Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) Fair Value & Analysis
Financial Services · CA · Market cap C$52.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price −7.5% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 12% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
- Our model range runs from C$185.58 (bear) to C$309.30 (bull), base C$247.44. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 66/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range C$141.59 – C$310.18 · fair‑value band C$185.58 – C$309.30 · the C$280.00 price screens above the C$247.44 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Intact Financial Corporation (IFC) currently trades at C$280.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$247.44, implying the stock looks roughly 11.6% overvalued today. We read business quality at 66/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Intact Financial Corporation generated revenue of C$26.4B at a net margin of 13.1%. Revenue grew 4.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 17.2%. Net debt stands at C$4.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from C$185.58 (bear case) to C$309.30 (bull case); at C$280.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at -12%, IFC screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (C$415.81) versus Asset-Based (C$78.96). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 63 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Intact Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products to individuals and businesses in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally.
Full company description
Intact Financial Corporation, through its subsidiaries, provides property and casualty insurance products to individuals and businesses in Canada, the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. It offers insurance, such as personal auto that provides coverage from accidents, third-party liability, and physical damage; personal property which provides protection for homes and belongings from risks, including fire, theft, vandalism, water damages, other damages, and personal liability; and commercial line and specialty line insurance, including commercial auto, property, and liability coverages. The company also provides business insurance. It serves its products to accident and health, technology, ocean and inland marine, builder's risk, and entertainment, as well as financial professional lines; and various products to specialty property, surety, tuition reimbursement, general liability, and cyber and environmental institutions. The company offers specialty insurance products, including brokers, direct to consumer, agencies, wholesalers, affinity partners, Intact Prestige, and managing general agent platform. It offers its products through multiple distribution channels, such as brokers, direct-to-consumer, and managing general agent (MGA) platforms. The company was formerly known as ING Canada Inc. and changed its name to Intact Financial Corporation in 2009. Intact Financial Corporation was founded in 1809 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Intact Financial Corporation reported revenue of C$26.1B in FY2025 versus C$17.6B in FY2021, a compound +10.4%/yr. Reported net income was C$3.4B in FY2025, compounding +13.0%/yr from FY2021.
IFC screens 12% overvalued. Compare with The Progressive Corporation →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Intact Financial Q2 Earnings Call Highlights
- Intact supports Kingston's wildfire recovery every step of the way: One year later, 75% of claims are closed
- Media Advisory - Intact Financial Corporation to announce 2026 second quarter results on July 28, 2026, and hold earnings conference call th
- Intact Financial Corporation announces second quarter catastrophe and large losses estimate
Peer Group
Insurance - Property & Casualty · 120 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Insurance - Property & Casualty median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Progressive Corporation PGR | $234.48 | $252.50 | +8% |
| Chubb Limited CB | $337.44 | $345.56 | +2% |
| The Travelers Companies, Inc TRV | $368.98 | $384.42 | +4% |
| The Allstate Corporation ALL | $251.61 | $503.22 | +100% |
| The People's Insurance Company 601319 | ¥7.06 | ¥13.71 | +94% |
| Fairfax Financial Holdings FFH | C$2,327 | C$3,252 | +40% |
| QBE Insurance Group QBE | A$25.47 | A$19.42 | -24% |
| Samsung Fire & Marine Insurance Co 000810 | 648,000 KRW | 658,771 KRW | +2% |
| Powszechny Zaklad Ubezpieczen SA PZU | 69.80 PLN | 100.85 PLN | +44% |
| Gjensidige Forsikring ASA GJF | kr 277.00 | kr 170.47 | -38% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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