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Littelfuse, Inc (LFUS) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $10.5B

LI Littelfuse, Inc logo Littelfuse, Inc LFUS · US
Price$450.00
Fair Value$20.48
Upside-95.5%
Quality60/100
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Mixed Growth
Loss-making · -1.6% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.72% dividend yield
Trails peers (4/14)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: High Range $20.48 – $29.38 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated yesterday

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from $11.58 to $20.48 (+76.9%) since Aug 7, 2026. Share price +8.1% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 95% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($29.38). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (60/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$489.10 $147.74 Fair Value $20.48 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $147.74 – $489.10 · fair‑value band $20.48 – $29.38 · the $450.00 price screens above the $20.48 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Littelfuse, Inc (LFUS) currently trades at $450.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $20.48, implying the stock looks roughly 95.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Littelfuse, Inc generated revenue of $2.5B at a net margin of -1.6%. Revenue grew 18.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.6%. Net debt stands at $383M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $20.48 (bear case) to $29.38 (bull case); at $450.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 111% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -67% fair-value upside, at -95%, LFUS screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Note: the current price implies far more future growth than the conservative anchors of our models allow (base growth is deliberately capped, we do not regard such extreme rates as sustainable). Our models are not designed for expectations this high; that is why the individual models scatter extremely ($2.59 to $288.17). Read the values as a conservative anchor, not as a price target.
Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $170.32 $284.72 $469.47 80
Rev-Margin DCF $61.60 $81.64 $107.03 74
ROIC Compounder $1.41 $2.59 $3.62 72
All 15 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $169.43 $288.17 $481.74 38
5Y Revenue Exit $61.60 $78.94 $97.76 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $108.29 $170.67 $244.14 41
10Y Revenue Exit $97.29 $124.09 $156.01 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $128.08 $189.51 $273.00 37
Earnings-Based
EPV $1.41 $2.59 $3.62 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $26.14 $54.35 $86.22 70
DDM Multi-Stage $26.14 $45.83 $57.04 61
Multiples
EV/EBIT $21.06 $29.96 $38.86 53
EV/EBITDA $86.27 $116.91 $147.55 54
EV/Revenue $7.85 $13.64 $19.42 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $47.97 $64.27 $95.93 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $170.32 $284.72 $469.47 80
Rev-Margin DCF $61.60 $81.64 $107.03 74
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder $1.41 $2.59 $3.62 72

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($170.67) versus Earnings-Based ($2.59). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $2.5B
Revenue growth (YoY) +18.5%
Net margin -1.6%
Return on equity -1.6%
Free cash flow $366M FY2025
Operating margin 17.3%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-1.68
Dividend yield 0.6%
EPS growth (YoY) +69.1%
Net debt $383M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66

Profitability 20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 72
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 36
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 71
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 91
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 85
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Littelfuse, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells electronic components, modules, and subassemblies. It operates through three segments: Electronics, Transportation, and Industrial.

Full company description

Littelfuse, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells electronic components, modules, and subassemblies. It operates through three segments: Electronics, Transportation, and Industrial. Its Electronics segment offers fuses and fuse accessories, coefficient resettable fuses, switches and interconnect solutions, polymer electrostatic discharge suppressors, varistors, reed switch based magnetic sensing, and gas discharge tubes; and discrete transient voltage suppressor diodes, TVS diode arrays, protection and switching thyristors, silicon and silicon carbide metal-oxide-semiconductor field effect transistors and diodes, and insulated gate bipolar transistors. This segment serves data center computing and communications infrastructure, industrial controls, building controls, aerospace and defense, appliances, consumer electronics solutions, healthcare solutions, industrial equipment, energy storage, diversified industrials, grid and utility infrastructure, passenger vehicles, and commercial vehicles. Its Transportation segment provides blade, resettable, high-current, and high-voltage fuses; battery cable protectors; circuit breakers, and power distribution modules; and sensor products. This segment serves heavy-duty truck and bus, construction, agriculture, off-road and recreational vehicles, material handling, passenger and commercial vehicles, and marine markets. Its Industrial segment offers industrial fuses, protection relays, contactors, transformers, residual current devices and monitors, ground fault circuit interrupters, arc fault detection devices, solid state switches, and temperature sensors for use in renewable energy and energy storage systems, electric vehicle infrastructure, HVAC systems, industrial safety, non-residential construction, MRO, mining, and factory automation applications. It sells its products through distributors, direct sales force, and manufacturers' representatives. The company was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Rosemont, Illinois.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Littelfuse, Inc reported revenue of $2.4B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound +3.5%/yr. Reported net income was −$71.7M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 59/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$2.4B
Latest YoY
+8.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+10.5%
Avg. growth/yr (33Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.8%
Revenue +3.5%/yr
FY21 $2.1B
FY22 $2.5B
FY23 $2.4B
FY24 $2.2B
FY25 $2.4B
Net income
FY21 $284M
FY22 $373M
FY23 $259M
FY24 $100M
FY25 −$71.7M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share +9.9 pp

of which total revenue +11.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −1.3 pp

EBIT margin −1.8 pp
Tax rate −0.7 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −1.0 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

LFUS screens 95% overvalued. Compare with Delta Electronics, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Littelfuse, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LFUS

Peer Group

Electronic Components · 648 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 60 · Above median
Fair Value upside −95% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 17% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 19% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.7% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.29× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Electronic Components median · lower = cheaper

P/B 4.33× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 4.22× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 28.7× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 20.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.45× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 0
FUTURE 93 · sector 36
PAST 0 · sector 24
HEALTH 85 · sector 95
DIVIDEND 14 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 42/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Electronic Components stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Delta Electronics, Inc 2308 1,790 TWD 602.37 TWD -66%
Luxshare Precision Industry Co 002475 ¥56.06 ¥38.44 -31%
Samsung Electro-Mechanics Co 009150 1,503,000 KRW 172,954 KRW -88%
Suzhou Dongshan Precision Manufacturing Co 002384 ¥202.11 ¥21.19 -90%
Shengyi Technology Co 600183 ¥143.23 ¥36.30 -75%
Shennan Circuits Co 002916 ¥385.80 ¥125.52 -67%
Victory Giant Technology (HuiZhou) Co 2476 HK$238.60 HK$75.68 -68%
Kingboard Laminates Holdings 1888 HK$38.70 HK$8.95 -77%
Asia Vital Components Co 3017 2,910 TWD 1,369 TWD -53%
Nan Ya Printed Circuit Board Corporation 8046 1,215 TWD 1,768 TWD +46%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Littelfuse, Inc (LFUS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $20.48 versus a price of $450.00, about −95% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LFUS?
Our model-based fair value for Littelfuse, Inc is $20.48 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $450.00.
What is the quality score of LFUS?
Littelfuse, Inc has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Littelfuse, Inc (LFUS)?
Littelfuse, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.5B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LFUS?
The net profit margin of Littelfuse, Inc is about -1.6%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Littelfuse, Inc pay a dividend?
Littelfuse, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.61% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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