Hoa Phat Group (HPG) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · VN · Market cap 199T VND
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 5 days ago
Share price −1.5% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range 19,790 VND – 26,695 VND · fair‑value band 23,137 VND – 45,686 VND · the 23,300 VND price screens below the 33,052 VND fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Hoa Phat Group (HPG) currently trades at 23,300 VND, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 33,052 VND — implying the stock looks roughly 41.9% undervalued today. We read business quality at 94/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high) — always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Hoa Phat Group generated revenue of 171T VND at a net margin of 12.3%. Revenue grew 40.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.5%. Net debt stands at 83.9T VND. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Hoa Phat Group Joint Stock Company produces and sells steel products in Vietnam. It engages in financial investments; integrated investment in construction; exploration and exploitation of minerals, metal ores, sand, stones, and gravel; production of cast iron, steel, structural metal products, tanks, reservoirs, containers, plated and non-plated steel pipes, inox pipes, rolled steel, roofing sheets, galvanized steel sheets, color coated steel sheets, and galvalum steel sheets; production and trading of non-ferrous metals and metal scraps; trading and import-export of steel, iron, metals, metal ores, and steel-making supplies; mechanical processing, metal treatment, and coating; production, trading, and assembly of construction and mining machinery; leasing machines, equipment, and motor vehicles; dealing in automobiles, motorcycles, transport vehicles, and parts for transport and mining sectors; production, trading, assembly, installation, repair, and maintenance of electrical, ele…
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Hoa Phat Group reported revenue of 156T VND in FY2025 versus 150T VND in FY2021, a compound +1.1%/yr. Reported net income was 15.5T VND in FY2025, compounding −18.2%/yr from FY2021.
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Similar stocks
6 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jun 24, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $22.20 | $11.06 | -50% |
| Nucor Corporation NUE | $250.49 | $79.02 | -68% |
| ArcelorMittal S.A ARMT34 | R$172.80 | R$119.18 | -31% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,270 | ₹1,007 | -21% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.75 | ¥8.07 | +40% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 363,000 KRW | 143,097 KRW | -61% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.