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Hilong Holding (HLONF) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $44.4M

HH Hilong Holding logo Hilong Holding HLONF · US
Price$0.0270
Fair Value$0.0432
Upside+60.0%
Quality50/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -6.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Narrow moat 34/100
Evidence: Medium Range $0.0357 – $0.0460 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026

From 13 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 29, 2026, revised from $0.0277 to $0.0432 (+55.8%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0357). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$0.3250 $0.0001 Fair Value $0.0432 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.3250 · fair‑value band $0.0357 – $0.0460 · the $0.0270 price screens below the $0.0432 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.

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Analysis

Hilong Holding (HLONF) currently trades at $0.0270, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0432, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Hilong Holding generated revenue of $4.9B at a net margin of -6.6%. Revenue grew 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.3%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.0357 (bear case) to $0.0460 (bull case); at $0.0270, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at 60%, HLONF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $0.0180 $0.0243 $0.0325 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0204 $0.0311 $0.0447 74
ROIC Compounder $0.0158 $0.0171 $0.0182 72
All 13 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $0.0182 $0.0254 $0.0354 38
5Y Revenue Exit $0.0204 $0.0313 $0.0460 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $0.0194 $0.0295 $0.0417 41
10Y Revenue Exit $0.0187 $0.0279 $0.0411 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.0186 $0.0266 $0.0382 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $0.0158 $0.0171 $0.0182 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT $0.0194 $0.0243 $0.0292 53
EV/EBITDA $0.0221 $0.0278 $0.0335 54
EV/Revenue $0.0226 $0.0302 $0.0378 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.0091 $0.0123 $0.0182 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $0.0180 $0.0243 $0.0325 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.0204 $0.0311 $0.0447 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $0.0158 $0.0171 $0.0182 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.0279) versus Asset-Based ($0.0123). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $4.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.9%
Net margin -6.6%
Return on equity -10.3%
Free cash flow $241M FY2025
Operating margin 23.2%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.0300
EPS growth (YoY) -65.4%
Net debt $1.6B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65

Profitability 15
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 43
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 31
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 34
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 80
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Hilong Holding Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an oil field equipment and services provider in China, Hong Kong, Russia, Central Asia and Europe, the Middle East, North and South America, South Asia, Southeast Asia, Africa, the Oceania, and internationally.

Full company description

Hilong Holding Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an oil field equipment and services provider in China, Hong Kong, Russia, Central Asia and Europe, the Middle East, North and South America, South Asia, Southeast Asia, Africa, the Oceania, and internationally. It operates through Oilfield Equipment Manufacturing and Services, Oilfield Services, and Offshore Engineering Services segments. The Oilfield Equipment Manufacturing and Services segment produces and sells oilfield equipment. The Oilfield Services segment provides well drilling services, integrated comprehensive services, oil country tubular goods trading, and related services to oil and gas producers. The Offshore Engineering Services segment offers engineering design, simulation analysis, and technical support; and various engineering construction services to the oil and gas industry. It is also involved in the provision of pipeline coating services; and research and development on the technology of manufacturing oil and gas equipment, and pipes. In addition, the company manufactures and distributes oil and gas equipment, as well as distributes hardbanding materials. Hilong Holding Limited was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Hilong Holding reported revenue of $4.9B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$324M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 60/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$4.9B
Latest YoY
+4.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+16.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.2%
Avg. growth/yr (6Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+4.9%
Revenue +13.7%/yr
FY21 $2.9B
FY22 $3.1B
FY23 $4.3B
FY24 $4.7B
FY25 $4.9B
Net income
FY21 $44.2M
FY22 $106M
FY23 $149M
FY24 $28.3M
FY25 −$324M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Hilong Holding Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HLONF

Peer Group

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Below median
Fair Value upside +60% · Top 25%
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -7% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 23% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Above median

Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/FCF 0.2× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 80 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 28
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 31

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SLB N.V SLBN 836.00 MXN 533.97 MXN -36%
Baker Hughes Company BKR $55.95 $33.55 -40%
TechnipFMC plc FTI $74.57 $27.57 -63%
Halliburton Company HAL $35.22 $21.50 -39%
Tenaris S.A TS $57.16 $45.68 -20%
Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 ¥138.79 ¥34.17 -75%
Saipem SpA SPM €4.20 €2.72 -35%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 319.00 kr 227.98 -29%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.08 ¥12.64 +5%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €188.10 €95.01 -49%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Hilong Holding (HLONF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 29, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.0432 versus a price of $0.0270, about +60% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HLONF?
Our model-based fair value for Hilong Holding is $0.0432 (as of Jul 29, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.0270.
What is the quality score of HLONF?
Hilong Holding has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Hilong Holding (HLONF)?
Hilong Holding reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $4.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 29, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HLONF?
The net profit margin of Hilong Holding is about -6.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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