PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 14, 2026: fair value of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk IDR 480, price IDR 218, upside +120.1%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk manufactures and distributes nut products in Indonesia. The company offers nuts, including almond, cashew, hazelnut, peanuts, and walnut, as well as nuts milk, nuts oil, and nuts snack. It also engages in contract manufacturing and tolling services.
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PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk manufactures and distributes nut products in Indonesia. The company offers nuts, including almond, cashew, hazelnut, peanuts, and walnut, as well as nuts milk, nuts oil, and nuts snack. It also engages in contract manufacturing and tolling services. PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Bekasi, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA) currently trades at 218.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 479.76 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 54.6% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of 575.46 IDR per share, and 21 of the 26 models we run sit above the 218.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 107.45 IDR, and 5 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 325.46 IDR (bear) to 623.68 IDR (bull), the price of 218.00 IDR sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk reported revenue of 1.8T IDR in FY2025 versus 1.3T IDR in FY2021, a compound +7.7%/yr. Reported net income was 62.2B IDR in FY2025, compounding +0.3%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 545B IDR (≈ $30.5M) · P/S ratio 0.29 · Dividend yield 3.3% · Net margin 3.5% · Return on equity 13.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 17.1% · Operating margin 9.2% · Revenue (TTM) 1.9T IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 25% below its 52-week high and 62% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 6% fair-value upside, at 120%, GUNA screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear325.46 IDRFair Value 479.76 IDRBull623.68 IDR
Price 218.00 IDR · Upside +120.1%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
FCF DCF323.63 IDR496.71 IDR757.87 IDR74
Residual Income210.30 IDR232.98 IDR295.97 IDR73
Growth DCF326.25 IDR475.59 IDR685.29 IDR72
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF323.63 IDR496.71 IDR757.87 IDR74
Owner Earnings317.80 IDR487.53 IDR743.64 IDR70
5Y Revenue Exit430.16 IDR718.52 IDR1,095 IDR66
5Y EBITDA Exit497.44 IDR847.12 IDR1,264 IDR68
5Y P/E Exit355.32 IDR575.46 IDR810.59 IDR65
10Y Revenue Exit372.98 IDR624.59 IDR977.68 IDR60
10Y EBITDA Exit429.82 IDR712.90 IDR1,106 IDR62
10Y P/E Exit340.47 IDR526.35 IDR761.32 IDR59
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd169.05 IDR582.92 IDR782.78 IDR62
Lynch FV134.70 IDR192.42 IDR250.15 IDR58
PEG = 1.0134.70 IDR192.42 IDR250.15 IDR55
EPV409.53 IDR470.66 IDR523.40 IDR70
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM63.06 IDR125.65 IDR190.26 IDR64
DDM Multi-Stage63.06 IDR107.45 IDR132.63 IDR64
Multiples
P/E Multiple391.56 IDR522.08 IDR652.60 IDR63
P/S Multiple316.98 IDR422.64 IDR528.30 IDR58
P/B Multiple316.98 IDR422.64 IDR528.30 IDR55
EV/EBIT704.04 IDR931.28 IDR1,159 IDR63
EV/EBITDA660.28 IDR872.92 IDR1,086 IDR64
EV/Revenue508.89 IDR717.41 IDR925.93 IDR51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)119.71 IDR160.42 IDR239.43 IDR51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF326.25 IDR475.59 IDR685.29 IDR72
Rev-Margin DCF430.16 IDR713.75 IDR1,048 IDR66
Economic Profit
Residual Income210.30 IDR232.98 IDR295.97 IDR73
ROIC Compounder439.92 IDR551.13 IDR682.12 IDR67
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E335.83 IDR479.76 IDR623.68 IDR65
P/S and P/B multiple show the same value here: both are capped by the same earnings anchor (earnings per share times 17), because margin and return on equity do not support the sector multiple.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.75/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+21.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.6%
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+3.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+0.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.3%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 8%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−3.7%
The company could shrink this much every year for the next five years and today's price would still be justified.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −6.2% a year for the price.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 633 stocks
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Is PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 479.76 IDR versus a price of 218.00 IDR, about +120% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of GUNA?
Our model-based fair value for PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is 479.76 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 218.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of GUNA?
PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 479.76 IDR (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 325.46 IDR, optimistic scenario 623.68 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 479.76 IDR, about +120% upside versus a price of 218.00 IDR (undervalued). Cautious scenario 325.46 IDR, optimistic scenario 623.68 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 1.9T IDR (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.29% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by -3.7 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +7.7 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of GUNA use?
Our models discount PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk that is -3.7 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk grew +7.7 % a year. The price currently implies -3.7 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +0.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (-3.7 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 10.96 %: that much free cash flow PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk it is 479.76 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of 218.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, GUNA trades below its calculated fair value: price 218.00 IDR, fair value 479.76 IDR, a gap of about +120% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of GUNA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (218.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (479.76 IDR). For PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk the two are 261.76 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk worth?
The market values PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk at about 545B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is 218.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 479.76 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about GUNA?
Our models span a range for PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk: cautious scenario 325.46 IDR, base 479.76 IDR, optimistic 623.68 IDR per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price 218.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 13.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is GUNA from its 52-week high?
PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk trades at 218.00 IDR, about 25% below its 52-week high of 288.78 IDR and 62% above the low of 134.89 IDR (as of Oct 14, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 479.76 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price 218.00 IDR, calculated fair value 479.76 IDR (+120%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of GUNA calculated?
We run PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 479.76 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.7 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk currently trades 55 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
The closing price on Oct 14, 2026 was 218.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 479.76 IDR, about +120% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case (325.46 IDR). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality. A fairly wide model range (325.46 IDR to 623.68 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
The market capitalisation of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is 545B IDR (≈ $30.5M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is 0.29 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
The dividend yield of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is 3.3%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
The net margin of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is 3.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is 13.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is 17.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
The operating margin of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is 9.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
Revenue at PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is growing +29.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +7.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA)?
Earnings per share at PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk are growing +47.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk (GUNA) carry?
The net debt of PT Gunanusa Eramandiri Tbk is 30.5B IDR (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 0.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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