HOOKIPA Pharma Inc (HOOK) Fair Value & Analysis
Healthcare · US · Market cap $14.2M
Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026
From 1 valuation models · updated 34 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $3.25 to $2.56 (−21.2%) since Jun 25, 2026.
Below-average quality, screening 123% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- A fairly wide model range ($1.69 to $3.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.7400 – $195.10 · fair‑value band $1.69 – $3.20 · the $1.15 price screens below the $2.56 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.
Analysis
HOOKIPA Pharma Inc (HOOK) currently trades at $1.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.56, implying the stock looks roughly 122.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $9.4M. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $37.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.69 (bear case) to $3.20 (bull case); at $1.15, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 123%, HOOK screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 1 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
HOOKIPA Pharma Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops immunetherapeutics targeting infectious diseases based on its proprietary arenavirus platform.
Full company description
HOOKIPA Pharma Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops immunetherapeutics targeting infectious diseases based on its proprietary arenavirus platform. The company's immuno-oncology pipeline includes HB-700, a novel next-generation multi-KRAS mutant-targeting investigational immunotherapy for the treatment of KRAS mutated cancers, including lung, colorectal, and pancreatic cancers; Eseba-vec, an investigational immunotherapeutic agent in clinical development for the treatment of Human Papillomavirus 16-positive (HPV16+) head and neck cancers with enrollment completed in a Phase 1/2 clinical trial; and HB-300, which targets self-antigens for the treatment of prostate cancer. It is also developing HB-400 for the treatment of Hepatitis B that is in Phase I of clinical trial; and HB-500 for the treatment of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) that is in Phase I of clinical trial. The company has a collaboration and license agreement with Gilead Sciences, Inc. to collaborate on preclinical research programs to evaluate potential vaccine products for the treatment, cure, diagnosis, or prevention of the hepatitis B virus (HBV) and the HIV. HOOKIPA Pharma Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
HOOKIPA Pharma Inc reported revenue of $9.7M in FY2025 versus $18.4M in FY2021, a compound −14.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$13.8M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Biotechnology · 601 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX | $486.03 | $278.78 | -43% |
| Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN | $664.45 | $594.40 | -11% |
| Samsung Biologics Co 207940 | 1,368,000 KRW | 1,091,384 KRW | -20% |
| Celltrion, Inc 068270 | 175,800 KRW | 76,325 KRW | -57% |
| WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 | HK$39.54 | HK$30.42 | -23% |
| Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 | HK$86.70 | HK$19.66 | -77% |
| Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 | HK$5.26 | HK$3.36 | -36% |
| ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 | 276,500 KRW | 44,444 KRW | -84% |
| RemeGen Co 688331 | ¥134.02 | ¥26.99 | -80% |
| Biocon Limited BIOCON | ₹440.70 | ₹57.36 | -87% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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