HMH Holding (HMH) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · US · Market cap $834M
HMH Holding
HMH · US
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 22 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $15.96 to $15.70 (−1.6%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +1.7% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 20% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (63/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from $12.50 (bear) to $21.60 (bull), base $15.70. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 63/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (4 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
4‑month range $16.89 – $24.26 · fair‑value band $12.50 – $21.60 · the $19.65 price screens above the $15.70 fair value. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
HMH Holding (HMH) currently trades at $19.65, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.70, implying the stock looks roughly 20.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, HMH Holding generated revenue of $795M at a net margin of 5.4%. Revenue declined 13.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.5%. Net debt stands at $294M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $12.50 (bear case) to $21.60 (bull case); at $19.65, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 20% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at -20%, HMH screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 22 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($17.56) versus Asset-Based ($10.64). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 30
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HMH Holding Inc. provides offshore and onshore oil and gas drilling equipment and systems and services in the United States and Norway. The company's services include sales of projects and products including drilling equipment packages for newbuild or a reactivated drilling rig, and individual or grouped components of drilling and pressure control equipment.
Full company description
HMH Holding Inc. provides offshore and onshore oil and gas drilling equipment and systems and services in the United States and Norway. The company's services include sales of projects and products including drilling equipment packages for newbuild or a reactivated drilling rig, and individual or grouped components of drilling and pressure control equipment. The company also offers aftermarket services including services and replacement parts on installed equipment and integrated digital solutions. The company sells equipment and services to drilling contractors; operators, including both oil and gas E&P companies and mining companies onshore and offshore; and manufacturers, consisting of shipyards and manufacturers of capital equipment. In addition, the company also offers equipment and services to the onshore and subsea mining industry. The company offers equipment under two categories: pressure control systems, including Blowout Preventers; and topside equipment comprising hoisting and rotating systems and drilling circulating systems. Its pressure control systems include blowout preventers (BOPs), BOP control systems, drilling risers, and wellhead connectors. The company's topside equipment includes hoisting and rotating systems, such as top drive, iron roughneck and pipe handling, and derrick and drawworks; and drilling circulating systems, such as mud pumps, slurry pumps, and mud mixing and control systems. The company's aftermarket services include transactional services on installed equipment, such as the manufacturing and sale of replacement spare parts, overhaul and repair of installed equipment, recertifications and field labor; and integrated solutions to provide comprehensive digital solutions. Additionally, it develops digital solutions for remote drilling automation and condition-based monitoring. HMH Holding Inc. was founded in 1895 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HMH Holding reported revenue of $822M in FY2025 versus $677M in FY2022, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $45.5M in FY2025.
HMH screens 20% overvalued. Compare with SLB N.V →
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · 191 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Equipment & Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 90/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Equipment & Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLB N.V SLBN | 836.00 MXN | 533.97 MXN | -36% |
| Baker Hughes Company BKR | $55.95 | $33.55 | -40% |
| TechnipFMC plc FTI | $74.57 | $27.57 | -63% |
| Halliburton Company HAL | $35.22 | $21.50 | -39% |
| Tenaris S.A TS | $57.16 | $45.68 | -20% |
| Yantai Jereh Oilfield Services Group 002353 | ¥138.79 | ¥34.17 | -75% |
| Saipem SpA SPM | €4.20 | €2.72 | -35% |
| Subsea 7 S.A SUBC | kr 319.00 | kr 227.98 | -29% |
| China Oilfield Services Limited 601808 | ¥12.08 | ¥12.64 | +5% |
| Gaztransport & Technigaz SA GTT | €188.10 | €95.01 | -49% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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