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ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (ICUGS) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · TR · Market cap 1.9B TRY

IG ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. ICUGS · IS
Price5.43 TRY
Fair Value0.6885 TRY
Upside-87.3%
Quality41/100
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Mixed Growth
Highly profitable · 33.5% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/9)
Wide moat 92/100
Evidence: Low Range 0.5185 TRY – 1.03 TRY Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 8, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated yesterday

Share price +0.6% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 87% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (1.03 TRY). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (41/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.5185 TRY to 1.03 TRY) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

6.89 TRY 0.2920 TRY Fair Value 0.6885 TRY May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.2920 TRY – 6.89 TRY · fair‑value band 0.5185 TRY – 1.03 TRY · the 5.43 TRY price screens above the 0.6885 TRY fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 8, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (ICUGS) currently trades at 5.43 TRY, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6885 TRY, implying the stock looks roughly 87.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Over the trailing twelve months, ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. generated revenue of 259M TRY at a net margin of 33.5%. It earns a return on equity of 18.5%. Net debt stands at 33.4M TRY. Fundamentals as of Aug 8, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.5185 TRY (bear case) to 1.03 TRY (bull case); at 5.43 TRY, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 22% below its 52-week high and 115% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -87%, ICUGS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) 0.6100 TRY 0.8100 TRY 1.21 TRY 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) 0.6100 TRY 0.8100 TRY 1.21 TRY 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 259M TRY
Revenue growth (YoY) -99.6%
Net margin 33.5%
Return on equity 18.5%
Free cash flow −1.2M TRY FY2026
Operating margin 54.8%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) -0.5200 TRY
EPS growth (YoY) +248%
Net debt 33.4M TRY FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 8, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 25 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 64

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 7
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 50
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 38
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 76
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is a venture capital investment trust specializing in seed/startup, early, mid venture, middle market, buyouts, PIPEs investments in small and medium enterprises.

Full company description

ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is a venture capital investment trust specializing in seed/startup, early, mid venture, middle market, buyouts, PIPEs investments in small and medium enterprises. The fund seeks to invest in healthcare including all areas except hospital services (medical equipment, pharma, distribution, logistics, consumables, IT, laboratories, insurance, and payment systems); telecom, technology including IT, software, hardware, media, internet; infrastructure including energy, waste management, logistics, clean technology; and business services including finance, hospitality, and education. It prefers to invest in Turkey. The fund typically invests between $1 million and $10 million in companies with sales between $5 million and $20 million and EBITDA between $0.75 million and $3 million. It prefers to take a majority stake. However, the fund can also selectively invest with a minority stake. It seeks to hold financial and board level control in its portfolio companies. The fund seeks to exit its investments in five years either through a block sale or an IPO.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. reported revenue of 0 TRY in FY2026 versus 0 TRY in FY2022. Reported net income was −198M TRY in FY2026.

Growth Quality 52/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
40.4M TRY
Latest YoY
+111.7%
Revenue
FY22 0 TRY
FY23 0 TRY
FY24 19.1M TRY
FY25 40.4M TRY
FY26 0 TRY
Net income
FY22 −3.0M TRY
FY23 −11.3M TRY
FY24 −10.7M TRY
FY25 −65.8M TRY
FY26 −198M TRY

ICUGS screens 87% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/ICUGS

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −87% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 17% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 33% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 55% · Below median
Revenue growth -100% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.09× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.15× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 36
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 74 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 70

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 8, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,036 $504.81 -51%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 394.40 kr 788.80 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (ICUGS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6885 TRY versus a price of 5.43 TRY, about −87% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of ICUGS?
Our model-based fair value for ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is 0.6885 TRY (as of Aug 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is 5.43 TRY.
What is the quality score of ICUGS?
ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. has a Quality Score of 41/100. It combines two groups: business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength) and market factors (price momentum, distance to the 52-week high, volatility). Both subtotals are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. (ICUGS)?
ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 259M TRY (latest available figure, as of Aug 8, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of ICUGS?
The net profit margin of ICU Girisim Sermayesi Yatirim Ortakligi A.S. is about 33.5%, meaning it keeps roughly 33.5% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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