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Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc (KBDC) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · US · Market cap $917M

KA Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc logo Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc KBDC · US
Price$14.12
Fair Value$19.91
Upside+41.0%
Quality41/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Moderate moat 49/100
Evidence: High Range $14.93 – $24.88 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 26, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated 15 days ago

Share price +3.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 41% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (41/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($14.93). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (2 years)

$15.43 $12.41 Fair Value $19.91 May 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

How to read this chart

27‑month range $12.41 – $15.43 · fair‑value band $14.93 – $24.88 · the $14.12 price screens below the $19.91 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 26, 2026.

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Analysis

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc (KBDC) currently trades at $14.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $19.91, implying the stock looks roughly 41.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 41/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Net debt stands at $1.1B. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 10.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 26, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $14.93 (bear case) to $24.88 (bull case); at $14.12, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 9% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at 41%, KBDC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $13.44 $14.30 $15.31 76
Gordon GGM $14.44 $26.02 $35.82 70
P/E Multiple $13.77 $18.36 $22.95 63
All 8 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $9.60 $66.97 $93.99 54
Lynch FV $34.60 $49.43 $64.26 50
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $14.44 $26.02 $35.82 70
DDM Multi-Stage $14.44 $23.77 $27.80 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $13.77 $18.36 $22.95 63
P/B Multiple $17.56 $23.42 $29.27 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $8.36 $11.21 $16.73 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $13.44 $14.30 $15.31 76

Widest divergence: Earnings-Based ($49.43) versus Asset-Based ($11.21). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

Key figures & financial health

Free cash flow −$98.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 10.8
EPS (TTM) $1.28
Net debt $1.1B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 26, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 41/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 54

Profitability 39
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 33
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 33
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 86
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 28
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. is business development company and an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified management investment company that intends to elect to be regulated as a BDC under the 1940 Act. The fund seeks to make investments in middle-market companies.

Full company description

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. is business development company and an externally managed, closed-end, non-diversified management investment company that intends to elect to be regulated as a BDC under the 1940 Act. The fund seeks to make investments in middle-market companies. It also makes debt investments in middle-market companies and investing primarily in first lien senior secured, unitranche, and split-lien loans to privately held middle-market companies. The fund considers between 80% and 90% of its portfolio (including investments purchased with proceeds from borrowings) will be invested in first lien senior secured, unitranche and split-lien term loans. The remaining 10% to 20% of its portfolio will be invested in higher-yielding investments, including, but not limited to, second lien loans, last-out or subordinated loans, non-investment grade broadly syndicated leveraged loans, high-yield bonds, structured products (including CLO liabilities), real estate related debt securities, equity securities purchased in conjunction with debt investments and other opportunistic investments.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc reported revenue of $236M in FY2025 versus $28.8M in FY2021, a compound +69.2%/yr. Reported net income was $93.7M in FY2025, compounding +43.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$236M
Latest YoY
+29.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+50.9%
Revenue +69.2%/yr
FY21 $28.8M
FY22 $68.6M
FY23 $132M
FY24 $182M
FY25 $236M
Net income +43.2%/yr
FY21 $22.3M
FY22 $45.8M
FY23 $77.1M
FY24 $132M
FY25 $93.7M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KBDC

Peer Group

Asset Management · 973 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +41% · Above median
Return on assets 0% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 0% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.0% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.8× · Cheaper than median
P/B 0.83× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.2× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 88 · sector 37
FUTURE 0 · sector 6
PAST 0 · sector 26
HEALTH 0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 69

Insider activity: 66/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 26, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc (KBDC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 26, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $19.91 versus a price of $14.12, about +41% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of KBDC?
Our model-based fair value for Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc is $19.91 (as of Jul 26, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $14.12.
What is the quality score of KBDC?
Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc has a Quality Score of 41/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the net profit margin of KBDC?
The net profit margin of Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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