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Leonteq AG (LEON) Fair Value & Analysis

Financial Services · CH · Market cap CHF 278M

LA Leonteq AG LEON · SW
PriceCHF 17.24
Fair ValueCHF 12.52
Upside-27.4%
Quality46/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -19.8% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (2/11)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Medium Range CHF 11.61 – CHF 13.87 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 2 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +4.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 27% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (CHF 13.87). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • For a financial, book-value and earnings-based methods matter more than a cash-flow DCF, which fits banks and insurers poorly.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

CHF 65.55 CHF 10.64 Fair Value CHF 12.52 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range CHF 10.64 – CHF 65.55 · fair‑value band CHF 11.61 – CHF 13.87 · the CHF 17.24 price screens above the CHF 12.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Leonteq AG (LEON) currently trades at CHF 17.24, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is CHF 12.52, implying the stock looks roughly 27.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Financial Services sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, Leonteq AG generated revenue of CHF 170M at a net margin of -19.8%. Revenue declined 55.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -4.5%. Net debt stands at CHF 5.0B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from CHF 11.61 (bear case) to CHF 13.87 (bull case); at CHF 17.24, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 69% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Financial Services peers we cover trades at -12% fair-value upside, at -27%, LEON screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
P/B Multiple CHF 24.92 CHF 33.23 CHF 41.54 55
NCAV (Graham) CHF 19.55 CHF 26.19 CHF 39.09 50
All 2 models by family
Multiples
P/B Multiple CHF 24.92 CHF 33.23 CHF 41.54 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) CHF 19.55 CHF 26.19 CHF 39.09 50

Widest divergence: Multiples (CHF 33.23) versus Asset-Based (CHF 26.19). Highest evidence: P/B Multiple (55).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) CHF 170M
Revenue growth (YoY) -55.3%
Net margin -19.8%
Return on equity -4.5%
Free cash flow CHF 28.6M FY2025
Operating margin -101%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) CHF -1.91
EPS growth (YoY) -42.8%
Net debt CHF 5.0B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 56

Profitability 5
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 15
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 70
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 55
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 42
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Leonteq AG provides derivative investment products and services in Switzerland, Europe, and Asia, and internationally. It offers structured products, such as capital protection products, yield enhancement products, participation products, leverage products, equities and equity indices, currencies, crypto assets, fund derivatives, quantitative investment …

Full company description

Leonteq AG provides derivative investment products and services in Switzerland, Europe, and Asia, and internationally. It offers structured products, such as capital protection products, yield enhancement products, participation products, leverage products, equities and equity indices, currencies, crypto assets, fund derivatives, quantitative investment strategies, and exchange traded products, as well as Islamic banking and finance services. The company also provides savings and pension products; Actively Managed Certificates; and risk management, hedging, market-making and secondary market servicing, advice on structuring, establishment of an issuance programme, design of information and marketing materials, production of termsheets and documentation, listing and settlement of structured investment products, provision of risk, regulatory and sales reporting related to structured investment products, and corporate centre services. Further, the company operates digital platform under the Omega name; LYNQS, a digital marketplace to issue and distribute products; and SHIP, a marketplace for structured products. Leonteq AG was formerly known as EFG Financial Products Holding AG and changed its name to Leonteq AG in June 2013. The company was incorporated in 2007 and is headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Leonteq AG reported revenue of CHF 182M in FY2025 versus CHF 429M in FY2021, a compound −19.3%/yr. Reported net income was −CHF 33.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 23/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
CHF 182M
Latest YoY
−15.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−27.0%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−6.6%
Avg. growth/yr (16Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.3%
Revenue −19.3%/yr
FY21 CHF 429M
FY22 CHF 467M
FY23 CHF 257M
FY24 CHF 214M
FY25 CHF 182M
Net income
FY21 CHF 156M
FY22 CHF 156M
FY23 CHF 20.6M
FY24 CHF 5.8M
FY25 −CHF 33.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −16.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share −0.8 pp

of which total revenue +1.3 pp · buybacks/dilution −2.1 pp

EBIT margin −15.6 pp
Tax rate +0.0 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +0.3 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

LEON screens 27% overvalued. Compare with Fondul Proprietatea SA →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Leonteq AG Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LEON

Peer Group

Asset Management · 971 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −27% · Below median
Return on assets -0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -20% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -101% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth -55% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 7.63× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Asset Management median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.50× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 2.02× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 12.0× · Pricier than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Asset Management stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Fondul Proprietatea SA FP $0.0420 $0.0800 +90%
BlackRock, Inc BLK $1,136 $465.75 -59%
Blackstone Inc BX $124.56 $16.35 -87%
Investor AB INVEB kr 423.70 kr 847.40 +100%
Brookfield Corporation BN C$62.45 C$10.12 -84%
KKR & Co KKR $100.94 $44.88 -56%
AB Industrivärden INDUA kr 532.50 kr 1,065 +100%
Jio Financial Services Limited JIOFIN ₹242.98 ₹40.19 -83%
Hedef Holding HEDEF 267.25 TRY 320.98 TRY +20%
Bajaj Holdings BAJAJHLDNG ₹10,398 ₹9,202 -12%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Leonteq AG (LEON) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of CHF 12.52 versus a price of CHF 17.24, about −27% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LEON?
Our model-based fair value for Leonteq AG is CHF 12.52 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is CHF 17.24.
What is the quality score of LEON?
Leonteq AG has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Leonteq AG (LEON)?
Leonteq AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 170M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LEON?
The net profit margin of Leonteq AG is about -19.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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