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HighTide Therapeutics, Inc (HTTIF) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · US · Market cap $178M

HT HighTide Therapeutics, Inc logo HighTide Therapeutics, Inc HTTIF · US
Price$0.3893
Fair Value$0.9800
Upside+151.7%
Quality53/100
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Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (6/9)
Narrow moat 7/100
Evidence: Low Range $0.6400 – $1.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 17, 2026, revised from $0.2700 to $0.9800 (+263.0%) since Jun 24, 2026.

A solid business, screening 152% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($0.6400). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (53/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.6400 to $1.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 months)

$0.4206 $0.3499 Fair Value $0.9800 Apr 2026 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

4‑month range $0.3499 – $0.4206 · fair‑value band $0.6400 – $1.22 · the $0.3893 price screens below the $0.9800 fair value. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

HighTide Therapeutics, Inc (HTTIF) currently trades at $0.3893, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.9800, implying the stock looks roughly 151.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

It earns a return on equity of -58.9%. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.6400 (bear case) to $1.22 (bull case); at $0.3893, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 7% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -43% fair-value upside, at 152%, HTTIF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $0.3000 $0.4000 $0.6000 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.3000 $0.4000 $0.6000 50

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Key figures & financial health

Return on equity -58.9%
Free cash flow −$167M FY2025
EPS (TTM) $-0.0800

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 75
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 15
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 41
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 40
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

HighTide Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapies to treat patients with chronic metabolic and liver diseases in Mainland China.

Full company description

HighTide Therapeutics, Inc., a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the development of therapies to treat patients with chronic metabolic and liver diseases in Mainland China. Its lead drug candidate is HTD1801, which is in phase III clinical trial to treat type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM); in phase I clinical trial to treat gradual loss of kidney function over time; phase IIb for the treatment of pathogenetic complexity and heterogeneity; phase I to treat obesity; and phase II for the treatment of chronic cholestatic liver disease. The company is also developing HTD4010, a polypeptide drug, which is in phase I clinical trial for the treatment of alcoholic hepatitis; HTF1037 a preclinical-stage for the treatment of obesity and comorbidities; HTF1057 a preclinical-stage a drug candidate for the treatment of neurodegenerative diseases; HTD1804 that is in preclinical trial to treat obesity; and HTD1805, a multifunctional small molecule drug, which is in preclinical trial for the treatment of metabolic diseases. HighTide Therapeutics, Inc. was founded in 2011 and is headquartered in Shenzhen, China.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

HighTide Therapeutics, Inc reported revenue of $0 in FY2025 versus $0 in FY2022. Reported net income was −$232M in FY2025.

Revenue
FY22 $0
FY23 $0
FY24 $0
FY25 $0
Net income
FY22 −$190M
FY23 −$939M
FY24 −$382M
FY25 −$232M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "HighTide Therapeutics, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/HTTIF

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 601 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 50 · Above median
Fair Value upside +152% · Top 25%
Return on assets -25% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth 0% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.25× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.58× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 0
HEALTH 87 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 23

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $486.03 $278.78 -43%
Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc REGN $664.45 $594.40 -11%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,368,000 KRW 1,091,384 KRW -20%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 175,800 KRW 76,325 KRW -57%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$39.54 HK$30.42 -23%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$86.70 HK$19.66 -77%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$5.26 HK$3.36 -36%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 276,500 KRW 44,444 KRW -84%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥134.02 ¥26.99 -80%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹440.70 ₹57.36 -87%

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Frequently asked questions

Is HighTide Therapeutics, Inc (HTTIF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.9800 versus a price of $0.3893, about +152% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of HTTIF?
Our model-based fair value for HighTide Therapeutics, Inc is $0.9800 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.3893.
What is the quality score of HTTIF?
HighTide Therapeutics, Inc has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of HTTIF?
The net profit margin of HighTide Therapeutics, Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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