PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk IDR 160, price IDR 182, upside -12.0%, quality 52 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
31‑month range 111.16 IDR – 198.00 IDR · fair‑value band 107.88 IDR – 242.37 IDR · the 182.00 IDR price screens above the 160.26 IDR fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk provides hygiene, sanitation, and pest control services in Indonesia.
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PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk provides hygiene, sanitation, and pest control services in Indonesia. The company offers a range of hygiene products, such as digital sanitizer, water-based freshener, microbust freshener, foam soap dispenser, and auto handroll tissue; classic products, including sanitizer, air freshener, liquid soap dispenser, LCD, hand sanitizer, hand dryer, seat cleaner, flies, sanitary bin digital, auto soap, sanitary bin, doormats, and multifold tissue dispenser; and office disinfectant and hygiene package products comprising air disinfectant spray, antimicrobial soap, and auto hand sanitizer. It also provides disinfectant services; consultation, installation, and maintenance services; building management services; cleaning and housekeeping services to residential, office, and commercial areas; and industrial, commercial, and residential protection pest control solutions. PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Jakarta Selatan, Indonesia.
Stock analysis
PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN) currently trades at 182.00 IDR, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 160.26 IDR, implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of 225.56 IDR per share, and 12 of the 26 models we run sit above the 182.00 IDR price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at 36.66 IDR, and 14 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 107.88 IDR (bear) to 242.37 IDR (bull), the price of 182.00 IDR sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk reported revenue of 361B IDR in FY2025 versus 156B IDR in FY2021, a compound +23.3%/yr. Reported net income was 19.7B IDR in FY2025, compounding +18.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 457B IDR (≈ $45.7M) · P/S ratio 1.03 · Dividend yield 1.6% · Net margin 5.5% · Return on equity 12.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.9% · Operating margin 4.3% · Revenue (TTM) 375B IDR.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 44% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at −12%, HYGN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 107.88 IDRFair Value 160.26 IDRBull 242.37 IDR
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.90/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+16.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+24.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+20.1%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in IDR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in IDR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+10.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+8.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.6%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 6%
Growth Forecast
Price in line with expectations
The price assumes about as much growth as the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+17.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (Indonesia: IMF forecast 2.6% a year to 2030, 2.9% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +14.3% a year for the price.
Compare PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 248 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/10 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score52 · Below median
Fair Value upside−12% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Above median
Return on assets7% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)6% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth17% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)1.6% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.01× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
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Is PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 160.26 IDR versus a price of 182.00 IDR, about −12% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of HYGN?
Our model-based fair value for PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk is 160.26 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 182.00 IDR.
What is the quality score of HYGN?
PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk has a Quality Score of 52/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 160.26 IDR (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario 107.88 IDR, optimistic scenario 242.37 IDR. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 160.26 IDR, about −12% upside versus a price of 182.00 IDR (overvalued). Cautious scenario 107.88 IDR, optimistic scenario 242.37 IDR. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 375B IDR (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk pay a dividend?
PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.57% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk would have to grow free cash flow by +17.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +20.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HYGN use?
Our models discount PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), country premium for Indonesia. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk that is +17.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk grew +20.1 % a year. The price currently implies +17.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.7 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (+17.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.11 %: that much free cash flow PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk it is 160.26 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 182.00 IDR. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HYGN trades above its calculated fair value: price 182.00 IDR, fair value 160.26 IDR, a gap of about −12% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HYGN?
No. The price is what the market pays today (182.00 IDR); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (160.26 IDR). For PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk the two are 21.74 IDR per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk worth?
The market values PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk at about 457B IDR (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 182.00 IDR; our models calculate a fair value of 160.26 IDR per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HYGN?
Our models span a range for PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk: cautious scenario 107.88 IDR, base 160.26 IDR, optimistic 242.37 IDR per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 182.00 IDR). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
Balance-sheet figures for PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 12.7%, debt of 0.01 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 52/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HYGN from its 52-week high?
PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk trades at 182.00 IDR, about 8% below its 52-week high of 198.00 IDR and 44% above the low of 126.00 IDR (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 160.26 IDR is for.
Which stocks are comparable to PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 182.00 IDR, calculated fair value 160.26 IDR (−12%), Quality Score 52/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HYGN calculated?
We run PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 160.26 IDR, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 182.00 IDR. Our model-based fair value is 160.26 IDR, about −12% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk right now?
A fairly wide model range (107.88 IDR to 242.37 IDR) leaves room in how you read the outcome. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.
Key figures of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk
How large is the market capitalisation of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
The market capitalisation of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk is 457B IDR (≈ $45.7M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
The price-to-sales ratio of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk is 1.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What is the dividend yield of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
The dividend yield of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk is 1.6%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
The net margin of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk is 5.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
The return on equity (ROE) of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk is 12.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk is 11.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
The operating margin of PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk is 4.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
Revenue at PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk is growing +17.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg +24.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN)?
Earnings per share at PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk are growing +81.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk (HYGN) hold?
PT Ecocare Indo Pasifik Tbk holds more cash than debt, 12.3B IDR net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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