INFICON Holding (IFCN) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · CH · Market cap CHF 4.1B
Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 16, 2026, revised from CHF 64.36 to CHF 64.24 (−0.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +9.4% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 63% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 91.93). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (CHF 41.46 to CHF 91.93) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range CHF 59.41 – CHF 187.80 · fair‑value band CHF 41.46 – CHF 91.93 · the CHF 174.40 price screens above the CHF 64.24 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.
Analysis
INFICON Holding (IFCN) currently trades at CHF 174.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 64.24, implying the stock looks roughly 63.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, INFICON Holding generated revenue of CHF 674M at a net margin of 12.7%. Revenue declined 0.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 21.2%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of CHF 81.2M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from CHF 41.46 (bear case) to CHF 91.93 (bull case); at CHF 174.40, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades near its 52-week high and 94% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -63%, IFCN screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (CHF 69.98) versus Asset-Based (CHF 11.68). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 73
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
INFICON Holding AG develops instruments for gas analysis, measurement, and control in Switzerland and internationally. The company offers industrial gas analyzers, mass spectrometers, and process control sensors; vacuum gauges, controllers, components, and feedthroughs; leak detectors; thin film controllers; application-based software solutions; quartz …
Full company description
INFICON Holding AG develops instruments for gas analysis, measurement, and control in Switzerland and internationally. The company offers industrial gas analyzers, mass spectrometers, and process control sensors; vacuum gauges, controllers, components, and feedthroughs; leak detectors; thin film controllers; application-based software solutions; quartz crystal, RF sensing, and xParts coating technologies; chemical detectors and monitors; micro gas chromatography; and service tools. It also provides toxic chemical analysis products for emergency response, security, and environmental monitoring, as well as instruments for energy and petrochemical applications. The company's analysis, measurement, and control products are used for gas leak detection in air conditioning, refrigeration, and automotive manufacturing; and for equipment manufacturers and end-users in the fabrication of semiconductors and thin film coatings for optics, flat panel displays, solar cells, LED lighting, and industrial vacuum coating applications. Its products are also used in the life sciences, research, aerospace, packaging, heat treatment, laser cutting, and other industrial sectors. The company was founded in 2000 and is based in Bad Ragaz, Switzerland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
INFICON Holding reported revenue of CHF 706M in FY2025 versus CHF 516M in FY2021, a compound +8.2%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 89.9M in FY2025, compounding +2.9%/yr from FY2021.
IFCN screens 63% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Inficon Holding AG (IFCNF) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Record Sales and Strategic ...
- Inficon Holding AG (IFCNF) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Revenue Growth and Raised ...
- Inficon Holding AG (IFCNF) Q4 2025 Earnings Call Highlights: Record Revenue Amid Margin Pressures
- What Is INFICON Holding AG's (VTX:IFCN) Share Price Doing?
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 161 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $315.90 | $84.16 | -73% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $241.76 | $146.67 | -39% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $635.52 | $367.58 | -42% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Trimble Inc TRMB | $52.72 | $24.47 | -54% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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