Signify N.V (LIGHT) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · NL · Market cap €2.0B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 13, 2026, revised from €42.03 to €38.52 (−8.4%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −5.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 152% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (€25.80). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (63/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (€25.80 to €53.74) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €13.97 – €39.42 · fair‑value band €25.80 – €53.74 · the €15.31 price screens below the €38.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Signify N.V (LIGHT) currently trades at €15.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €38.52, implying the stock looks roughly 151.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 63/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Signify N.V generated revenue of €5.6B at a net margin of 3.5%. Revenue declined 12.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.8%. Net debt stands at €958M. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €25.80 (bear case) to €53.74 (bull case); at €15.31, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -48% fair-value upside, at 152%, LIGHT screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€44.89) versus Dividend Discount (€14.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 25
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Signify N.V. provides lighting products, systems, and services in Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through Professional, Consumer, OEM, and Conventional segments.
Full company description
Signify N.V. provides lighting products, systems, and services in Europe, the Americas, and internationally. It operates through Professional, Consumer, OEM, and Conventional segments. The company offers LED products and connected lighting systems and services, including functional LED luminaires, LED and conventional lamps and tubes, and lighting components such as LED drivers, electronics, modules, and sensors. In addition, it produces lamps based on LED technologies, which include high-intensity discharge lamps, compact fluorescent, halogen, incandescent, and specialty lighting products consisting of projection lighting for consumers, electrical installers, distributors, and professional end-users. The company's LED systems and services are used for various market segments, including offices, commercial buildings, shops, hospitality venues, industry, agriculture, and outdoor environments. Signify N.V. was founded in 1891 and is headquartered in Eindhoven, the Netherlands.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Signify N.V reported revenue of €5.8B in FY2025 versus €6.9B in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was €254M in FY2025, compounding −10.6%/yr from FY2021.
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Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Signify NV (PHPPY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Sales Declines with Strategic ...
- Signify reports second quarter 2026 results, implements new strategy in a mixed market and confirms full year guidance
- The Lighting Fixtures Market in the United States Report Published — Profiles Signify, Acuity, Cree Lighting, Zumtobel, and 15 Other Key Pla
- Capital Markets Day 2026: Signify introduces strategy to create a more focused, better-performing company
Peer Group
Electrical Equipment & Parts · 528 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Electrical Equipment & Parts median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 45/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Contemporary Amperex Technology Co 3750 | HK$675.50 | HK$391.44 | -42% |
| ABB Ltd ABBN | CHF 83.82 | CHF 35.46 | -58% |
| Delta Electronics (Thailand) Public Company TDED | 10.16 SGD | 1.47 SGD | -86% |
| LG Energy Solution, Ltd 373220 | 334,000 KRW | 201,455 KRW | -40% |
| WEG S.A WEGE3 | 13,210 ARS | 7,948 ARS | -40% |
| Sungrow Power Supply Co 300274 | ¥114.79 | ¥123.83 | +8% |
| Shenzhen Inovance Technology Co 300124 | ¥63.43 | ¥33.04 | -48% |
| HD Hyundai Electric Co 267260 | 823,000 KRW | 371,133 KRW | -55% |
| LS ELECTRIC Co 010120 | 190,000 KRW | 31,517 KRW | -83% |
| Sieyuan Electric Co 002028 | ¥151.73 | ¥71.69 | -53% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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