Trimble Inc (TRMB) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $12.3B
Trimble Inc
TRMB · US
Fair value as of: Jul 20, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 18 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 20, 2026, revised from $24.08 to $24.47 (+1.6%) since Jul 19, 2026. Share price +9.0% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 58% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($43.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- A fairly wide model range ($20.14 to $43.37) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $40.82 – $95.72 · fair‑value band $20.14 – $43.37 · the $58.55 price screens above the $24.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 20, 2026.
Analysis
Trimble Inc (TRMB) currently trades at $58.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.47, implying the stock looks roughly 58.2% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Trimble Inc generated revenue of $3.7B at a net margin of 12.4%. Revenue grew 11.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 20, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $20.14 (bear case) to $43.37 (bull case); at $58.55, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The last reported earnings sit well below what analysts expect (earnings in transition, for example after write-downs or an earnings dip); whether the stock is cheap or expensive hinges on the expected recovery actually arriving. Read the fair value with that caveat. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 11% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -58%, TRMB screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($214.66) versus Growth DCF ($6.02). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Trimble Inc. offers technology solutions and platform that enable office professionals and field workers to connect workflows and industry lifecycles in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally.
Full company description
Trimble Inc. offers technology solutions and platform that enable office professionals and field workers to connect workflows and industry lifecycles in North America, Europe, the Asia Pacific, and internationally. The company provides architecture and interior design; building information modeling, engineering, and virtual design and construction; and construction and owner software products. It also offers field and office software for estimating and job cost management, and project design and visualization; software for 3D design and data sharing; systems to guide and control construction equipment, such as excavators, bulldozers, wheel loaders, motor graders, and paving equipment; systems to monitor, track, and manage assets, equipment, and workers; and software to facilitate the management of the construction process and for sharing and communication of data in real time. In addition, it provides positioning services comprising VRSNow; CenterPoint RTX; FieldPoint RTX; Rangepoint RTX; ViewPoint RTX; and Trimble xFill services. Further, it offers transportation and logistics solutions for shippers, carriers, retailers, and intermediaries, such as carrier transportation management software (TMS) and maintenance solutions to manage core transportation operations and maintenance workflows; transporeon solutions to provide a cloud-based ecosystem that manages the transportation lifecycle from freight sourcing and procurement through transport execution, dock and yard management, and auditing; and MAPS, a mapping and routing solutions that provide the industry standard for truck-specific routing, mileage, and navigation. It sells its technology solutions directly to end users and through software integrations. The company was formerly known as Trimble Navigation Limited and changed its name to Trimble Inc. in October 2016. Trimble Inc. was founded in 1978 and is headquartered in Westminster, Colorado.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Trimble Inc reported revenue of $3.6B in FY2025 versus $3.7B in FY2021, a compound −0.5%/yr. Reported net income was $424M in FY2025, compounding −3.7%/yr from FY2021.
TRMB screens 58% overvalued. Compare with Keysight Technologies, Inc →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Trimble Second Quarter Earnings Call and Webcast
- Announcing Trimble Dimensions 2026 User Conference and Offsite Expo
Peer Group
Scientific & Technical Instruments · 162 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Scientific & Technical Instruments median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Scientific & Technical Instruments stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 20, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Keysight Technologies, Inc KEYS | $315.90 | $84.16 | -73% |
| Garmin Ltd GRMN | $241.76 | $146.67 | -39% |
| Teledyne Technologies Incorporated TDY | $635.52 | $367.58 | -42% |
| Chroma ATE Inc 2360 | 1,905 TWD | 286.15 TWD | -85% |
| Hexagon AB HEXAB | kr 80.10 | kr 52.93 | -34% |
| MKS Inc MKSI | $324.69 | $77.46 | -76% |
| AVIC Chengdu Aircraft Company 302132 | ¥52.91 | ¥34.47 | -35% |
| Fortive Corporation FTV | $61.78 | $33.84 | -45% |
| Cognex Corporation CGNX | $64.07 | $13.75 | -79% |
| Wuhan Guide Infrared Co 002414 | ¥13.15 | ¥3.21 | -76% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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