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Japan Elevator Service Holdings (JPEVF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.9B

JE Japan Elevator Service Holdings logo Japan Elevator Service Holdings JPEVF · US
Price$10.50
Fair Value$5.33
Upside-49.2%
Quality75/100
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Healthy Growth
Solidly profitable · 12.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
1.23% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/11)
Wide moat 79/100
Evidence: High Range $3.63 – $8.22 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

A strong business, but screening 49% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 75/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($8.22). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • A fairly wide model range ($3.63 to $8.22) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (10 months)

$12.45 $10.25 Fair Value $5.33 Sep 2025 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

10‑month range $10.25 – $12.45 · fair‑value band $3.63 – $8.22 · the $10.50 price screens above the $5.33 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Japan Elevator Service Holdings (JPEVF) currently trades at $10.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.33, implying the stock looks roughly 49.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 75/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Japan Elevator Service Holdings generated revenue of $57.6B at a net margin of 12.7%. Revenue grew 16.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 32.5%. Net debt stands at $2.7B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.63 (bear case) to $8.22 (bull case); at $10.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -35% fair-value upside, at -49%, JPEVF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $2.87 $5.14 $8.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.78 $5.05 $8.29 74
ROIC Compounder $2.89 $3.68 $4.62 72
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $2.98 $4.83 $9.25 38
Owner Earnings $3.14 $5.95 $10.86 31
5Y Revenue Exit $2.78 $5.11 $8.56 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.81 $7.43 $12.46 41
5Y P/E Exit $3.59 $6.98 $11.19 38
10Y Revenue Exit $2.73 $4.98 $8.47 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.47 $6.63 $12.09 37
10Y P/E Exit $3.32 $6.27 $11.02 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.73 $10.76 $15.03 54
Lynch FV $3.10 $4.42 $5.75 50
PEG = 1.0 $3.10 $4.42 $5.75 46
EPV $2.55 $2.88 $3.16 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $4.00 $5.33 $6.66 63
P/S Multiple $3.00 $4.00 $4.99 58
P/B Multiple $2.88 $3.84 $4.80 55
EV/EBIT $5.01 $6.63 $8.25 53
EV/EBITDA $4.50 $5.95 $7.40 54
EV/Revenue $2.66 $3.74 $4.81 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.4263 $0.5713 $0.8526 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $2.87 $5.14 $8.52 80
Rev-Margin DCF $2.78 $5.05 $8.29 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.50 $2.07 $12.22 61
ROIC Compounder $2.89 $3.68 $4.62 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.43 $6.33 $8.22 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($6.33) versus Asset-Based ($0.5713). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $57.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) +16.1%
Net margin 12.7%
Return on equity 32.5%
Free cash flow $6.8B FY2026
P/E ratio 41.2
More key figures
Operating margin 19.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.2600
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +40.6%
Net debt $2.7B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 75/100

Of which business quality 73 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 91
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 69
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 58
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 84
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 45
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 90
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 12
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 79
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Japan Elevator Service Holdings Co.,Ltd. provides repair, maintenance, and modernization services for elevators and escalators in Japan. It also offers related parts for elevators; maintenance of mechanical parking equipment; and media business for elevators.

Full company description

Japan Elevator Service Holdings Co.,Ltd. provides repair, maintenance, and modernization services for elevators and escalators in Japan. It also offers related parts for elevators; maintenance of mechanical parking equipment; and media business for elevators. In addition, the company provides LiftSPOT, a digital signage system equipped with security cameras; and remote inspection service, including remote diagnosis and monitoring under the name PRIME. The company was formerly known as Japan Elevator Service Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Japan Elevator Service Holdings Co.,Ltd. in April 2015. Japan Elevator Service Holdings Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1994 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Japan Elevator Service Holdings reported revenue of $57.6B in FY2026 versus $29.8B in FY2022, a compound +18.0%/yr. Reported net income was $7.3B in FY2026, compounding +28.0%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 100/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$57.6B
Latest YoY
+16.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+18.2%
Revenue +18.0%/yr
FY22 $29.8B
FY23 $34.9B
FY24 $42.2B
FY25 $49.4B
FY26 $57.6B
Net income +28.0%/yr
FY22 $2.7B
FY23 $3.2B
FY24 $4.5B
FY25 $5.5B
FY26 $7.3B

JPEVF screens 49% overvalued. Compare with Cintas Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Japan Elevator Service Holdings Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/JPEVF

Peer Group

Specialty Business Services · 255 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 75 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −49% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 33% · Top 25%
Return on assets 18% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 13% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.2% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.01× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Specialty Business Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 41.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.3× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 24
FUTURE 81 · sector 25
PAST 100 · sector 33
HEALTH 100 · sector 92
DIVIDEND 25 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Business Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Cintas Corporation CTAS $206.25 $95.30 -54%
RELX PLC RELX $33.70 $32.49 -4%
Thomson Reuters Corporation TRI C$133.87 C$70.40 -47%
Copart, Inc CPRT $27.61 $28.59 +4%
Global Payments Inc GPN $80.49 $69.67 -13%
RB Global, Inc RBA C$156.43 C$49.14 -69%
Brambles Limited BXB A$18.79 A$12.28 -35%
UL Solutions Inc ULS $87.76 $33.62 -62%
Wolters Kluwer N.V WKL €62.56 €103.99 +66%
Aramark ARMK $56.74 $13.73 -76%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Japan Elevator Service Holdings (JPEVF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.33 versus a price of $10.50, about −49% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of JPEVF?
Our model-based fair value for Japan Elevator Service Holdings is $5.33 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $10.50.
What is the quality score of JPEVF?
Japan Elevator Service Holdings has a Quality Score of 75/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Japan Elevator Service Holdings (JPEVF)?
Japan Elevator Service Holdings reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $57.6B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of JPEVF?
The net profit margin of Japan Elevator Service Holdings is about 12.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 12.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Japan Elevator Service Holdings pay a dividend?
Japan Elevator Service Holdings currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.23% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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