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Thai Ha Public Company Limited (KASET) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · TH · Market cap 206M THB (≈ $6.2M) · ISIN TH0879010005

What is Thai Ha Public Company Limited really worth?

TH Thai Ha Public Company Limited KASET · BK
Price0.6300 THB
Fair Value0.4300 THB
Upside−31.8%
Quality30/100

Below-average quality, and trading another 47% above our fair value of 0.4300 THB.

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Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 5y −13.1 %/yr)
!Loss-making · -25.3% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/9)
!Narrow moat 10/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
Evidence: Low Range 0.3200 THB – 0.6500 THB

Fair value as of: Aug 20, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 12 days ago

Share price −7.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (0.3200 THB to 0.6500 THB) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

2.56 THB 0.4600 THB Fair Value 0.4300 THB Mar 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range 0.4600 THB – 2.56 THB · fair‑value band 0.3200 THB – 0.6500 THB · the 0.6300 THB price screens above the 0.4300 THB fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 20, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Thai Ha Public Company Limited (KASET) currently trades at 0.6300 THB, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.4300 THB, implying the stock looks roughly 46.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Over the trailing twelve months, Thai Ha Public Company Limited generated revenue of 305M THB at a net margin of −22.4%. Revenue declined 17.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −27.6%. Net debt stands at 313M THB. Fundamentals as of Aug 20, 2026

Our scenario range runs from 0.3200 THB (bear case) to 0.6500 THB (bull case); at 0.6300 THB, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 41% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at −25% fair-value upside, at −32%, KASET screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) best evidence 0.3500 THB 0.4700 THB 0.7000 THB 54
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) best evidence 0.3500 THB 0.4700 THB 0.7000 THB 54

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Key figures & financial health

P/S ratio 0.68 TTM
EPS (TTM) −0.2700 THB
Net margin −22.5% FY2025
Return on equity −27.6% TTM
Return on assets (EBIT) −8.3% avg 5y
Operating margin −23.3% TTM
More key figures
Growth
Revenue (TTM) 305M THB TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) −17.9% 3y avg −13.5%
EPS growth (YoY) −21.2%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −13.0M THB FY2025
Net debt 313M THB FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 20, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 29 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 41

Profitability 7
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 4
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 18
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 99
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 37
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 36
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Thai Ha Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes agricultural, processed agricultural, and instant products in Thailand and internationally.

Full company description

Thai Ha Public Company Limited manufactures and distributes agricultural, processed agricultural, and instant products in Thailand and internationally. The company offers rice products under the Kaset, Smart Chef, Imperial Taste, and First Lady brands; bean vermicelli, instant bean vermicelli, vegetable oil, and vinegar products under the Kaset and Smart Chef brands; instant rice porridge and ready to eat products under the Kaset brand; coffee under the Doitham brand; and coco rice roll snacks under the COCO Riz brand. It also provides vegetable oil under the Angoon and Cheer brands; sugar under the Mit Phot brand; coconut milk under the Chao Koh brand; and chili plate under the Chua Hah Seng brand. In addition, the company offers organic products, including jasmine and brown rice, rice berry, and green beans. It exports its products. The company was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Nakhon Pathom, Thailand.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Thai Ha Public Company Limited reported revenue of 302M THB in FY2025 versus 536M THB in FY2021, a compound −13.3%/yr. Reported net income was −68.1M THB in FY2025.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
302M THB
Latest YoY
−19.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.5%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−13.1%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.5%
Value creation/yr We only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Revenue −13.3%/yr
FY21 536M THB
FY22 468M THB
FY23 477M THB
FY24 377M THB
FY25 302M THB
Net income
FY21 −69.0M THB
FY22 −28.1M THB
FY23 −80.5M THB
FY24 −57.4M THB
FY25 −68.1M THB

KASET screens 47% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé S.A →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Thai Ha Public Company Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KASET

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 670 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 29 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −32% · Below median
Return on assets −6% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) −25% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −25% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth −18% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.24× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.02× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 24
FUTURE0 · sector 20
PAST0 · sector 27
HEALTH88 · sector 96
DIVIDEND0 · sector 54

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 35/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 20, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé S.A NESN CHF 78.62 CHF 57.26 −27%
Danone S.A BN €64.28 €48.41 −25%
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,478 ₹251.94 −83%
The Kraft Heinz Company KHC $25.13 $24.59 −2%
Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company 603288 ¥35.05 ¥21.93 −37%
Inner Mongolia Yili Industrial Group 600887 ¥25.51 ¥32.50 +27%
Yihai Kerry Arawana Holdings 300999 ¥25.28 ¥9.89 −61%
General Mills, Inc GIS $40.44 $28.32 −30%
Wilmar International Limited F34 3.64 SGD 3.89 SGD +7%
McCormick & Company MKCV $55.65 $43.29 −22%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Thai Ha Public Company Limited (KASET) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 20, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.4300 THB versus a price of 0.6300 THB, about −32% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KASET?
Our model-based fair value for Thai Ha Public Company Limited is 0.4300 THB (as of Aug 20, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 0.6300 THB.
What is the quality score of KASET?
Thai Ha Public Company Limited has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Thai Ha Public Company Limited (KASET)?
Thai Ha Public Company Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 305M THB (latest available figure, as of Aug 20, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of KASET?
The net profit margin of Thai Ha Public Company Limited is about −22.4%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
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