Warrior Met Coal, Inc (HCC) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · US · Market cap $5.5B
Warrior Met Coal, Inc
HCC · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 14 valuation models · updated 8 days ago
Fair value updated Jun 24, 2026 — revised from $14.38 to $18.35 (+27.6%) since Jun 23, 2026. Share price −26.7% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $51.94 – $117.48 · fair‑value band $13.76 – $22.94 · the $86.11 price screens above the $18.35 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
✦ Which stocks are undervalued right now? Check free Discover now →Analysis
Warrior Met Coal, Inc (HCC) currently trades at $86.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.35 — implying the stock looks roughly 78.7% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Warrior Met Coal, Inc generated revenue of $1.5B at a net margin of 9.3%. Revenue grew 54.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $29.0M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Warrior Met Coal, Inc. engages in the production and export of non-thermal steelmaking coal for the steel production by metal manufacturers in Europe, South America, and Asia. It offers hard-coking coal through the operation of underground mines located in Alabama. The company also sells natural gas extracted as a byproduct from coal production. Warrior Met Coal, Inc. was incorporated in 2015 and is headquartered in Brookwood, Alabama.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Warrior Met Coal, Inc reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $1.1B in FY2021, a compound +5.5%/yr. Reported net income was $57.0M in FY2025, compounding −21.6%/yr from FY2021.
Is HCC fairly valued? → Check now
Recent news
- Third Avenue Value Fund's Strategic Moves: Harley-Davidson Inc. Takes Center Stage
- Analyst Favorites: Warrior Met Coal Ranks As a Top Metals Pick
- Warrior Met Coal (HCC) Hits All-Time High Of $110.39 Following 120% 1Y Gain
- Trump uses emergency powers to direct $850M to revitalize U.S. coal industry
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others) — not an editorial selection, not financial advice.
Similar stocks
6 more Coking Coal stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| PT Alamtri Minerals Indonesia Tbk, ADMR | 1,450 IDR | 1,203 IDR | -17% |
| Alpha Metallurgical Resources, Inc AMR | $212.78 | $138.16 | -35% |
| Shanxi Meijin Energy Co 000723 | ¥3.93 | ¥4.90 | +25% |
| Stanmore Resources Limited SMR | A$2.69 | A$4.60 | +71% |
| Shougang Fushan Resources Group FSHYF | $0.3149 | $0.5200 | +65% |
| Shanxi Coking Co 600740 | ¥3.51 | ¥1.75 | -50% |
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Basic Materials stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Warrior Met Coal, Inc (HCC) undervalued?
What is the fair value of HCC?
What is the quality score of HCC?
What is the revenue of Warrior Met Coal, Inc (HCC)?
What is the net profit margin of HCC?
Does Warrior Met Coal, Inc pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.