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HOOKIPA Pharma Inc (HOOK) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $14.2M

HP HOOKIPA Pharma Inc logo HOOKIPA Pharma Inc HOOK · US
Price$1.15
Fair Value$2.56
Upside+122.6%
Quality38/100
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Weak Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Narrow moat 10/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.69 – $3.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 7, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 34 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 7, 2026, revised from $3.25 to $2.56 (−21.2%) since Jun 25, 2026.

Below-average quality, screening 123% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.69). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.69 to $3.20) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$195.10 $0.7400 Fair Value $2.56 Mar 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.7400 – $195.10 · fair‑value band $1.69 – $3.20 · the $1.15 price screens below the $2.56 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 7, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

HOOKIPA Pharma Inc (HOOK) currently trades at $1.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.56, implying the stock looks roughly 122.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $9.4M. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $37.3M. Fundamentals as of Jul 7, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.69 (bear case) to $3.20 (bull case); at $1.15, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 123%, HOOK screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $1.29 $1.72 $2.57 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.29 $1.72 $2.57 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $9.4M
Revenue growth (YoY) -94.5%
Return on equity -106%
Free cash flow −$11.5M FY2025
Operating margin -885%
EPS (TTM) $-4.83
More key figures
Net cash $37.3M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 7, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 38/100

Of which business quality 38 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 9
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 29
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 7
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 74
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 64
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 52
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 43
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 36
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HOOKIPA Pharma Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops immunetherapeutics targeting infectious diseases based on its proprietary arenavirus platform.

Full company description

HOOKIPA Pharma Inc., a clinical stage biopharmaceutical company, develops immunetherapeutics targeting infectious diseases based on its proprietary arenavirus platform. The company's immuno-oncology pipeline includes HB-700, a novel next-generation multi-KRAS mutant-targeting investigational immunotherapy for the treatment of KRAS mutated cancers, including lung, colorectal, and pancreatic cancers; Eseba-vec, an investigational immunotherapeutic agent in clinical development for the treatment of Human Papillomavirus 16-positive (HPV16+) head and neck cancers with enrollment completed in a Phase 1/2 clinical trial; and HB-300, which targets self-antigens for the treatment of prostate cancer. It is also developing HB-400 for the treatment of Hepatitis B that is in Phase I of clinical trial; and HB-500 for the treatment of Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) that is in Phase I of clinical trial. The company has a collaboration and license agreement with Gilead Sciences, Inc. to collaborate on preclinical research programs to evaluate potential vaccine products for the treatment, cure, diagnosis, or prevention of the hepatitis B virus (HBV) and the HIV. HOOKIPA Pharma Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HOOKIPA Pharma Inc reported revenue of $9.7M in FY2025 versus $18.4M in FY2021, a compound −14.8%/yr. Reported net income was −$13.8M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.7M
Latest YoY
−77.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−12.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.1%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Revenue −14.8%/yr
FY21 $18.4M
FY22 $14.2M
FY23 $20.1M
FY24 $43.9M
FY25 $9.7M
Net income
FY21 −$75.7M
FY22 −$65.1M
FY23 −$81.6M
FY24 −$43.5M
FY25 −$13.8M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HOOKIPA Pharma Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HOOK

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 38 · Below median
Fair Value upside +123% · Top 25%
Return on assets -45% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -95% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.44× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.52× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 99 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 7, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HOOKIPA Pharma Inc (HOOK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 7, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.56 versus a price of $1.15, about +123% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HOOK?
Our model-based fair value for HOOKIPA Pharma Inc is $2.56 (as of Jul 7, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.15.
What is the quality score of HOOK?
HOOKIPA Pharma Inc has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of HOOKIPA Pharma Inc (HOOK)?
HOOKIPA Pharma Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $9.4M (latest available figure, as of Jul 7, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of HOOK?
The net profit margin of HOOKIPA Pharma Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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