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Kodiak Gas Services, Inc (KGS) Fair Value & Analysis

Energy · US · Market cap $6.8B

Price$71.69
Fair Value$15.15
Upside-78.9%
Quality95/100
Evidence: High Range $10.49 – $19.82

Analysis

Kodiak Gas Services, Inc (KGS) currently trades at $71.69, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.15 — implying the stock looks roughly 78.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium — the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

About the company

Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. operates and provides contract compression infrastructure for customers in the oil and gas industry in the United States. It operates in two segments, Contract Services and Other Services. The Contract Services segment operates company-owned and customer-owned compression, and gas treating and cooling infrastructure to enable the production, gathering, processing, and transportation of natural gas and oil. The Other Services segment provides a range of services to support the needs of customers, including station construction, maintenance and overhaul, freight and crane charges, parts sales, and other ancillary time and material-based offerings. The company was formerly known as Frontier TopCo, Inc. Kodiak Gas Services, Inc. was founded in 2010 and is headquartered in The Woodlands, Texas.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.