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Kumba Iron Ore Limited (KUMBF) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · US · Market cap $6.3B

Price$19.77
Fair Value$46.60
Upside+135.7%
Quality80/100
Evidence: Medium Range $34.95 – $58.25

Fair value as of: Jun 25, 2026

Analysis

Kumba Iron Ore Limited (KUMBF) currently trades at $19.77, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $46.60 — implying the stock looks roughly 135.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 80/100 (high quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Kumba Iron Ore Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the exploration, extraction, beneficiation, marketing, sale, and shipping of iron ore for the steel industry in South Africa. It operates through Products " Sishen Mine, Products " Kolomela Mine, Services " Logistics, and Services " Shipping Operations segments. The company produces iron ore at its flagship Sishen mine located near the town of Kathu in the Northern Cape province; and its Kolomela mine located near Postmasburg in the Northern Cape province. It is also involved in the operation of a port in Saldanha Bay in the Western Cape province; and provision of iron ore logistics services through rail, as well as shipping services. The company exports its products to China, Japan, India, South Korea, rest of Asia, Europe, the Middle East, North Africa, rest of Africa, and rest of the Americas. The company was incorporated in 2005 and is headquartered in Johannesburg, South Africa. Kumba Iron Ore Limited is a subsi…

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Frequently asked questions

Is Kumba Iron Ore Limited (KUMBF) undervalued?
As of Jun 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $46.60 versus a price of $19.77 — about +136% (undervalued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of KUMBF?
Our 21-model fair value for Kumba Iron Ore Limited is $46.60 (as of Jun 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $19.77.
What is the quality score of KUMBF?
Kumba Iron Ore Limited has a Quality Score of 80/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.