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Lytix Biopharma AS (LYTIX) Fair Value & Analysis

Healthcare · NO · Market cap 752M NOK

LB Lytix Biopharma AS LYTIX · OL
Pricekr 7.50
Fair Valuekr 0.7800
Upside-89.6%
Quality44/100
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Risks

!Trades 90% ABOVE our fair value of kr 0.7800
!Mixed Growth
!Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
!negative free cash flow
Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 0.0% net margin
negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/8)
Narrow moat 12/100
Evidence: Low Range kr 0.5100 – kr 0.9700 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 21, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated today

Share price −14.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 90% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 0.9700). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (44/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (kr 0.5100 to kr 0.9700) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

kr 18.60 kr 4.68 Fair Value kr 0.7800 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 4.68 – kr 18.60 · fair‑value band kr 0.5100 – kr 0.9700 · the kr 7.50 price screens above the kr 0.7800 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 21, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

Lytix Biopharma AS (LYTIX) currently trades at kr 7.50, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 0.7800, implying the stock looks roughly 89.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 44/100 (below-average quality), in the Healthcare sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).

Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at 377K NOK. It earns a return on equity of -70.7%. Fundamentals as of Aug 21, 2026

Our scenario range runs from kr 0.5100 (bear case) to kr 0.9700 (bull case); at kr 7.50, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Healthcare peers we cover trades at -63% fair-value upside, at -90%, LYTIX screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.4000 kr 0.5400 kr 0.8000 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) kr 0.4000 kr 0.5400 kr 0.8000 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) 377K NOK
Revenue growth (YoY) -100%
Return on equity -69.7%
Free cash flow −59.9M NOK FY2025
EPS (TTM) kr -1.02

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 44/100

Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 29

Profitability 0
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 4
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 67
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 81
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 56
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 20
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 15
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 39
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Lytix Biopharma ASA, a clinical stage biotech company, develops novel cancer immunotherapies for cancer therapy in the United States.

Full company description

Lytix Biopharma ASA, a clinical stage biotech company, develops novel cancer immunotherapies for cancer therapy in the United States. Its lead product candidate is ruxotemitide, an oncolytic molecule that is developed for intratumoral injections, which is in Phase III clinical trials, to treat melanoma, basal cell carcinoma, and advanced soft tissue sarcoma; and NeoLIPA Phase II study in combination with pembrolizumab. The company also offers LTX-401, an oncolytic molecule in preclinical phase for the treatment of deep-seated tumors, such as hepatocellular carcinoma in liver cancer and liver metastases. It has a partnership with Verrica Pharmaceuticals Inc. for the development and commercialization of ruxotemitide for the treatment of all malignant and pre-malignant dermatological indications. Lytix Biopharma ASA was founded in 2003 and is based in Oslo, Norway.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Lytix Biopharma AS reported revenue of kr 0 in FY2025 versus kr 17.0K in FY2021. Reported net income was −kr 60.0M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
11.1M NOK
Latest YoY
+179.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+768.4%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+104.7%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+39.9%
Revenue
FY21 kr 17.0K
FY22 kr 1.4M
FY23 kr 4.0M
FY24 kr 11.1M
FY25 kr 0
Net income
FY21 −kr 48.0M
FY22 −kr 56.0M
FY23 −kr 87.9M
FY24 −kr 94.3M
FY25 −kr 60.0M

LYTIX screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Lytix Biopharma AS Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/LYTIX

Peer Group

Biotechnology · 623 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside −90% · Bottom 25%
Return on assets -37% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 0% · Above median
Revenue growth -100% · Bottom 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Biotechnology median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.31× · Cheaper than median

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Biotechnology stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 21, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated VRTX $525.73 $278.78 -47%
Samsung Biologics Co 207940 1,549,000 KRW 1,055,793 KRW -32%
Celltrion, Inc 068270 202,000 KRW 74,519 KRW -63%
WuXi Biologics (Cayman) Inc 2269 HK$45.70 HK$30.58 -33%
Innovent Biologics, Inc 1801 HK$95.55 HK$19.68 -79%
Genmab A/S GMAB kr 2,104 kr 250.07 -88%
Sino Biopharmaceutical Limited 1177 HK$4.87 HK$3.37 -31%
RemeGen Co 688331 ¥131.87 ¥23.19 -82%
ALTEOGEN Inc 196170 314,000 KRW 39,476 KRW -87%
Biocon Limited BIOCON ₹417.50 ₹52.10 -88%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Lytix Biopharma AS (LYTIX) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 21, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 0.7800 versus a price of kr 7.50, about −90% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of LYTIX?
Our model-based fair value for Lytix Biopharma AS is kr 0.7800 (as of Aug 21, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 7.50.
What is the quality score of LYTIX?
Lytix Biopharma AS has a Quality Score of 44/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Lytix Biopharma AS (LYTIX)?
Lytix Biopharma AS reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 377K NOK (latest available figure, as of Aug 21, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of LYTIX?
The net profit margin of Lytix Biopharma AS is about 0.0%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.0% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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