JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of JFE Systems, Inc. $24.11, price $12.22, upside +97.4%, quality 62 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
56‑month range $8.16 – $16.32 · fair‑value band $18.08 – $30.13 · the $12.22 price screens below the $24.11 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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JFE Systems, Inc. engages in the planning, designing, developing, operating, and maintenance of information systems in Japan.
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JFE Systems, Inc. engages in the planning, designing, developing, operating, and maintenance of information systems in Japan. The company also offers various business solutions, such as system integration, supply chain management systems, data science, AI, business system and low code development, ERP, BI, e-commerce, system coordination, digital form systems, cost management systems, purchasing management systems, personnel and payroll systems, and quality information management and manufacturing method management systems for the food products industry. In addition, it provides infrastructure solutions comprising cloud, server virtualization, network construction, virtualization technology, information security support, and voice cloud services; office solutions, manufacturing site solutions, and platform construction support services; and systems development and maintenance for sales, production/logistics, accounting, costs, purchasing, supply and demand, quality, accounting, and pensions, etc. The company was formerly known as Kawasaki Steel Systems R&D Corporation and changed its name to JFE Systems, Inc. in 2004. The company was incorporated in 1983 and is headquartered in Minato, Japan. JFE Systems, Inc. is a subsidiary of JFE Steel Corporation.
Stock analysis
JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF) currently trades at $12.22, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.11, implying the stock looks roughly 49.3% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $25.62 per share, and 20 of the 23 models we run sit above the $12.22 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $4.80, and 3 of the 23 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $18.08 (bear) to $30.13 (bull), the price of $12.22 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 62/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
JFE Systems, Inc. reported revenue of ¥57.8B in FY2026 versus ¥50.4B in FY2022, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.3B in FY2026, compounding +3.6%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $384M · P/E ratio 14.4 · P/S ratio 1.07 · EPS (TTM) $0.8500 · Dividend yield 3.6% · Net margin 7.4% · Return on equity 12.5% · Return on assets (EBIT) 14.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 51 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at 66% fair-value upside, at 97%, JFEYF screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $18.08Fair Value $24.11Bull $30.13
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.67/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−9.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +4.5% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.0%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−4.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−7.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.6%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8% vs 7%, slowing
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 11%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.1%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−19.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −21.2% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Information Technology Services · 490 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score62 · Above median
Fair Value upside+97% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)13% · Above median
Return on assets8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)13% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−18% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)3.6% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Information Technology Services median · lower = cheaper
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JFE Systems, Inc. Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JFEYF
Frequently asked questions
Is JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.11 versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $12.22, about +97% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JFEYF?
Our model-based fair value for JFE Systems, Inc. is $24.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Sep 18, 2026): $12.22.
What is the quality score of JFEYF?
JFE Systems, Inc. has a Quality Score of 62/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $24.11 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 23 valuation models. Cautious scenario $18.08, optimistic scenario $30.13. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the JFE Systems, Inc. stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $24.11, about +97% upside versus the last price from Sep 18, 2026 of $12.22 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $18.08, optimistic scenario $30.13. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
JFE Systems, Inc. reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥57.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does JFE Systems, Inc. pay a dividend?
JFE Systems, Inc. currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.59% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, JFE Systems, Inc. would have to grow free cash flow by -19.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.8 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of JFEYF use?
Our models discount JFE Systems, Inc. at 9.8 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.25, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For JFE Systems, Inc. that is -19.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.8 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at JFE Systems, Inc. grew +4.5 % a year. The price currently implies -19.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into JFE Systems, Inc. (-19.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.67 %: that much free cash flow JFE Systems, Inc. produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.8 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For JFE Systems, Inc. it is $24.11 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $12.22. It is the blended result of 23 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is JFE Systems, Inc. stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, JFEYF trades below its calculated fair value: price $12.22, fair value $24.11, a gap of about +97% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of JFEYF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($12.22); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($24.11). For JFE Systems, Inc. the two are $11.90 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is JFE Systems, Inc. worth?
The market values JFE Systems, Inc. at about $384M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $12.22; our models calculate a fair value of $24.11 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about JFEYF?
Our models span a range for JFE Systems, Inc.: cautious scenario $18.08, base $24.11, optimistic $30.13 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $12.22). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of JFEYF?
JFE Systems, Inc. trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.4 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $24.11 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 1.1, EV/EBITDA 3.6.
How solid is the balance sheet of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
Balance-sheet figures for JFE Systems, Inc. (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 12.5%. They feed the Quality Score of 62/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is JFEYF from its 52-week high?
JFE Systems, Inc. trades at $12.22, about 6% below its 52-week high of $12.97 and 42% above the low of $8.58 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $24.11 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to JFE Systems, Inc.?
From the same area (Technology) we also value International Business Machines Corporation, Accenture plc, Tata Consultancy Services Limited, Infosys Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is JFE Systems, Inc. stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $12.22, calculated fair value $24.11 (+97%), Quality Score 62/100, from 23 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of JFEYF calculated?
We run JFE Systems, Inc. through 23 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $24.11, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. JFE Systems, Inc. currently trades 97 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
The latest price we hold is from Sep 18, 2026 and stands at $12.22. Our model-based fair value is $24.11, about +97% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with JFE Systems, Inc. right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($18.08). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (62/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Where does the earnings growth of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF) come from?
Earnings per share at JFE Systems, Inc. grew +11.8 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −0.2 %, EBIT margin +9.1 %, tax rate +2.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.6 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of JFE Systems, Inc.
How large is the market capitalisation of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
The market capitalisation of JFE Systems, Inc. is $384M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of JFE Systems, Inc. is 1.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
Earnings per share at JFE Systems, Inc. are $0.8500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
The dividend yield of JFE Systems, Inc. is 3.6% (payout 51.6%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
The net margin of JFE Systems, Inc. is 7.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of JFE Systems, Inc. is 12.5% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of JFE Systems, Inc. is 14.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
The operating margin of JFE Systems, Inc. is 13.0% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
Revenue at JFE Systems, Inc. is growing −18.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF)?
Earnings per share at JFE Systems, Inc. are growing −37.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does JFE Systems, Inc. (JFEYF) hold?
JFE Systems, Inc. holds more cash than debt, ¥24.9B net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Broad data
Sep 23, 2026