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JAFCO Group (JFKOF) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $568M

JG JAFCO Group logo JAFCO Group JFKOF · US
Price$10.80
Fair Value$12.96
Upside+20.0%
Quality68/100
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Weak Growth
Highly profitable · 29.4% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.51% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range $9.72 – $16.20 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 11 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 26, 2026, revised from $13.17 to $12.96 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026.

A solid business, screening 20% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid quality (68/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$35.38 $8.19 Fair Value $12.96 Apr 2021 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.19 – $35.38 · fair‑value band $9.72 – $16.20 · the $10.80 price screens below the $12.96 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

JAFCO Group (JFKOF) currently trades at $10.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.96, implying the stock looks roughly 20.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, JAFCO Group generated revenue of $22.0B at a net margin of 29.4%. Revenue declined 38.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 4.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 12.4. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $9.72 (bear case) to $16.20 (bull case); at $10.80, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 20%, JFKOF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1,881 $2,274 $2,767 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1,686 $2,102 $2,586 74
P/E Multiple $1,875 $2,499 $3,124 63
All 11 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $2,060 $2,598 $3,319 31
5Y P/E Exit $2,273 $3,196 $4,166 38
10Y P/E Exit $2,096 $2,805 $3,679 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $849.80 $2,703 $3,603 54
Lynch FV $595.74 $851.05 $1,106 50
Multiples
P/E Multiple $1,875 $2,499 $3,124 63
P/B Multiple $1,593 $2,125 $2,656 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1,274 $1,708 $2,549 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1,881 $2,274 $2,767 80
Rev-Margin DCF $1,686 $2,102 $2,586 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1,831 $1,803 $1,587 61

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($2,805) versus Earnings-Based ($851.05). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $22.0B
Revenue growth (YoY) -38.1%
Net margin 29.4%
Return on equity 4.6%
Free cash flow $5.6B FY2026
P/E ratio 12.4
More key figures
Operating margin 4.9%
EPS (TTM) $0.8700
Dividend yield 5.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -4.9%

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 68/100

Of which business quality 70 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 36
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 18
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 78
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 99
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 77
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

JAFCO Group Co., Ltd. formerly known as JAFCO Co., Ltd. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments. Within direct investments, it invests in incubation, seed, startup, early stage, middle stage, late stage, growth capital, buyout, business succession, and spin-out related investments.

Full company description

JAFCO Group Co., Ltd. formerly known as JAFCO Co., Ltd. is a private equity and venture capital firm specializing in direct and fund of fund investments. Within direct investments, it invests in incubation, seed, startup, early stage, middle stage, late stage, growth capital, buyout, business succession, and spin-out related investments. It seeks to invests in many fields such as life science, new drug development, regenerative medicine, medical equipment and healthcare, robotics, electronics, software, IT services, manufacturing, logistics, retail, restaurants, housing, and finance among others. The firm invests in the United States of America, Japan, and Europe. JAFCO Group Co., Ltd. was founded on April 5, 1973 and is based in Tokyo, Japan with additional office in Osaka, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

JAFCO Group reported revenue of $21.6B in FY2026 versus $27.7B in FY2022, a compound −6.0%/yr. Reported net income was $6.6B in FY2026, compounding −18.7%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$21.6B
Latest YoY
−23.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+15.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+0.1%
Revenue −6.0%/yr
FY22 $27.7B
FY23 $14.1B
FY24 $24.4B
FY25 $28.2B
FY26 $21.6B
Net income −18.7%/yr
FY22 $15.1B
FY23 $40.6B
FY24 $7.5B
FY25 $9.6B
FY26 $6.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "JAFCO Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JFKOF

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +20% · Above median
Return on equity (TTM) 5% · Below median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 29% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -38% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.11× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.4× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 0.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 60 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 19 · sector 26
HEALTH 94 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 69

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is JAFCO Group (JFKOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.96 versus a price of $10.80, about +20% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of JFKOF?
Our model-based fair value for JAFCO Group is $12.96 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.80.
What is the quality score of JFKOF?
JAFCO Group has a Quality Score of 68/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of JAFCO Group (JFKOF)?
JAFCO Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $22.0B (latest available figure, as of Jul 26, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JFKOF?
The net profit margin of JAFCO Group is about 29.4%, meaning it keeps roughly 29.4% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does JAFCO Group pay a dividend?
JAFCO Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 5.51% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 26, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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