Hilong Holding (HLONF) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $44.4M
Fair value as of: Jul 29, 2026
From 13 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 29, 2026, revised from $0.0277 to $0.0432 (+55.8%) since Jun 26, 2026.
A solid business, screening 60% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.0357). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.0001 – $0.3250 · fair‑value band $0.0357 – $0.0460 · the $0.0270 price screens below the $0.0432 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 29, 2026.
Analysis
Hilong Holding (HLONF) currently trades at $0.0270, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.0432, implying the stock looks roughly 60.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hilong Holding generated revenue of $4.9B at a net margin of -6.6%. Revenue grew 15.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -10.3%. Net debt stands at $1.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 29, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.0357 (bear case) to $0.0460 (bull case); at $0.0270, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 40% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at 60%, HLONF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 13 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models ($0.0279) versus Asset-Based ($0.0123). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 29, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 45 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 65
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Hilong Holding Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an oil field equipment and services provider in China, Hong Kong, Russia, Central Asia and Europe, the Middle East, North and South America, South Asia, Southeast Asia, Africa, the Oceania, and internationally.
Full company description
Hilong Holding Limited, an investment holding company, operates as an oil field equipment and services provider in China, Hong Kong, Russia, Central Asia and Europe, the Middle East, North and South America, South Asia, Southeast Asia, Africa, the Oceania, and internationally. It operates through Oilfield Equipment Manufacturing and Services, Oilfield Services, and Offshore Engineering Services segments. The Oilfield Equipment Manufacturing and Services segment produces and sells oilfield equipment. The Oilfield Services segment provides well drilling services, integrated comprehensive services, oil country tubular goods trading, and related services to oil and gas producers. The Offshore Engineering Services segment offers engineering design, simulation analysis, and technical support; and various engineering construction services to the oil and gas industry. It is also involved in the provision of pipeline coating services; and research and development on the technology of manufacturing oil and gas equipment, and pipes. In addition, the company manufactures and distributes oil and gas equipment, as well as distributes hardbanding materials. Hilong Holding Limited was founded in 2001 and is headquartered in Shanghai, China.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hilong Holding reported revenue of $4.9B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2021, a compound +13.7%/yr. Reported net income was −$324M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 29, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 533.97 MXN | -36% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $55.95 | $33.55 | -40% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $74.57 | $27.57 | -63% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $35.22 | $21.50 | -39% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $57.16 | $45.68 | -20% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥138.79 | ¥34.17 | -75% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.20 | €2.72 | -35% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 319.00 | kr 227.98 | -29% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.08 | ¥12.64 | +5% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €188.10 | €95.01 | -49% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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