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MBRF Global Foods Company (MBRFY) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Defensive · US · Market cap $4.1B

MG MBRF Global Foods Company logo MBRF Global Foods Company MBRFY · US
Price$3.12
Fair Value$1.18
Upside-62.1%
Quality30/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 0.2% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
Trails peers (4/13)
Narrow moat 29/100
Evidence: High Range $0.9690 – $1.79 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 17, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 24 days ago

Share price +7.2% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 62% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
  • A fairly wide model range ($0.9690 to $1.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$4.65 $0.9228 Fair Value $1.18 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.9228 – $4.65 · fair‑value band $0.9690 – $1.79 · the $3.12 price screens above the $1.18 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 17, 2026.

Full chart & analysis →

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Analysis

MBRF Global Foods Company (MBRFY) currently trades at $3.12, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.18, implying the stock looks roughly 62.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, MBRF Global Foods Company generated revenue of $164B at a net margin of 0.2%. Revenue declined 0.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 1.8%. Net debt stands at $69.5B. Fundamentals as of Jul 17, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.9690 (bear case) to $1.79 (bull case); at $3.12, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 36% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -3% fair-value upside, at -62%, MBRFY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $45.12 $109.61 $235.80 80
Residual Income $5.83 $5.73 $4.87 76
Rev-Margin DCF $18.24 $63.24 $148.85 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $50.37 $96.82 $241.64 38
Owner Earnings $15.41 $72.15 31
5Y Revenue Exit $17.32 $50.72 $120.19 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $53.59 $124.05 $262.28 41
5Y P/E Exit $5.02 $19.72 38
10Y Revenue Exit $26.52 $88.24 $123.60 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $53.96 $164.56 $357.62 37
10Y P/E Exit $9.78 $34.27 $66.52 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.70 $11.88 $16.67 54
Lynch FV $4.65 $6.65 $8.64 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.65 $6.65 $8.64 46
EPV $1.70 $6.10 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $23.63 $47.09 $71.31 70
DDM Multi-Stage $23.63 $40.70 $49.71 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.76 $5.01 $6.26 63
P/S Multiple $3.19 $4.26 $5.32 58
P/B Multiple $3.19 $4.26 $5.32 55
EV/EBIT $17.59 $35.36 $53.13 53
EV/EBITDA $51.91 $81.12 $110.33 54
EV/Revenue $0.2200 $15.62 $31.02 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.04 $5.41 $8.07 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $45.12 $109.61 $235.80 80
Rev-Margin DCF $18.24 $63.24 $148.85 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.83 $5.73 $4.87 76
ROIC Compounder $1.70 $6.10 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $5.78 $8.25 $10.73 68

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($63.24) versus Economic Profit ($1.70). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $164B
Revenue growth (YoY) -0.1%
Net margin 0.2%
Return on equity 1.8%
Free cash flow $7.6B FY2025
P/E ratio 42.3
More key figures
Operating margin 3.5%
EPS (TTM) $0.0700
EPS growth (YoY) -21.9%
Net debt $69.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 17, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 32 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 32

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 45
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 53
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 6
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 62
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 27
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 21
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

MBRF Global Foods Company S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food industry in Brazil and internationally. It operates through Beef North America, Beef South America, and BRF segments.

Full company description

MBRF Global Foods Company S.A., through its subsidiaries, operates in the food industry in Brazil and internationally. It operates through Beef North America, Beef South America, and BRF segments. The company produces, processes, distributes, and sells animal-based proteins, such as beef, pork, lamb, fish, and poultry; pasta, margarine, vegetable, pet food, and plant-based proteins; processed hamburgers; and various ready-to-eat products. It also engages in leather industrialization; trading activities; transportation; transportation leasing; energy generation, trading, and related services; processing, sale, distribution, and retail of animal feed and nutritional products; road freight; manufacture, distribution, and marketing of pet food products; and processing of canned meats and other processed products. In addition, the company provides administrative and marketing services, logistics services, and consulting services. It imports, sells, and exports its products to restaurant and supermarket chains, and homes. The company sells its products under the Sadia, Sadia Bassi, Perdigão, Perdigão Montana, Perdigão Na Brasa, Qualy, Claybom, Deline, Banvit, Paty, and Quickfood brands. MBRF Global Foods Company S.A. was founded in 1986 and is headquartered in São Paulo, Brazil.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

MBRF Global Foods Company reported revenue of $161B in FY2025 versus $85.4B in FY2021, a compound +17.1%/yr. Reported net income was $351M in FY2025, compounding −46.7%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 85/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$161B
Latest YoY
+8.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+19.0%
Avg. growth/yr (21Y)
+25.8%
Revenue +17.1%/yr
FY21 $85.4B
FY22 $125B
FY23 $132B
FY24 $149B
FY25 $161B
Net income −46.7%/yr
FY21 $4.3B
FY22 $4.2B
FY23 −$1.5B
FY24 $2.8B
FY25 $351M

MBRFY screens 62% overvalued. Compare with Nestlé India Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "MBRF Global Foods Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/MBRFY

Peer Group

Packaged Foods · 653 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −62% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 2% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 0% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Revenue growth -0% · Below median
Debt / equity 4.87× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Packaged Foods median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 42.3× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 0.37× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/FCF 0.5× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 5.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 0 · sector 29
FUTURE 0 · sector 19
PAST 7 · sector 27
HEALTH 0 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 47

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Packaged Foods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 17, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nestlé India Limited NESTLEIND ₹1,427 ₹362.37 -75%
Britannia Industries Limited BRITANNIA ₹5,413 ₹1,870 -65%
Tata Consumer Products Limited TATACONSUM ₹1,089 ₹327.27 -70%
PT Indofood CBP Sukses Makmur Tbk ICBP 6,650 IDR 15,757 IDR +137%
Samyang Foods Co 003230 1,139,000 KRW 1,010,543 KRW -11%
Patanjali Foods Limited PATANJALI ₹413.80 ₹157.04 -62%
Vietnam Dairy Products Joint Stock Company VNM 58,500 VND 68,259 VND +17%
PT Mayora Indah Tbk, MYOR 1,750 IDR 2,699 IDR +54%
PT Cisarua Mountain Dairy Tbk CMRY 4,490 IDR 4,355 IDR -3%
Nongshim Co 004370 348,500 KRW 530,619 KRW +52%

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Frequently asked questions

Is MBRF Global Foods Company (MBRFY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 17, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.18 versus a price of $3.12, about −62% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of MBRFY?
Our model-based fair value for MBRF Global Foods Company is $1.18 (as of Jul 17, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.12.
What is the quality score of MBRFY?
MBRF Global Foods Company has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of MBRF Global Foods Company (MBRFY)?
MBRF Global Foods Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $164B (latest available figure, as of Jul 17, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of MBRFY?
The net profit margin of MBRF Global Foods Company is about 0.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 0.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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