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Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 2, 2026: fair value of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc $4.14, price $10.33, upside -59.9%, quality 57 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Energy · US · ISIN US42330P1075

HE Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc logo Broad data Sep 23, 2026

Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc

HLX · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $4.14 · Strongly overvalued (−60%)
!Quality 57/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +12.0 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 1.1% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
!Trails peers (4/14)
!Narrow moat 20/100
!Weak on future: 18 out of 100
!Weak on past: 4 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$12.82 $2.50 Fair Value $4.14 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.50 – $12.82 · fair‑value band $3.78 – $4.44 · the $10.33 price screens above the $4.14 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, an offshore energy services company, provides specialty services to the offshore energy industry in Brazil, the United States, North Sea, the Asia Pacific, West Africa, and internationally.

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Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, an offshore energy services company, provides specialty services to the offshore energy industry in Brazil, the United States, North Sea, the Asia Pacific, West Africa, and internationally. The company operates through four segments: Well Intervention, Robotics, Shallow Water Abandonment, and Production Facilities. It engages in the installation of flowlines, control umbilicals, and manifold assemblies and risers; trenching and burial of pipelines; installation and tie-in of riser and manifold assembly; commissioning, testing, and inspection; and cable and umbilical lay. The company also provides well intervention, intervention engineering, and production enhancement services; coiled tubing operations; and inspection, repair, and maintenance IRM of production structures, trees, jumpers, risers, pipelines, and subsea equipment, as well as related support services. In addition, it offers reclamation and remediation services; well plug and abandonment P&A services; pipeline, cable and umbilical abandonment services; and site inspections. Further, the company offers oil and natural gas processing facilities and services; and fast response system, as well as site clearance and subsea support services. Additionally, it provides offshore oilfield decommissioning and reclamation, site clearance, project management, engineered solutions, intervention, heavy lift, and commercial diving services. It serves independent oil and gas producers and suppliers, pipeline transmission companies, renewable energy companies, and offshore engineering and construction firms. The company was formerly known as Cal Dive International, Inc. and changed its name to Helix Energy Solutions Group, Inc. in March 2006. The company was incorporated in 1979 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Stock analysis

Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX) currently trades at $10.33, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.14, implying the stock looks roughly 149.5% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $10.34 per share, and 6 of the 24 models we run sit above the $10.33 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $1.44, and 18 of the 24 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $3.78 (bear) to $4.44 (bull), the price of $10.33 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 57/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $675M in FY2021, a compound +17.6%/yr. Reported net income was $30.8M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.5B · P/E ratio 103.3 · P/S ratio 2.47 · EPS (TTM) $0.1000 · Net margin 2.4% · Return on equity 0.9% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.7% · Operating margin −4.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 3% below its 52-week high and 70% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −23% fair-value upside, at −60%, HLX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $3.78 Fair Value $4.14 Bull $4.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0732 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $9.92 $14.01 $19.50 81
Growth DCF $9.97 $13.50 $17.93 79
Owner Earnings $11.76 $16.68 $23.30 77
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.92 $14.01 $19.50 81
Owner Earnings $11.76 $16.68 $23.30 77
5Y Revenue Exit $6.85 $9.30 $12.29 73
5Y EBITDA Exit $7.80 $11.09 $14.83 76
5Y P/E Exit $5.72 $7.18 $8.63 72
10Y Revenue Exit $7.92 $10.34 $13.40 68
10Y EBITDA Exit $8.58 $11.47 $15.17 69
10Y P/E Exit $7.36 $8.99 $10.83 65
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.42 $4.55 $6.07 64
Lynch FV $1.01 $1.44 $1.87 61
PEG = 1.0 $1.01 $1.44 $1.87 57
EPV $3.90 $4.30 $4.63 74
Multiples
P/E Multiple $2.20 $2.93 $3.66 63
P/S Multiple $2.67 $3.56 $4.44 58
P/B Multiple $2.67 $3.56 $4.44 55
EV/EBIT $4.31 $5.42 $6.52 66
EV/EBITDA $7.09 $9.13 $11.16 67
EV/Revenue $5.02 $6.74 $8.47 54
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $5.36 $7.18 $10.72 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.97 $13.50 $17.93 79
Rev-Margin DCF $6.85 $9.42 $12.43 73
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.07 $6.54 $4.71 71
ROIC Compounder $3.90 $4.30 $4.63 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $1.93 $2.76 $3.59 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 57/100

Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 68

Profitability 21
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 28
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 70
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 57
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 44
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 68
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 96
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 95
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 80/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.9%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.0%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.6% a year
Revenue growth 30 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.5%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−4.9%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.2% → 5%

Growth Forecast

Price in line with expectations
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and about what analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+3.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.7%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.1% a year for the price and +1.3% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+2.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+4.5%
Projected 2028 (sales)+4.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+3.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+3.6%

HLX screens 150% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 190 stocks

Beats the industry median on 4/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 57 · Above median
Fair Value upside −60% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 1% · Below median
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 1% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) −5% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.19× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 103.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 0.97× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.18× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 12.7× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 17.67× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 20
FUTURE (revenue growth)18 · sector 4
PAST (return on equity)4 · sector 28
HEALTH (low debt)91 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 34

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Oil & gas

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10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Saipem SpA SPM €4.36 €2.72 −38%
Subsea 7 S.A SUBC kr 319.80 kr 250.82 −22%
China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 ¥12.12 ¥13.04 +8%
Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT €222.60 €244.86 +10%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HLX

Frequently asked questions

Is Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.14 versus the last price from Sep 2, 2026 of $10.33, about −60% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HLX?
Our model-based fair value for Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc is $4.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 2, 2026): $10.33.
What is the quality score of HLX?
Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc has a Quality Score of 57/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.14 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 24 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.78, optimistic scenario $4.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.14, about −60% upside versus the last price from Sep 2, 2026 of $10.33 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $3.78, optimistic scenario $4.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc would have to grow free cash flow by +3.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.0 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HLX use?
Our models discount Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc at 11.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.11, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc that is +3.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc grew +12.0 % a year. The price currently implies +3.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (+3.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.85 %: that much free cash flow Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc it is $4.14 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $10.33. It is the blended result of 24 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, HLX trades above its calculated fair value: price $10.33, fair value $4.14, a gap of about −60% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HLX?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($10.33); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.14). For Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc the two are $6.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc worth?
The market values Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc at about $1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $10.33; our models calculate a fair value of $4.14 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HLX?
Our models span a range for Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc: cautious scenario $3.78, base $4.14, optimistic $4.44 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $10.33). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HLX?
Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 103.3 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $4.14 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 17.7, P/B 1.0, P/S 1.2, EV/EBITDA 7.1.
What is the PEG ratio of HLX?
The PEG ratio of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc is 17.67 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
Balance-sheet figures for Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 0.9%, debt of 0.19 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 57/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HLX from its 52-week high?
Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc trades at $10.33, about 3% below its 52-week high of $10.60 and 70% above the low of $6.09 (as of Sep 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.14 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc?
From the same area (Energy) we also value SLB N.V, Baker Hughes Company, TechnipFMC plc, Halliburton Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $10.33, calculated fair value $4.14 (−60%), Quality Score 57/100, from 24 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HLX calculated?
We run Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc through 24 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.14, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 2, 2026 and stands at $10.33. Our model-based fair value is $4.14, about −60% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($4.44). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (57/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
The market capitalisation of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc is $1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc is 2.47 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
Earnings per share at Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc are $0.1000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 103.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
The net margin of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc is 2.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc is 0.9% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc is 1.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
The operating margin of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc is −4.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
Revenue at Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc is growing +3.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX)?
Earnings per share at Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc are growing −56.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc (HLX) carry?
The net debt of Helix Energy Solutions Group Inc is $185M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 1.5 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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