Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Kerry Group PLC $69.46, price $97.46, upside -28.7%, quality 64 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
Watch Kerry Group PLC ADR for free, get notified when fair value or trend changes. Plus fair value for all 35,000+ stocks, 14 days of Pro free, no card.Watch for freePro now: $1 first month
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $72.03 – $144.13 · fair‑value band $38.66 – $105.44 · the $97.46 price screens above the $69.46 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 1, 2026.
Follow Kerry Group PLC ADR in your weekly email
Every Wednesday you see whether Kerry Group PLC ADR is on track or worth a review, plus price against fair value. Free, up to 3 stocks.
We send you a confirmation link. Unsubscribe with one click.
Kerry Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides taste and nutrition solutions. The company offers taste solutions, such as dairy and dairy-free flavours, savoury flavours and extracts, smoke and grill, sweet flavours and extracts, and taste modulations.
Show more
Kerry Group plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides taste and nutrition solutions. The company offers taste solutions, such as dairy and dairy-free flavours, savoury flavours and extracts, smoke and grill, sweet flavours and extracts, and taste modulations. It also provides nutrition solutions, including enzymes, proteins, nutritional lipids and bases, soluble dietary fibre, wellness and health, and dairy ingredients. In addition, the company offers functional ingredients, food solutions, and beverage solutions. Further, it provides pharmaceutical excipients, tablet film coatings, pharma lactose, cell culture supplements, fermentation, and acetates solutions. Additionally, the company offers emulsifier ingredients for bakery; food protection and preservation solutions; food reformulation solutions; bakery freshness solutions; texturant solutions; and foodservice solutions that include convenience retail and custom solutions under DaVinci Gourmet, Golden Dipt, Big Train, and Island Oasis brands. The company also engages in the investment and trading activities, as well as provides services. It serves food, beverage, supplement, pharma and life science, and pet markets. The company operates in Europe, the Americas, the Asia Pacific, the Middle East, and Africa. It provides its products through retail and foodservice channels. Kerry Group plc was founded in 1972 and is headquartered in Tralee, Ireland.
Stock analysis
Kerry Group PLC ADR (KRYAY) currently trades at $97.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $69.46, 28.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
Show more
Valuation
Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $81.71 per share, and 0 of the 25 models we run sit above the $97.46 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $20.64, and 25 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $38.66 (bear) to $105.44 (bull), the price of $97.46 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector.
Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
Kerry Group PLC ADR reported revenue of €6.8B in FY2025 versus €7.4B in FY2021, a compound −2.1%/yr. Reported net income was €659M in FY2025, compounding −3.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $16.1B · P/E ratio 21.1 · P/S ratio 2.06 · EPS (TTM) $4.61 · Dividend yield 1.4% · Net margin 9.7% · Return on equity 10.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 48 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 33% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at 9% fair-value upside, at −29%, KRYAY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $38.66Fair Value $69.46Bull $105.44
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.43 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.55/100
Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+5.9%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.5% vs 3.0%, steady
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 13%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +12.7% a year for the price and +1.3% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (77 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Free, no sign-up
Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Packaged Foods · 635 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/15 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score64 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−30.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.6% · Above median
Return on assets4.8% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)9.7% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)15.1% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth1.3% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM)1.4% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.42× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)21.1× · Pricier than median
P/B2.34× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM)2.06× · Priciest 25%
P/FCF29.3× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA14.1× · Priciest 25%
PEG1.34× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)7· sector 20
PAST (return on equity)42· sector 30
HEALTH (low debt)79· sector 96
DIVIDEND (yield)29· sector 57
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Kerry Group PLC ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/KRYAY
Frequently asked questions
Is Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 1, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $69.46 versus a price of $97.46, about −29% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of KRYAY?
Our model-based fair value for Kerry Group PLC ADR is $69.46 (as of Oct 1, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $97.46.
What is the quality score of KRYAY?
Kerry Group PLC ADR has a Quality Score of 64/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $69.46 (as of Oct 1, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $38.66, optimistic scenario $105.44. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Kerry Group PLC ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $69.46, about −29% upside versus a price of $97.46 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $38.66, optimistic scenario $105.44. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
Kerry Group PLC ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €6.8B (latest available figure, as of Oct 1, 2026).
Does Kerry Group PLC ADR pay a dividend?
Kerry Group PLC ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.44% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 1, 2026).
What growth is priced into Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Kerry Group PLC ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +15.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -0.6 % per year. As of Oct 1, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of KRYAY use?
Our models discount Kerry Group PLC ADR at 8.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.56, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Kerry Group PLC ADR that is +15.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Kerry Group PLC ADR grew -0.6 % a year. The price currently implies +15.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Kerry Group PLC ADR (+15.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.32 %: that much free cash flow Kerry Group PLC ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Kerry Group PLC ADR it is $69.46 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026), against a price of $97.46. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Kerry Group PLC ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 1, 2026, KRYAY trades above its calculated fair value: price $97.46, fair value $69.46, a gap of about −29% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of KRYAY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($97.46); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($69.46). For Kerry Group PLC ADR the two are $28.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Kerry Group PLC ADR worth?
The market values Kerry Group PLC ADR at about $16.1B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 1, 2026). Per share that is $97.46; our models calculate a fair value of $69.46 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about KRYAY?
Our models span a range for Kerry Group PLC ADR: cautious scenario $38.66, base $69.46, optimistic $105.44 per share (as of Oct 1, 2026, price $97.46). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of KRYAY?
Kerry Group PLC ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 21.1 (as of Oct 1, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $69.46 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.3, P/B 2.3, P/S 2.1, EV/EBITDA 14.1.
What is the PEG ratio of KRYAY?
The PEG ratio of Kerry Group PLC ADR is 1.34 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 1, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Kerry Group PLC ADR (as of Oct 1, 2026): return on equity 10.6%, debt of 0.42 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 64/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is KRYAY from its 52-week high?
Kerry Group PLC ADR trades at $97.46, about 2% below its 52-week high of $99.75 and 33% above the low of $73.48 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $69.46 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Kerry Group PLC ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Defensive) we also value Nestlé S.A, Danone S.A, Foshan Haitian Flavouring and Food Company, The Kraft Heinz Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Kerry Group PLC ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 1, 2026: price $97.46, calculated fair value $69.46 (−29%), Quality Score 64/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of KRYAY calculated?
We run Kerry Group PLC ADR through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $69.46, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Kerry Group PLC ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $97.46. Our model-based fair value is $69.46, about −29% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Kerry Group PLC ADR right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($38.66 to $105.44). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY) come from?
Earnings per share at Kerry Group PLC ADR grew +3.9 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.4 %, EBIT margin +1.1 %, tax rate +0.1 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Kerry Group PLC ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
The market capitalisation of Kerry Group PLC ADR is $16.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Kerry Group PLC ADR is 2.06 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
Earnings per share at Kerry Group PLC ADR are $4.61 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 21.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
The dividend yield of Kerry Group PLC ADR is 1.4% (payout 30.4%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
The net margin of Kerry Group PLC ADR is 9.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Kerry Group PLC ADR is 10.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Kerry Group PLC ADR is 7.3% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
The operating margin of Kerry Group PLC ADR is 15.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
Revenue at Kerry Group PLC ADR is growing +1.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY)?
Earnings per share at Kerry Group PLC ADR are growing +9.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Kerry Group PLC (KRYAY) carry?
The net debt of Kerry Group PLC ADR is €2.2B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
Free · no account needed
Watch Kerry Group PLC ADR in the live analysis
One click puts Kerry Group PLC ADR on your watchlist: fair value and trend at a glance, plus comparison, the diversification check and the 35,000+ stock screener. You can also try 14 days of Pro there, no card.
Broad data
Oct 1, 2026