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Dexterra Group (HZNOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 30, 2026: fair value of Dexterra Group $10.83, price $11.36, upside -4.7%, quality 63 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Broad data
Sep 24, 2026
Dexterra Group
HZNOF · USNeutralThe stock looks roughly fairly valued with average quality.
·Fair value $10.83 · Fairly valued (−4.7%)
✓Quality 63/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue YoY +3.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 4.2% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓3.4% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 46/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.8100 – $11.52 · fair‑value band $6.84 – $14.08 · the $11.36 price screens above the $10.83 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
Dexterra Group Inc. engages in the provision of support services for the creation, management, and operation of infrastructure in Canada. It operates through two segments, Support Services and Asset Based Services.
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Dexterra Group Inc. engages in the provision of support services for the creation, management, and operation of infrastructure in Canada. It operates through two segments, Support Services and Asset Based Services. The Support Services segment delivers a suite of operation, maintenance, and hospitality solutions for a diverse range of public and private sector clients, including remote operations, governments, aviation, education, industrial, transit, healthcare, and leisure. The Asset Based Services segment provides workforce accommodation structures, access solutions, and space rentals to clients in the natural resources and infrastructure sectors. This segment also engages in the supply, transportation, and installation of workforce accommodation facilities, access matting, and soil stabilization that allow clients to access and move equipment in remote locations, as well as the rental of modular space units. Dexterra Group Inc. was formerly known as Horizon North Logistics Inc. and changed its name to Dexterra Group Inc. in November 2020. The company was founded in 1985 and is headquartered in Mississauga, Canada.
Stock analysis
Dexterra Group (HZNOF) currently trades at $11.36, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.83, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 4.9%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $11.00 per share, and 7 of the 26 models we run sit above the $11.36 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.14, and 19 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $6.84 (bear) to $14.08 (bull), the price of $11.36 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Dexterra Group reported revenue of C$1.0B in FY2025 versus C$733M in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was C$40.5M in FY2025, compounding +13.5%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $720M · P/E ratio 21.8 · P/S ratio 0.85 · EPS (TTM) $0.5200 · Dividend yield 3.4% · Net margin 3.9% · Return on equity 16.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 1% fair-value upside, at −5%, HZNOF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $6.84
Fair Value $10.83
Bull $14.08
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.0998 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Residual Income
$2.95
$3.48
$4.60
76
FCF DCF
$6.53
$13.01
$27.46
75
Growth DCF
$6.23
$13.23
$22.91
75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$6.53
$13.01
$27.46
75
Owner Earnings
$7.65
$16.40
$31.16
72
5Y Revenue Exit
$4.92
$10.88
$19.22
69
5Y EBITDA Exit
$7.74
$17.10
$29.45
72
5Y P/E Exit
$4.97
$10.99
$18.18
68
10Y Revenue Exit
$5.19
$10.93
$20.31
63
10Y EBITDA Exit
$7.15
$15.27
$28.69
64
10Y P/E Exit
$5.42
$11.00
$19.46
61
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$3.10
$17.95
$24.97
63
Lynch FV
$5.07
$7.24
$9.42
61
PEG = 1.0
$5.07
$7.24
$9.42
57
EPV
$2.00
$2.63
$3.14
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$1.98
$3.57
$4.91
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$1.98
$3.26
$3.81
67
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$7.17
$9.56
$11.95
63
P/S Multiple
$5.80
$7.74
$9.67
58
P/B Multiple
$5.80
$7.74
$9.67
55
EV/EBIT
$6.70
$9.79
$12.88
65
EV/EBITDA
$9.16
$13.07
$16.98
67
EV/Revenue
$4.05
$6.89
$9.72
52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$1.59
$2.14
$3.19
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$6.23
$13.23
$22.91
75
Rev-Margin DCF
$4.92
$10.69
$18.70
69
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$2.95
$3.48
$4.60
76
ROIC Compounder
$2.00
$2.63
$3.14
72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$7.48
$10.69
$13.90
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
63/100
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 80
Profitability
53
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
60
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
47
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
91
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
63
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
80
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
99
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
94
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
58/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) (mathematically smoothed) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Smoothed = median of all growth paths between the years of the window (trend line on the logarithm of earnings per share): a single extreme year cannot distort the rate. The reported figure stays in the tooltip.
−2.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.0%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.4%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.11% → 6%
2025 sits 107% above its own trend. The rate follows the median trend of the last 5 years, not that single year.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+11.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.1%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CAD, Canada: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +8.8% a year for the price and +3.9% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+10.2%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.8%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.3%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.9%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.4%
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Business Services · 235 stocks
Beats the industry median on 9/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Industrials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Industrials
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cintas Corporation CTAS | $197.74 | $188.06 | −5% |
| Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI | $99.36 | $70.79 | −29% |
| Copart, Inc CPRT | $27.14 | $31.02 | +14% |
| Global Payments Inc GPN | $83.33 | $88.43 | +6% |
| Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL | €67.82 | €98.05 | +45% |
| Brambles Limited BXB | A$18.55 | A$18.66 | +1% |
| RB Global, Inc RBA | C$116.74 | C$128.41 | +10% |
| Aramark ARMK | $54.92 | $23.06 | −58% |
| UL Solutions Inc ULS | $66.05 | $33.46 | −49% |
| Rentokil Initial plc RTO | $20.64 | $19.63 | −5% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Dexterra Group (HZNOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.83 versus a price of $11.36, about −5% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of HZNOF?
Our model-based fair value for Dexterra Group is $10.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.36.
What is the quality score of HZNOF?
Dexterra Group has a Quality Score of 63/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.83 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $6.84, optimistic scenario $14.08. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Dexterra Group stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.83, about −5% upside versus a price of $11.36 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $6.84, optimistic scenario $14.08. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
Dexterra Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$1.1B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Dexterra Group pay a dividend?
Dexterra Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.42% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Dexterra Group would have to grow free cash flow by +11.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +16.8 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of HZNOF use?
Our models discount Dexterra Group at 10.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.65, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Dexterra Group that is +11.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Dexterra Group (HZNOF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Dexterra Group grew +16.8 % a year. The price currently implies +11.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Dexterra Group (HZNOF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.2 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Dexterra Group (+11.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 5.93 %: that much free cash flow Dexterra Group produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Dexterra Group it is $10.83 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $11.36. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Dexterra Group stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, HZNOF trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.36, fair value $10.83, a gap of about −5% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of HZNOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.36); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.83). For Dexterra Group the two are $0.5300 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Dexterra Group worth?
The market values Dexterra Group at about $720M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $11.36; our models calculate a fair value of $10.83 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about HZNOF?
Our models span a range for Dexterra Group: cautious scenario $6.84, base $10.83, optimistic $14.08 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $11.36). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of HZNOF?
Dexterra Group trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.8 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.83 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.0, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Dexterra Group (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 16.1%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 63/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is HZNOF from its 52-week high?
Dexterra Group trades at $11.36, about 1% below its 52-week high of $11.52 and 64% above the low of $6.95 (as of Sep 30, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.83 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Dexterra Group?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Cintas Corporation, Thomson Reuters Corporation, Copart, Inc, Global Payments Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Dexterra Group stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $11.36, calculated fair value $10.83 (−5%), Quality Score 63/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of HZNOF calculated?
We run Dexterra Group through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.83, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Dexterra Group itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
The closing price on Sep 30, 2026 was $11.36. Our model-based fair value is $10.83, about −5% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Dexterra Group right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($6.84 to $14.08) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Dexterra Group
How large is the market capitalisation of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
The market capitalisation of Dexterra Group is $720M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Dexterra Group is 0.85 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
Earnings per share at Dexterra Group are $0.5200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
The dividend yield of Dexterra Group is 3.4% (payout 74.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
The net margin of Dexterra Group is 3.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Dexterra Group is 16.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Dexterra Group is 7.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
The operating margin of Dexterra Group is 5.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
Revenue at Dexterra Group is growing +14.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Dexterra Group (HZNOF)?
Earnings per share at Dexterra Group are growing +54.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Dexterra Group (HZNOF) carry?
The net debt of Dexterra Group is C$223M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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