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Hermana Holding (HERMA) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · NO · Market cap 205M NOK

HH Hermana Holding HERMA · OL
Pricekr 15.00
Fair Valuekr 7.57
Upside-49.5%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (2/9)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 5.00 – kr 9.47 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Below-average quality, and screening another 50% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 9.47). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 5.00 to kr 9.47) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

kr 22.26 kr 9.30 Fair Value kr 7.57 Jun 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

26‑month range kr 9.30 – kr 22.26 · fair‑value band kr 5.00 – kr 9.47 · the kr 15.00 price screens above the kr 7.57 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Hermana Holding (HERMA) currently trades at kr 15.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 7.57, implying the stock looks roughly 49.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 16.6M NOK. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 5.00 (bear case) to kr 9.47 (bull case); at kr 15.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 17% below its 52-week high and 60% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -50%, HERMA screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple kr 5.20 kr 6.93 kr 8.67 55
NCAV (Graham) kr 4.08 kr 5.47 kr 8.16 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple kr 5.20 kr 6.93 kr 8.67 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 4.08 kr 5.47 kr 8.16 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (kr 6.93) versus Asset-Based (kr 5.47). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow −4.5M NOK FY2025
EPS (TTM) kr -0.9900
Net cash 16.6M NOK FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 8
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 25
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 100
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 50
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 60
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 51
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hermana Holding ASA was incorporated in 2023 and is headquartered in Oslo, Norway. Hermana Holding ASA operates as a subsidiary of Magnora ASA.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hermana Holding reported revenue of kr 1.2M in FY2025 versus kr 13.8M in FY2021, a compound −45.7%/yr. Reported net income was −kr 13.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
1.2M NOK
Latest YoY
−69.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−76.0%
Revenue −45.7%/yr
FY21 kr 13.8M
FY22 kr 87.3M
FY23 kr 10.3M
FY24 kr 3.9M
FY25 kr 1.2M
Net income
FY21 kr 13.0M
FY22 kr 64.0M
FY23 kr 4.8M
FY24 kr 1.7M
FY25 −kr 13.5M

HERMA screens 50% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hermana Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HERMA

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 46 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −50% · Below median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.19× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 100 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hermana Holding (HERMA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 7.57 versus a price of kr 15.00, about −50% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HERMA?
Our model-based fair value for Hermana Holding is kr 7.57 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is kr 15.00.
What is the quality score of HERMA?
Hermana Holding has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of HERMA?
The net profit margin of Hermana Holding is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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