FY25 62.2B IDR

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/GUNA

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 672 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside +142% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.1% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE100 · sector 24
FUTURE21 · sector 20
PAST48 · sector 27
HEALTH0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND100 · sector 51

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 78.62 CHF 57.26 -27%
Danone S.A BN €64.70 €48.41 -25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 -83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $25.13 $24.59 -2%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.05 ¥21.93 -37%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥25.51 ¥32.50 +27%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.28 ¥9.89 -61%
General Mills, Inc GIS $40.44 $28.32 -30%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
McCormick & Company MKCV $55.65 $43.29 -22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 522.08 IDR versus a price of 216.00 IDR, about +142% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GUNA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is 522.08 IDR (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 216.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GUNA?
PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.8T IDR (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of GUNA?
The net profit margin of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is about 3.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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